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9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread 9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread

09-02-2014 , 12:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Selsted
I left the office a couple of hours ago, and this was the last message I read, and it has made me think a lot.

I have not read anything past this point, so this might not be relevant, if others have made same conclusions, or new evidence has showed up.

I am never seeing v/v/v or w/w/w here. I am also never seeing w/w/v with vmf being w.

That leaves back 4 possibilities:

vmf wolf lying about the track, and wolfs trying to get a miskill on either or both.

hax wolf, and others telling the truth. Wolfs redirected killer angel, and got caught.

killer wolf, hax wolf. Seems an obvious solution.

killer wolf, others villa. Seems an obvious solution.


Since I believe there is a wolf there, it will most likely be killer. I don't like the vmf fps, compared to the more simple hax solution.

So my order from this list would be:
killer, and then reevaluate, no matter how it flips.
hax
And far out if both should flip v: last vmf. I aint see this coming though.
no comment on the conclusion of this post but this guy is basically a lock villager from this post alone
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:40 PM
selsted
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by killer_kill
So what do you think I visited Hax with then?
it's been clearly said

if you and him are both wolves, you angeled him

if you are a wolf and he is a villager, you RBd him

if you are a villager and hax is a wolf, redirection maybe and hax is a wolf PR

if you both are villagers, then prolly randomizer

are redirectors/randomizers always wolf roles?
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Selsted
You are telling the truth and were redirected. You angeled hax.
That is, you chose to angel insanity, but angeled hax.
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:41 PM
varianceminefield
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by killer_kill
So what do you think I visited Hax with then?
I guess we will find out

My guess is angel based on Hax posting. Possibly a role block. I do not think a peek, but maybe

Quote:
Originally Posted by killer_kill
How could I figure I wouldn't be tracked after hard claiming villa angel?
There is no way to know that there would be a tracker. To play around the tracker, you would have needed to target insanity, not sure who else you could have claimed. so you have limited options
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:41 PM
Votes from post 2355 to post 3005
Night in 9:19:21

---
VotesLynchVoters
6 killer_kill HUstylez (17), TheBrokenATM! (29), Montecore (50), grant2 (13), Gadarene (45), fanmail (7)
1 ZomgHax ihcjay (86)
1 mutigers5591 SuqAta8 (6)
1 mexineil Mor_Tilt4mePls (34)
1 VarianceMinefield Thingyman (13)
1 ihcjay MFFNike (37)
1 Montecore VarianceMinefield (72)
1 SuqAta8 Xkf (27)
12 not voting ZomgHax (28), zdye724 (3), vixticator (0), Telcontar (5), Sun Tzu (0), Selsted (9), mutigers5591 (8), mexineil (32), LKJ (34), killer_kill (48), Gamer Dude (6), Chief Wiggum (36)
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Selsted
Because there are obvious three solutions here:

You are telling the truth and were redirected. You angeled hax.

You are a wolf together with hax, and could have angeled him.

You are a wolf, and could have peeked, rb, or whatever on hax.
oh yea forgot killer could be wolf seer too
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MFFNike
Would this work?
nike outed himself here btw

mffnike
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:42 PM
If there is a village player who made it so killer did not target the right person, you obviously claim by the way....
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MFFNike
Protip: Admitting you just fire off shots randomly with no plan is not a good strategy.
Lol

Totally different situation and game type iyam
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:43 PM
reads and junk

i haven't read about half of yesterday's posts and probably won't beyond targeted rereads

standard peek caveats apply

Medium to Strong Villa Lean
fanmail
grant2 (unless Telc is power wolf)
ihcjay
VarianceMinefield (believable claim, WIM)


Slight Villa Lean
LKJ (would be one category higher, but sneaky)
Sun Tzu (had a very villagery tell that i will probably elaborate on shortly, but good enough to mimic it as a wolf -- haven't gone through the Telc interaction yet)


No Particular Lean
Gamer Dude (active in villagery way yesterday, not so today)
HUstylez (zero impression; need to reread)
Montecore (looks good from Kaze spew? need to check)
Mor_Tilt4mePls (looks good from Kaze spew? need to check)
mutigers5591 (was not aware he was in this game)
TheBrokenATM! (several people say he's lock villa, but i haven't seen anything outside his wolf game -- will reeval when those people flip)
ZomgHax (wolf if killer flips wolf angel; otherwise well within both ranges)

Special (Ask Me Later Or Draw Inferences When I Flip)
vixticator

Skeptical Face
Chief Wiggum
mexineil (lots of posts, little impact)
Selsted (few posts, little impact)
SuqAta8
Thingyman (had a villagery post but sort of...going along with things?)
zdye724 (relatively active and consensus villa yesterday, not so today)

Slight to Medium Wolf Lean
killer_kill (obv much less likely if redirector/randomizer flips)
MFFNike (fist pump and generally very awkward posts with minimal game-solving)
Telcontar (I don't see what people see about EOD)
xkf (discussed)


I need more wolf leans and fewer no particular leans, but many of the no particular leans are the product of countervailing impressions cancelling each other out
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBrokenATM!
I doubt killer is seer.
Since kaze role is better and they let him die..
I don't think 2 wolves were wagons tbh but who knows
As I read EOD, wolfs didn't let Kaze die. It all happened in a few minutes.
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MFFNike
This is far different from your f the world attitude earlier, what's changed?
mffnike also outed here

-no interactions with kaze at all yesterday
-killer interacts with kaze
-nike asks killer about his kaze interaction

textbook indirect wolf game

nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:44 PM
I'd vote nike but im shooting him

Mexi is likely villa but still a good shot so he doesn't lead the village into the ground with his reads
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VarianceMinefield
If there is a village player who made it so killer did not target the right person, you obviously claim by the way....
it would be so god awful if a villager did that
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HUstylez
oh yea forgot killer could be wolf seer too
How did I forget that part?

You are a wolf, and could have peeked, rb, or whatever on hax.
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:45 PM
Gad, I feel like monte made an extremely wolfy vote last night. He claimed killer was an extremely likely wolf, then voted redd, which spread the votes out and put grant in the lead
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VarianceMinefield
If there is a village player who made it so killer did not target the right person, you obviously claim by the way....
ya i was just gonna say this

again are randomizers/redirectors always wolf roles?
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:45 PM
LKJ is spewed by kaze

not that bumping him up 1 tier makes a huge difference
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Selsted
How did I forget that part?

You are a wolf, and could have peeked, rb, or whatever on hax.
no sorry I meant I forgot that part, we x-posted the options
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Xkf
it would be so god awful if a villager did that
ya, if someone did it tho, its worth pointing out that it would be catastrophic if they did not claim it
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HUstylez
ya i was just gonna say this

again are randomizers/redirectors always wolf roles?
yeah way more likely wolf, but i could easily see a villa randomizer in this game

someone like otto the busdriver
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Xkf
mffnike also outed here

-no interactions with kaze at all yesterday
-killer interacts with kaze
-nike asks killer about his kaze interaction

textbook indirect wolf game

nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words
nike's flipping wolf, killer's flipping villager, mark my words

Maybe post it 2 more times, I don't think 12 was enough
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote
09-02-2014 , 12:47 PM
vixticator
9/1 Simpsons Mishmash Game Thread Quote

      
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