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[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla [Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla

02-28-2015 , 09:39 PM
To answer your question about why I'm retaliating at MB, I just kind of answered it in the post about his crazy-fake confidence interval, but in addition I think he'd approach me "knowing" that my response would be precisely the opposite of this. Almost always I'd default to saying "why would a wolf decide their best decision is to poke me with a stick?" and conclude that "most wolves wouldn't do that most of the time."

His mistake here is twofold. First, I know he knows I tend to do that so I know he knows he can't actually argue that he wouldn't do this as a wolf, because he would because he knows (fun). Second, and more critically, the way he's presenting it is transparently really bad. His argument began as I'm mechanically the most likely wolf - I'm not actually arguing against that part, but that probably pushes me into what, like maybe 50% if you buy it? - but with a confidence interval nearing 100%. Now, after having the privilege of reading my nearly 200 awesome posts - they're real, and they're amazing - his confidence interval has decrease . . . oh no it hasn't, it has remained ~ 100%. This is plainly ridiculous.
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ReddBoiler
Batman is a villager and should be treated as such
Is there a reason you won't give a reason?
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ReddBoiler
Wolfy vote
I've explained my vote. Why is it wolfy?
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:41 PM
Votes from post 2 to post 703
Night in 0:19:55

---
VotesLynchVoters
4 Mor_Tilt4mePls CPHoya (152), MD1616 (84), younguns87 (51), q_q (48)
3 Sili Mor_Tilt4mePls (16), ljtrigirl (82), ReddBoiler (54)
2 SirRawrsALot Telcontar (51), Sili (30)
1 q_q SirRawrsALot (33)
1 ljtrigirl TheBrokenATM! (32)
1 CPHoya Monkey Banana (53)
1 not voting killer_kill (0)

:00 good :01 bad
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sili
+++++++1
Are you saying that you think she's Good or that you agree? I don't think you can be saying the latter because LJ suspects you...
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:42 PM
Sili, like, do you remember the DM game where I was cop and it went badly for your team? Do you think my read on you there from day 1 was just lucky and dumb, or do you think I should feel confident in reading you moving forward, or somewhere in -between, etc.?

I ask because you are becoming a wagon and I don't love your posts.
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sili
I've explained my vote. Why is it wolfy?
I don't like how close to EOD it is
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02-28-2015 , 09:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sili
rawrs
If you don't want to be lynched, you should give reasons why someone else is Evil. I happen to not like Rawrs right now, but your lone vote makes you look worse.
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02-28-2015 , 09:43 PM
Also I'm 95% sure Mor is just gonna fakeclaim with Redd v in about 15 minutes so I need to think this through.
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02-28-2015 , 09:43 PM
Oh wow I thought raqrs was the counter wagon nvm I guess
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:44 PM
I'm about as good as a n0 peek as any in this format

Mor is claiming I'm his villa peek

Let's not lunch him
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MD1616
Are you saying that you think she's Good or that you agree? I don't think you can be saying the latter because LJ suspects you...
I just really liked the post because it was all the analysis I was looking for.
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ReddBoiler
I'm about as good as a n0 peek as any in this format

Mor is claiming I'm his villa peek

Let's not lunch him
Where?
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:46 PM
Votes from post 2 to post 713
Night in 0:14:58

---
VotesLynchVoters
4 Mor_Tilt4mePls CPHoya (154), MD1616 (87), younguns87 (51), q_q (48)
3 Sili Mor_Tilt4mePls (16), ljtrigirl (82), ReddBoiler (57)
2 SirRawrsALot Telcontar (51), Sili (31)
1 q_q SirRawrsALot (33)
1 ljtrigirl TheBrokenATM! (32)
1 CPHoya Monkey Banana (53)
1 not voting killer_kill (0)

:00 good :01 bad
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sili
I just really liked the post because it was all the analysis I was looking for.
I just don't understand how you can do that and not try to protest or at least mention that she says she has multiple minuses on you.
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sili
I just really liked the post because it was all the analysis I was looking for.
What parts of my analysis did you disagree with?
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MD1616
Where?
He left redd villa in a post

Let's go sili or rawrs
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:47 PM
So with sili the issue I have is that he started by calling me "constructed" - basically just fake - and thought I was wolf-y, but when he claimed to re-read he changed his read by softening it, that is giving me correct villager cred when unnecessary, and then had a post where he said to me basically "and regardless of whether my read is bad or not, it's my read, get rekt," which I appreciated at the time and on re-read as something a villager is wayyyyyyyyyyy more likely to say than a wolf, and I think that's probably especially true for him

so what I'm saying is I don't like his early posts but he seems to be in an evolving process and seems to be more PASSIONATE than it seems at first glance, so I don't want to vote him
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02-28-2015 , 09:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ReddBoiler
He left redd villa in a post

Let's go sili or rawrs
I'd go sili. I wouldn't go rawrs.
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02-28-2015 , 09:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MD1616
Any particular reason? He hasn't pinged me either way.
Not engaged enough, not incomprehensible enough, too cosy.
[Game Thread] Pick Your Wolf Team 13er Vanilla Quote
02-28-2015 , 09:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MD1616
If you don't want to be lynched, you should give reasons why someone else is Evil. I happen to not like Rawrs right now, but your lone vote makes you look worse.
I explained the vote.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CPHoya
Sili, like, do you remember the DM game where I was cop and it went badly for your team? Do you think my read on you there from day 1 was just lucky and dumb, or do you think I should feel confident in reading you moving forward, or somewhere in -between, etc.?

I ask because you are becoming a wagon and I don't love your posts.
I think I was objectively wolfy that game, and I'm not playing like that at all right now.
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02-28-2015 , 09:48 PM
to some degree that is mitigated by me thinking that liking MB's argument is crazy talk, but he doesn't have my perspective on it AND his argument ABOUT liking MB's argument makes sense, whether someone believes in an argument is a valid way to try to read someone

I think here it's wrong but that probably isn't relevant to whether trying to make that read is villager-y for sili, which I think it probably is
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02-28-2015 , 09:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monkey Banana
Not engaged enough, not incomprehensible enough, too cosy.
So he has a history of being incomprehensible?
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02-28-2015 , 09:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ljtrigirl
I'd go sili. I wouldn't go rawrs.
The thing that's bothering me is that Mor is on Sili, and Mor is a worse read for me than Sili.
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02-28-2015 , 09:50 PM
That time Hoya considered the possibility of lynching sili:

Quote:
Originally Posted by CPHoya
Sili, like, do you remember the DM game where I was cop and it went badly for your team? Do you think my read on you there from day 1 was just lucky and dumb, or do you think I should feel confident in reading you moving forward, or somewhere in -between, etc.?

I ask because you are becoming a wagon and I don't love your posts.
That time Hoya re-read sili at EOD and made a hard read relevant to the day 1 wagons:

Quote:
Originally Posted by CPHoya
So with sili the issue I have is that he started by calling me "constructed" - basically just fake - and thought I was wolf-y, but when he claimed to re-read he changed his read by softening it, that is giving me correct villager cred when unnecessary, and then had a post where he said to me basically "and regardless of whether my read is bad or not, it's my read, get rekt," which I appreciated at the time and on re-read as something a villager is wayyyyyyyyyyy more likely to say than a wolf, and I think that's probably especially true for him

so what I'm saying is I don't like his early posts but he seems to be in an evolving process and seems to be more PASSIONATE than it seems at first glance, so I don't want to vote him
wolfy tho
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