To answer your question about why I'm retaliating at MB, I just kind of answered it in the post about his crazy-fake confidence interval, but in addition I think he'd approach me "knowing" that my response would be precisely the opposite of this. Almost always I'd default to saying "why would a wolf decide their best decision is to poke me with a stick?" and conclude that "most wolves wouldn't do that most of the time."

His mistake here is twofold. First, I know he knows I tend to do that so I know he knows he can't actually argue that he wouldn't do this as a wolf, because he would because he knows (fun). Second, and more critically, the way he's presenting it is transparently really bad. His argument began as I'm mechanically the most likely wolf - I'm not actually arguing against that part, but that probably pushes me into what, like maybe 50% if you buy it? - but with a confidence interval nearing 100%. Now, after having the privilege of reading my nearly 200 awesome posts - they're real, and they're amazing - his confidence interval has decrease . . . oh no it hasn't, it has remained ~ 100%. This is plainly ridiculous.

Is there a reason you won't give a reason?

I've explained my vote. Why is it wolfy?

Votes from post 2 to post 703
Night in 0:19:55
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Votes	Lynch	Voters
4	Mor_Tilt4mePls	CPHoya (152), MD1616 (84), younguns87 (51), q_q (48)
3	Sili	Mor_Tilt4mePls (16), ljtrigirl (82), ReddBoiler (54)
2	SirRawrsALot	Telcontar (51), Sili (30)
1	q_q	SirRawrsALot (33)
1	ljtrigirl	TheBrokenATM! (32)
1	CPHoya	Monkey Banana (53)
1	not voting	killer_kill (0)

:00 good :01 bad

Are you saying that you think she's Good or that you agree? I don't think you can be saying the latter because LJ suspects you...

Sili, like, do you remember the DM game where I was cop and it went badly for your team? Do you think my read on you there from day 1 was just lucky and dumb, or do you think I should feel confident in reading you moving forward, or somewhere in -between, etc.?

I ask because you are becoming a wagon and I don't love your posts.

I don't like how close to EOD it is

If you don't want to be lynched, you should give reasons why someone else is Evil. I happen to not like Rawrs right now, but your lone vote makes you look worse.

Also I'm 95% sure Mor is just gonna fakeclaim with Redd v in about 15 minutes so I need to think this through.

Oh wow I thought raqrs was the counter wagon nvm I guess

I'm about as good as a n0 peek as any in this format

Mor is claiming I'm his villa peek

Let's not lunch him

I just really liked the post because it was all the analysis I was looking for.

Where?

Votes from post 2 to post 713
Night in 0:14:58
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Votes	Lynch	Voters
4	Mor_Tilt4mePls	CPHoya (154), MD1616 (87), younguns87 (51), q_q (48)
3	Sili	Mor_Tilt4mePls (16), ljtrigirl (82), ReddBoiler (57)
2	SirRawrsALot	Telcontar (51), Sili (31)
1	q_q	SirRawrsALot (33)
1	ljtrigirl	TheBrokenATM! (32)
1	CPHoya	Monkey Banana (53)
1	not voting	killer_kill (0)

:00 good :01 bad

I just don't understand how you can do that and not try to protest or at least mention that she says she has multiple minuses on you.

What parts of my analysis did you disagree with?

He left redd villa in a post

Let's go sili or rawrs

So with sili the issue I have is that he started by calling me "constructed" - basically just fake - and thought I was wolf-y, but when he claimed to re-read he changed his read by softening it, that is giving me correct villager cred when unnecessary, and then had a post where he said to me basically "and regardless of whether my read is bad or not, it's my read, get rekt," which I appreciated at the time and on re-read as something a villager is wayyyyyyyyyyy more likely to say than a wolf, and I think that's probably especially true for him

so what I'm saying is I don't like his early posts but he seems to be in an evolving process and seems to be more PASSIONATE than it seems at first glance, so I don't want to vote him

I'd go sili. I wouldn't go rawrs.

Not engaged enough, not incomprehensible enough, too cosy.

I explained the vote.
I think I was objectively wolfy that game, and I'm not playing like that at all right now.

to some degree that is mitigated by me thinking that liking MB's argument is crazy talk, but he doesn't have my perspective on it AND his argument ABOUT liking MB's argument makes sense, whether someone believes in an argument is a valid way to try to read someone

I think here it's wrong but that probably isn't relevant to whether trying to make that read is villager-y for sili, which I think it probably is

So he has a history of being incomprehensible?

The thing that's bothering me is that Mor is on Sili, and Mor is a worse read for me than Sili.

That time Hoya considered the possibility of lynching sili:

That time Hoya re-read sili at EOD and made a hard read relevant to the day 1 wagons:

wolfy tho