How are we getting a sub for Mark and not a sub for Monet?

Hey guys

I haven't read anything yet. Just checking in.

I'm not sure how active I'll be, but I am going to at least read the thread and give thoughts. Somewhere between skim and serious read.

bbl

Bennet voted Mark and tried to push him like a seer peeked wolf so I'm not willing to consider him until f3. Did he ever react to that? Need to reread him.

I'm not sure if totally agree with that. It's also an easy way to set up an easy villa read on a wolf partner when he comes in next day and says 'Wow I wasn't killed, looks like Mark is a villager'.

Noone would realistically expect that Mark gets lynched for that d1.

You don't think it's more likely to be done with an actual villager though?

It could also be done with a villager for sure. I guess it actually takes pretty big balls do it with your wolf partner right?

That's kind of what I was thinking. It's hard to know what level they were on. I mean doing it with an actual villager is much safer and doesn't look as bad if they actually flip eventually and are a wolf.

bill

He is still the most likely to be a wolf of the remaining players imo.

most likely because mark asked for it and monet hasn't.

It really sucks though that monet isn't posting at all.

Votes as of post 610
night in 6:30
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Votes	Lynch	Voters
1	Bill Bryson	Roy McAvoy
1	Claude Monet	Julian Assange
5	not voting	Bill Bryson, Claude Monet, early and often, Glokaya Kuzdra, Mark Webber

OK, I've read d1. I took the approach of not looking at who's left in the game so I could get a fresh start. Unfortunately, this only confirmed how confusing this game is to me. I have no frame of reference for anyone.

My strongest wolf lean was danger mouse . I had a mini-case and everything.

I don't have much more to offer than my strongest villa lean from day 1 is early and often. For some reason post 65 stood out to me as being a pretty villagery post from mary jenson. Nobody really contributed all that much imo but it was day 1 so, meh.

Onward to day 2.

bbl

Ok, I've read day 2.

I probably would have voted milano there fwiw.

There was a really good analysis post (313) from bryson which makes me lean villa on him.

World was pretty nonexistent d1, but looked really villagery d2. Getting more and more villagery as the game goes on.

I don't have much more. Onward to d3.

Well, that was easy. Like 10 posts or something.

I'm never voting Julian. In fact, I might just sponge off of him.

Now that you've read it all, thoughts about those left?

Thoughts on everyone

Bill Bryson -lean villager based on a couple of posts, well maybe one post
Claude Monet - I think julian has a good point that his vote on elizabeth looks decent for him
Danger Mouse - dead
early and often -leaning villager based on general villageriness
Elizabeth Bennet - dead
Glokaya Kuzdra - slight wolf lean just due to poe
Julian Assange - never voting
Mark Webber - obvious villager
Mary Jensen - dead
mint milano - dead
Roy McAvoy - see glokaya
The Jackal - dead
World B. Free - dead

ummmmm

I'm surprised you are having JA as a lock villager. Why is that?

Well how was I supposed to know you were already doing that

That's my problem with Bill, you'll note in my post lists I hd 313 as well, but he has a LOT of posts itt and a lot of them when I read them I think "really?"

I don't get the lock villa read/never vote on Julian or you leaning villa on Bill for that analysis (in which he somehow concludes that DM was defending him and had a villa read on him when DM didn't say anything like that). I reread Mark and was about to post that Mark still struck me as pretty villagery, except that I thought that his villa read on Bill based on a possible Jackal peek was odd. I didn't like that he disappeared after saying he'd be back and I was hoping that the new Mark would give us more.

Well, I guess you have, but it seems off.

Exactly. When I read Bill, my face kind of screws up in a painful way. I think Mary and Roy had/have similar reactions.

Gonna do a Bill multiquote... prepare to be amazed [STRIKE]flabbergasted[/SRIKE] underwhelmed by his villageriness... Actually who knows, maybe I'm discounting him more than I should. I'll see what I can dig up, I'll start with the posts of note I had for him, then go through everything again. On day 1, I put a V next to his name so maybe I'm forgetting something. Usually my day 1 reads are pretty good in terms of if I think someone is villager, if I think they are wolf they are >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> rand to be seer.

World's posts from yesterday:

BTW, it's interesting that Elizabeth showed up toward eod yesterday, but didn't vote for Bill. And his only post of the day was to vote for her, saying he was too busy with work. I know RL can interfere with ww, but he must have seen that he had votes on him and he didn't post anything else?

Like I said, everyone seems a bit wolfy to me now, as it's possible/probable that the drafters chose at least some good wolves who would be villagery and active. I expected you back on D2 with your vote, and thoughts on Julian, and Mark kind of disappeared too. I'm glad you're active again.

early's list:

And my list atm, from villagery to wolfy (top to bottom):

Roy
early

Julian
Mark

Bill

AWOL - Claude

I think everyone else should post a similar list - with reads if you didn't do it before.

elizabeth not voting bill isn't helping him that's for sure.

Generally speaking I tend to believe peopl when they say RL got in their way and for bill to just pop in and vote the other wagon isn't that bad.