Got a little busy today, but gonna post up a storm tomorrow if I'm alive.

To wax philosophical for a moment. I think werewolf has shifted away from analyzing voting patterns nearly completely. The whole game is tone and tendencies. Every time I have seen someone push for a lynch for information, that information goes unused because few people are basing their votes on who did or didn't vote for the guy who got lynched.

This means exhorting us to vote for someone to gain information becomes a wolf tell, because it promises something that never comes to pass.

BEG seems like an OK vote too. The post that dmk cited is actually pretty similar to what karak is saying.

Caedus = villa

Goofy = wolf

(No, I'm not going to explain.)

1. if i have been right all game long (although i kinda changed my mind a bit today)

2. if yesterdays wagon was v-v or w-v which we can extrapolate PURETTY hard from

i strongly disagree with your disagreement, karak really deserved to live at least today, i hope he will come up with more tomorrow

You need to stop taking things I say out of context.......You should read the end of the day. Bitchi asked me why I switched from PVN to Karak....and I said, because I was banking on Sun being a villager. I you notice....up to that point....I was completely overwhelmed and asking for help....which nobody even paid a second glance at. I also asked if anyone had any questions for me that I could answer before nightfall.....again, I was ignored.

I also said that I was 500 posts behind. I respect Sun and trust his reads....he said Karak is a wolf. I also trust McAvoy and trust his reads....he said Karak is a wolf. So, I switched to Karak, and then, when day ended I had time to catch up on the posts that I missed. Instead of reading all 500 I concentrated on Sun. I had no idea he would be dead today.

DMK for only telling 1/2 the story.....that's what wolves do....exploit people weaknesses.

The wolves are here.

Caedus.
I am trying to reflect upon my thoughts on BEG from previous games where she was villa. Is the game dynamics and her net access sufficiently different to account for the change I have noticed in her play. If not, then I think it is highly likely she is a wolf.

I'd much rather kill DMK then BEG, they can't really be w/w imo. 6-4 should die today though.

You're probably right about the tendency, but it's kinda game dependent. I've never seen so much voting analysis as I did in some of the rookie games. Problem might be that the veterans are starting to get lazy.

unvote

WHO ARE THEY WHO ARE THEY

also begs last post makes me wanna unvote

Another 1/2 story......when I said that.....notice I picked Elliot....he's a companion and not even posting.....the someone came in and heckled me that it was going to be too hard for me to focus on the ones that I picked because a couple of them only had 4 posts. I told that person to tell me who to focus on, and they never did.

That is a good post.

Aardvarksrus
biggerboat - sixfour
BitchiBee - sixfour
bobman0330 – karak567
BrownEyedGirl - DMK
Caedus - BEG
DiggertheDog
dmk - BEG
DustinG – karak567
essedarius - tao1
ewalsh420 - unvote
FCBLComish – karak567
goofyballer - wdcbooks
Karak567 - sixfour
LuckayLuck - zurvan
Ludovic Banhammer - BEG
McAvoy - wdcbooks
Nez477 –sixfour
norseman1066 – karak567
OnThinIce911 - well named
rchandra - sixfour
ReneLuske - BEG
Scrubbo - sixfour
sixfour –aardvarksrus
Sun Tzu
Swiitch
Tao1 - aardvarksrus
VayaConDios – karak567
wahoopride - wdcbooks
wdcbooks - bobman
well named - sixfour
Wiild – karak567
Xr8ed - sixfour
ZeTurd – BEG
Zurvan - digger


sixfour 8
karak 6
BEG 5
wdcbooks 3
aardvarksrus 2
bobman 1
digger 1
DMK 1
Tao 1
well named 1

Just realised, I don't think I said, but I probably won't be able to post tomorrow, and if I do, it may well be drunk-posting.

wat

They're everywhere, I just can't tell who they are.

What are your thoughts on all our current wagons? Voting dmk just because he voted you doesn't help, he's not gonna get lynched today.

don't say he deserves to live today. (really it's nonsensical to talk about deserving at all.) He's either a wolf and we should lynch him now, or he's a villager and we shouldn't want to lynch him at all.

I think NOT.....he said that I was allowed to have an off day, and I shouldn't be lynched yet.

ZT and DMK ....two wolves working together to hammer on me....Fine with me.

Hello everybody!

The wolfy part of Zeturd's post highlighted.
He's a hard working villager who isn't hard working this game.

This is a good point.

What I think is that the information gained from giving him an extra day will be more valuable than the information that might be gained from his lynch

Fight harder if I like your posts I will vote to keep you in today.

BrownEyedGirl,

this would NOT be fine with you if you were a villager.

[vote BrownEyedGirl]

OK, karak is probably a villager. In one sense, he seems almost a little too deferential, I'd typically expect him to be a little bit more defensive and snappy, but I actually believe him, and his stated desire to be more actively helpful is probably a good move for him regardless of role.

the problem is i dont know he is a villager or not, first i was sure he was a wolf now im not so sure anymore, i have a feeling i might be either sure he is or sure he is not a wolf tomrrow, with the other wagons today i dont ahve that feeling

I mean i think i can read him well, if he doesnt post or posts wolfy tomrrow fine then well lynch him