4/3 Anniversary XI Werewolf Mishmash Game Thread - Page 364

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4/3 Anniversary XI Werewolf Mishmash Game Thread

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04-04-2017 , 12:52 PM

#9076

dLGN

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 3,933

ugh this game has too much confusion re: mechanics and not enough content re: players posts

not looking good rn

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:52 PM

#9077

mexineil

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 17,173

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon fodder

What I do not get is why you haven't shot yet, considering you were high on the list.
If I were a villager in that spot, I would have shot at the start of the ITA period and hope to hit a wofl.

That was definitely my plan, but then there was delays in processing, events that people were in, then people just kept shooting, and mor/jepg had already shot anyway so not as big a rush anymore. Before I knew it here we are and no one has hit.

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:53 PM

#9078

Xkf

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 30,166

THESE ARE ALMOST CERTAINLY TROLL ITAS
THESE ARE ALMOST CERTAINLY TROLL ITAS
THESE ARE ALMOST CERTAINLY TROLL ITAS
THESE ARE ALMOST CERTAINLY TROLL ITAS

very basic statistics incoming

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:53 PM

#9079

iamnotawerewolf

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 31,482

back, skimming for results

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:53 PM

#9080

72off

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 69,969

Quote:

Originally Posted by 72off

way harder to believe that villa YG would ever sign off on that shot than CDL

like what in the actual ****?

welp, at least i got 1 thing right yesterday...

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:53 PM

#9081

Gamer Dude

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 23,474

Quote:

Originally Posted by dLGN

ugh this game has too much confusion re: mechanics and not enough content re: players posts

not looking good rn

what's a relatively spicy shot I could take atm

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:53 PM

#9082

Champ2947

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2016 Posts: 2,572

hot take: gabe is a wolf

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:53 PM

#9083

theknightsofneeee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 8,698

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xkf

THESE ARE ALMOST CERTAINLY TROLL ITAS
THESE ARE ALMOST CERTAINLY TROLL ITAS
THESE ARE ALMOST CERTAINLY TROLL ITAS
THESE ARE ALMOST CERTAINLY TROLL ITAS

very basic statistics incoming

this

hold shots for ITA 2

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:53 PM

#9084

monstrman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 19,175

mor

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:53 PM

#9085

mucksandgravs

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 30,971

Gamer,

I'm against a mucks shot.

Love,

Mucks

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:53 PM

#9086

theknightsofneeee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 8,698

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gamer Dude

what's a relatively spicy shot I could take atm

wait for ita 2

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9087

Cannon fodder

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 1,391

Quote:

Originally Posted by TehVader

This is fair, but then why did both jepg/mor snipe shots this sesssion?

nerfed will probably be like 75 or 80% of normal. Still quite likely they get killed.
Seems we just ran bad.

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9088

SpankGangsta

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2016 Posts: 3,301

waiting for the claim

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9089

FrogSC2

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2016 Posts: 2,111

Quote:

Originally Posted by Adam33

mister frog?

I red peeked Mor, the angeked Day vig.

I'm clear.

I need you to explain why you visited bloobird and Mor last night

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9090

Ace of Spaids

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 12,662

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMurder3

Meh, while I wait to figure out if I should shoot or wait, will c/p what I was working on while catching up, even if it will just bring me back on people's radars...

Is it normal that people come up with lists of people to shoot & then ~everyone just randomly shoots at whoever they feel like?

Can you point one out?

I think it's silly to have a strong read on me either way as I can't keep up with all this stuff, but I somehow doubt I've posted anything wolfy, you know, because I'm not a wolf.

Not really sure what you think would be accomplished by killing me.

I feel like if I had a wolf rand they could give me talking points or something so I wasn't so hopelessly behind/lost, but who knows how that actually works?

THIS post 22 minutes into the game seems wolfy? Seems like an odd take.

All these posts I quoted, plus JP, doesn't really sound like I'm flying under the radar? That seems like a fair amount of random heat on some n00b who managed to post like 14 times yesterday.

Out of all the quotes I posted, this one is the wolfiest because it's:
a) untrue
b) a plea to authority of someone who went on a crazy MAD rant
c) randomly piling on

Do you feel overwhelmed?

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9091

RollWave

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 12,570

is there an outted wolf that I should shoot at. I can't guarantee i'll be here during next ITAs and time is short for reading at the moment.

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9092

Gamer Dude

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 23,474

Quote:

Originally Posted by mucksandgravs

Gamer,

I'm against a mucks shot.

Love,

Mucks

do you have any outside info pertaining to why you have this read?

tyia

Quote:

Originally Posted by theknightsofneeee

wait for ita 2

I won't be here

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9093

Cannon fodder

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 1,391

Quote:

Originally Posted by Champ2947

hot take: gabe is a wolf

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9094

dLGN

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 3,933

Quote:

Originally Posted by FrogSC2

No, because no one else visited Adam.

does any wolf have to 'visit' adam in order to use some proxy power he has?

i need to check that villager flip but it seemed like they just mindcontrol use them to vig but don't like.... visit/walk with their conduit to the target...??

totally presumptuous, never seen that kind of mechanic before

completely unsure

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9095

VarianceMinefield

banned

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 57,722

Quote:

Originally Posted by mexineil

Because of the things that are (not) happening.

so you are going to not shoot because no deaths are happening? that doesnt make sense to me

unless u are saying u think something made it so no one would die this period? maybe a black out during one ita session for the wolves...

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9096

RAORoman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 7,718

Quote:

Originally Posted by Weatherguy

I didn't have time to out my whole reasoning because it is ITA.

But your posting this entire ****ing game has been trash and it trying. Day 1 I gave you a pass, figured maybe you were being emo. You continue the **** into today, trying to just shoot people with no progression or care about the game. I don't know what is up with you, but you have never played like this before and it is disappointing.

Namath is a legit wolf read that I shot at.

I'm joking about Apoc (I haven't bothered reading through him since yesterday) and restrained myself by not making a pure salt shot Panther's way. You are literally blowing things I don't say seriously way out of proportion.

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:54 PM

#9097

Xkf

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 30,166

the geometric distribution is the distribution of the number of failures before a successful binary trial

assume base probability 15% to hit ITAs

there were ~24 shots

case 1) none of these were angeled
> dgeom(24, .15)
[1] 0.003034908

which is 0.3% likely

case 2) half (very conservative obv) were angeled
> dgeom(12, .15)
[1] 0.02133626

that's 2.1%

either we are incredibly incredibly unlucky or it's troll ITAs

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:55 PM

#9098

mucksandgravs

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 30,971

I have SHAT

Shooting the outed wolf in my next post

gl

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:55 PM

#9099

Cannon fodder

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 1,391

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollWave

is there an outted wolf that I should shoot at. I can't guarantee i'll be here during next ITAs and time is short for reading at the moment.

jepg is a peeked and unlikely angeled wofl

glgl

Quote

04-04-2017 , 12:55 PM

#9100

VarianceMinefield

banned

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 57,722

but someone died, so it cant be a complete angel, so holstering doesnt make sense...

Quote

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