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9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners 9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners

09-29-2015 , 07:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Quarrrr
Fran is just poor mans Quarrrr, read him off of that
This pings me

Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
Ace

If nothing else, we can confirm the type of seers that mexi and I are and then see if we line up again tomorrow.

Mexi we should also probably co-ordinate our peeks. If one of us ends up as NK, you know we are onto something.

I don't actually know what to do in the scenario that mexi is wolf, but I guess cross that bridge when it comes.

I can see the "logic puzzle" element to this already.
This is hella lazy. If you are a villager, you have a 14/16 chance of your peek being useless. Playing the game assuming you are one of the 2/16 usefull seers is bad.

Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
Agree that mathematically it makes sense to lynch Ace.

Mexi and I should agree on peeks and then reveal our results tomorrow. Only way plan goes wrong is if Mexi is wolf or if wolves NK one of us to throw things off.
For the love of Benji, do not coordinate peeks. That just helps the wolves.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mexineil
I'm not even sure if it makes sense to do that, probably best to just keep peeking without saying who we're targeting.
Might just lock clear mexi for being the only person to understand this game apparently.

Quote:
Originally Posted by benneh
I was gonna wake up early so I could post that, mechanically, no one should be posting their peeks today because it is only +WEV and terribly -VEV since wolves can not only ID the players with correct peeks, they can narrow it even further for THEIR seers

On the village side, all it does is give us useless information that we cannot use

But then I woke up late with a dead phone and that plan flew out the window
I've been thnking about this for a while. I think short term it might be -EV but long term it's +EV since some other roles can clear people. Example if we get to like day 4 and everybody has had a village peek at some point except 2 people, we know that are the Paranoid seers and lock clear.

I think you mention this later and I quoted it but I think the best play would have been not to leave n0 peeks but leave them after that.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBrokenATM!
Ace dude, I like you ok.
You wen peeked 2 times. I thought you opened villagery but I can't ignore wolf peeks.
Killing u gives us info and u not seeing this is understandable to a point if you know u are villa.
But so far u not trying to solve it.

If I get peek w I know that person is Rand or insane etx. And work out possibles or a plan.
You are like anti spew or maybe u not but then u just not trying.

Saying this is tunnel when lord and mexi peeked you and you peeked me!
So I guess you try to tunnel me but I'm villa and you can't.
If I was a wolf I'm sure u would try to drill me
Again with the laziness.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mexineil
7-1 chance, likely enough to try to avoid it. And I don't see what the downside is. Wolves can target only correct peeks but that means they'd only hit the true seer rather than the crazy seer, which is as far as I can tell just as useful.
This. Not leaving peeks would have been fine.

Quote:
Originally Posted by fraleyight
I peeked aos villa toeder.

i peeked him first bc I've played like 5 or 6 games with him and i feel like i know him well. if i can figure out his alignment it may help me determine my seer ability
Ugggggggggh. Bad. No. Just. No.

Just play werewolf people. Forgot about peeks today.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Viggorous
Fray looks semi ok imo
Quote:
Originally Posted by Viggorous
Probably good actually.
Vigg hasn't claimed to find 2-3 lock wolves yet and called himself the greatest person ever.

Likely a wolf

Quote:
Originally Posted by Quick_Ben
Ok

Caught up. I disagree with benneh. I think the more information is out there the more beneficial it is gonna be to village later in game. I don't think wolves figuring out seer roles (theirs or villages) is that useful to them. They already know who the villagers and wolves are.

I think we should out our peeks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Quick_Ben
Yah. I still think outing favors village. Plus if we out we can go back and see who was lying and why.
This pings me

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mor_Tilt4mePls
i think rawrs is usually mia during the day not sure about the others tho

day 1 slank lynch doesnt sound tooo bad
This is correct fwiw. I sleep during the day.

Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
Can you believe this clown beat me in the voting. Anti-Lord hate is real.
People hate BATM just as much. You just suck.

Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
So no coordination or planning then?
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
I mean the type of seer they are.
This seems really lazy to me and wolfy. This is horribly bad for the village to coordinate peeks and just helps the wolves.

Quote:
Originally Posted by fraleyight
Lord looks really good.

Villa list
Toed
mexi
lord
benneh
Not sure if Fraley actually believe this.
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
Ace

If nothing else, we can confirm the type of seers that mexi and I are and then see if we line up again tomorrow.

Mexi we should also probably co-ordinate our peeks. If one of us ends up as NK, you know we are onto something.

I don't actually know what to do in the scenario that mexi is wolf, but I guess cross that bridge when it comes.

I can see the "logic puzzle" element to this already.
pure
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBrokenATM!
The weighted random village seers will have their peeks randed as a percentage of the total remaining player pool. If there are 20% wolves left in the game, the weighted random seers will have a 20% chance of their peek coming back as wolf.

The odds people get wolf as random is like 1/5
Therefore wolf checks will be under 5 this game.
One player has 2
So te math. We kill him or someone that's gonna help us find out our roles.
He peeked me so if he flips w I must be villa.
I don't know who else to kill to gain info.
Vigo? Or some one that slanks and is been peeked? Idk
pure aids
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:18 PM
Okay, extremely static nature of ace wagon starting to look bad. As is the pile in.

Ace has played extremely badly if he's villa, but I'm not keen on the fact that there is no counter or anything. Reading up.
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilverine
I like M&M (Mor and Monte) and dont like FranFran
I always liked this guy right here
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
Okay, extremely static nature of ace wagon starting to look bad. As is the pile in.

Ace has played extremely badly if he's villa, but I'm not keen on the fact that there is no counter or anything. Reading up.
lord why do you keep rotating average avatars?
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:20 PM
rawrs bringing the HEAT and rocketing up the villager charts
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:21 PM
I'm here. When is eod
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:21 PM
Lock clear

Rawrs

Somewhat strong v lean

Mexi
Ace
benneh

Pretty thin v read

Allund
Cyber
Roman
Fran

Neutrals

Wilverine
toedder
TehBankertin
Charry
cjkalt
Montecore

Thin W leans

Lord (inb4 comment)
Ben
Fraley

Stronger W leans

BATM
Mor
Quar
Vigg
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
Okay, extremely static nature of ace wagon starting to look bad. As is the pile in.

Ace has played extremely badly if he's villa, but I'm not keen on the fact that there is no counter or anything. Reading up.
There has, in fact, been a counting of votes relatively recently
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Quarrrr
Oh and I didn't really peek Vigg w, my ACTUAL peek was Fran - V.

I think Fran started out slightly wolfy though.
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilverine
lord why do you keep rotating average avatars?
Where is q_q? I've got one here. The avatar tell!
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBrokenATM!
I'm here. When is eod
9 PM server time
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:23 PM
wolves are more organized than that so quarrr gets my V read today
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:23 PM
I've gotta leave and won't be back till tomorrow, sorry. I usually will be here at EOD but have a prior commitment today. Haven't even been able to read everything. Still 250-300 posts behind. Just gonna park a vote for RAISINS

Quarr

glgl
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:23 PM
rawrs apparently has me below cjkaids

Mildly insulting and concerning
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SirRawrsALot
I've gotta leave and won't be back till tomorrow, sorry. I usually will be here at EOD but have a prior commitment today. Haven't even been able to read everything. Still 250-300 posts behind. Just gonna park a vote for RAISINS

Quarr

glgl
Less so now

Good bye, sweet prince

Maybe vote allundberg before you go
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:25 PM
FranFranFran
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:25 PM
lets get em boys whos with me??
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilverine
lets get em boys whos with me??
A lot of people have him in their bottom two or three, myself included
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:27 PM
Rawrs, I was talking about QB in that post, not BATM. I'll ignore the abuse you sent my way. Rise above it. Be the better man.

I will say this is the best Rawrs has ever looked to me and whatever his role, I appreciate the effort he's putting in.

Not sure what to make of pushes by monte and banks. What posts did I make that you thought were "bleh"?

Monte is raising a good point about the number of "peace out" votes on Ace.

If we don't lynch ace. Who are some other good candidates? I mean I had two reasons for wanting to lynch him, one mechanical, the other based on his lies.
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:28 PM
Sup, where we at?
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
Rawrs, I was talking about QB in that post, not BATM. I'll ignore the abuse you sent my way. Rise above it. Be the better man.

I will say this is the best Rawrs has ever looked to me and whatever his role, I appreciate the effort he's putting in.

Not sure what to make of pushes by monte and banks. What posts did I make that you thought were "bleh"?

Monte is raising a good point about the number of "peace out" votes on Ace.

If we don't lynch ace. Who are some other good candidates? I mean I had two reasons for wanting to lynch him, one mechanical, the other based on his lies.
Most of them seemed like you were trying to replicate lording instead of letting the ya ya ya floor through you
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:31 PM
And lord, the last 200 or so posts have been filled with multiple people noting how terrible allundberg and Fran have been

Feel free to use them as a start for your perusal
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Charry
If I had to I'd say quarr or quickben have been kinda villagery. Not sure which one. Maybe both tbh
Quote:
Originally Posted by Charry
Ive never played an all seer game before. Trying to read OP made my head hurt.

So I decided I'm gonna wait til day 2 to make reads. And then we'll have info from lynch/peeks too
Charry
Spoiler:
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote
09-29-2015 , 07:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordJvK
Rawrs, I was talking about QB in that post, not BATM. I'll ignore the abuse you sent my way. Rise above it. Be the better man.

I will say this is the best Rawrs has ever looked to me and whatever his role, I appreciate the effort he's putting in.

Not sure what to make of pushes by monte and banks. What posts did I make that you thought were "bleh"?

Monte is raising a good point about the number of "peace out" votes on Ace.

If we don't lynch ace. Who are some other good candidates? I mean I had two reasons for wanting to lynch him, one mechanical, the other based on his lies.
this post is just awkward tone-wise, its hard to read
9/28 All Seer WW Game Thread: WSOP Main Event Winners Quote

      
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