nich does not have a lot of posts, but here is something interesting about them. on day 1, he expresses suspicion of kokiri:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
Lol at this; either Kokori is a wolf or is very forgetful
I'll just lay it out there for everyone:
1. I post 100% from phone so only see threads that I have posted in; I have posted as a habit 3x/day in WIM every day for 6 months so of course I did that; I also post in penultimate
I didn't see this thread since I hadn't posted in it; also haven't posted in haggle so thx for mentioning that game someone, as I need to get in there next
2. I don't post much the first few days...I don't "tone read" but rather use logic and data...I push for us to get 2-3 strong wagons early on as ACTIONS (read: votes on wagons that are in actual danger) are stronger than words
In a few days, if still alive, I will use the data we get from deaths to make decisions and push for people
3. I've played 150(?) long games and double that in turbos on pog, but probably only 8 times in the past 3 years so haven't played with a lot of you
yesterday, he discusses several times wether or not the NK makes kokiri a likely wolf (the following post is just an example):
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
If sun is right that people are doing the title thing often to fake peek these days then we actually can give more equity to Kokiri-wolf based on nk
Altho if kokiri's "peek" is a wolf then that reduces that equity
his point seems to be that, depending on the meta, the NK is or is not wolf points for kokiri.
nich being a big equity guy, i expect him to conclude that overall it is worth some intermediate amount of wolf points.
based on this + his earlier suspicion of kokiri, he should be inclined to vote kokiri.
he started yesterday by voting dividedsky "to get data":
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
Seriously? Changing titles? That shouldn't even be allowed since phone posters don't see titles so not even info
I like dividedsky the most because it gives us the most data about d1 wagons
I was gonna see if there were other potential seer choices but with that title change thing I don't think we can really weight other "peeks" by the fact that those posters weren't nked
that vote is consistent with the image i have nich's game, so it is not as wolfy as it would be for the average player.
however, in the following posts, nich shows that he is not only about data, he might also vote someone who he thinks is wolfy instead of divided:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
I definitely didn't see it because I phone post
Doesn't clear me because there are 3 wolves tho
UAW and tmleafs are pinging my wolfdar this game
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
uaw as second wagon with divided
so, when the wagons are divided vs kokiri, i would expect nich to vote kokiri, against whom he expresses suspicion several times. and he does not, he snipes divided 1 minute before eod and makes it a flip:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
divided
i dont think he ever said that he thought divided was a likely wolf.
so:
if kokiri is a wolf, i expect nich to be one too for expressing suspicion of kokiri several times and voting to save him.
if kokiri is not a wolf, i expect nich to be one a lot of times too because he is voting in a way that is not consistent with the opinions he expressed.