3/25 MovieMix 2010 Mish-Mash Game Thread v. 2.0 - Page 211

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3/25 MovieMix 2010 Mish-Mash Game Thread v. 2.0

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03-30-2011 , 03:57 PM

#5251

kioshk

Nixonian

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 93,114

But if a wolf would want to invite wolf, that makes pwns more villagery maybe.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 03:57 PM

#5252

RollWave

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 12,570

Quote:

Originally Posted by FCBLComish

How many wolves do we think we have left:

10/9
11/8
12/7
13/6

i choose to believe that jonnyd was a wolf. that is 2+hifi dead wolves from an initial 38 non-neutrals.

My money is on 12v-7w. (initial wolf count was 9+hifi)

Quote

03-30-2011 , 03:58 PM

#5253

rebonkulous

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 19,761

Quote:

Originally Posted by CieloAzor

J.D. - Please claim whatever power you tried to use today. No reason not to at this point.

i don't think he has one. it was essentially a wolf claim imo

Quote

03-30-2011 , 03:58 PM

#5254

Chips Ahoy

help me help you

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 28,869

Quote:

Originally Posted by Perdition

I didn't disappear. I just got back from a morning Hospice program.

Broadly speaking, these are not the post counts of a villager:

Perdition 0 27 15 6 2

Quote

03-30-2011 , 03:59 PM

#5255

kowboys4

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 9,764

The reason I don't like Filthy/TV. TV is outed which means he is not a PR. Filthy could def be a village and could def be a W. You have like 75% chance of hitting W/W here. That is just as good or slightly better odds then killing younguns alone. Unfortunately, I think we need to kill a PR and TV can't be a wolf PR due to outting.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 03:59 PM

#5256

FCBLComish

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 21,060

Would anyone who has modded a game recently care to take a stab at the number of wolves remaining at this point?

Quote

03-30-2011 , 03:59 PM

#5257

rebonkulous

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 19,761

nice FCBL.

we can 100% lynch younguns tomorrow solo (unless the new world decides to **** us over)

but we definitely have to lynch two today.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:00 PM

#5258

rebonkulous

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 19,761

Quote:

Originally Posted by FCBLComish

Would anyone who has modded a game recently care to take a stab at the number of wolves remaining at this point?

6-7 assuming jonnyd was a wolf

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:00 PM

#5259

rebonkulous

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 19,761

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chips Ahoy

Broadly speaking, these are not the post counts of a villager:

Perdition 0 27 15 6 2

chips

that is more posting than perdition has done in all of his previous games combined i think

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:02 PM

#5260

Chips Ahoy

help me help you

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 28,869

Quote:

Originally Posted by rebonkulous

chips

that is more posting than perdition has done in all of his previous games combined i think

The decay trend is the wolfy part.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:02 PM

#5261

RollWave

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 12,570

pwnsall/kioshk is i think my favorite
perdition/jd is a close second
tomveil/filthy is a distant third

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:02 PM

#5262

kowboys4

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 9,764

Perdition + J.D.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:03 PM

#5263

RollWave

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 12,570

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chips Ahoy

Broadly speaking, these are not the post counts of a villager:

Perdition 0 27 15 6 2

perdition subbed in for donkdonk d2. you should use donk's d1 post count (12) to make the zero look less deceptively bad

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:03 PM

#5264

kowboys4

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 9,764

btw Ive flipped and think its more likely the message got sent to a wolf.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:03 PM

#5265

FCBLComish

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 21,060

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollWave

i choose to believe that jonnyd was a wolf. that is 2+hifi dead wolves from an initial 38 non-neutrals.

My money is on 12v-7w. (initial wolf count was 9+hifi)

Did not see this before I made my last post.

with 12/7:

Lynch 1 wolf (non vig) 10/6
Lynch 1 wolf (vig) 11/6

Lynch 1/1 (vig) 10/6
Lynch 1/1 (no vig) 9/6

Lynch 2 wolves (vig) 11/5
Lynch 2 wolves (non vig) 10/5

Lynch 2 villagers 8/7 (DEATH)

Here is the math. What is the best play?

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:05 PM

#5266

TomVeil

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 19,374

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chips Ahoy

Notice what they asked perdition to do: copy posts. How does that help the wolves, exactly?

The PM I got was Nigerian spam, so there were obviously no limits on what they could send.

modkill for discussing PMs imo.

Just waiting on your information to be completing this glorious transaction Mr. Ahoy!

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:05 PM

#5267

Chips Ahoy

help me help you

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 28,869

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollWave

perdition subbed in for donkdonk d2. you should use donk's d1 post count (12) to make the zero look less deceptively bad

Well, to my eyes the 0 is not bad at the beginning. Trends are what counts.

donkdonk having 12 works against him. I think of donkdonk as spammy.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:05 PM

#5268

FCBLComish

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 21,060

Quote:

Originally Posted by TomVeil

modkill for discussing PMs imo.

Just waiting on your information to be completing this glorious transaction Mr. Ahoy!

LOL Tom.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:06 PM

#5269

FCBLComish

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 21,060

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chips Ahoy

Well, to my eyes the 0 is not bad at the beginning. Trends are what counts.

donkdonk having 12 works against him. I think of donkdonk as spammy.

TehDean was all over Donk D1.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:07 PM

#5270

Chips Ahoy

help me help you

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 28,869

Quote:

Originally Posted by kowboys4

btw Ive flipped and think its more likely the message got sent to a wolf.

Once you get to that point, the next question is which wolf do you send to?

It bought him a couple of days with no scrutiny, as designed.

Why waste that play on a weak wolf?

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:07 PM

#5271

FCBLComish

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 21,060

Mr Mod. Can we please has a vote count?

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:08 PM

#5272

CieloAzor

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 3,198

Eh, I'm coming around on Perdition, J.D.

Pretty sure we can hit at least 1 wolf, and have a better chance at hitting the vig. Sooted was onto both of these guys.

Quote

03-30-2011 , 04:08 PM

#5273

Chips Ahoy

help me help you

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 28,869

Quote:

Originally Posted by TomVeil

modkill for discussing PMs imo.

Just waiting on your information to be completing this glorious transaction Mr. Ahoy!

You are about to take over the universe, so I should do business with you.

Just tell me as a favor, for my peace of mind. jonnyd was a wolf, right?

I don't think it makes a bit of difference for the game.