With 7 alive, the cop has six suspects max. If he cleared 4, we won. That's probably unlikely. I think if the cop has three living results, it's worth claiming. Even if they are all town, that makes the game 2 out of 3 with a free mislynch.
If I am the seer, and if I peeked another villager last night, and if I am believed/trusted by the village, then the game is mathematically locked.
If I am not the seer, then, well, okay I didn't plan out how this sentence was supposed to end.
The wolves' only play is to counterclaim me if they believe that I am the seer and that I peeked another villager last night. Otherwise it's just gg lights out.
If they counterclaim me and I'm not the seer then they've ****ed themselves.
So after giving this a lot of thought last night, I decided the optimal play for me today is to make this post and give everyone a chance to claim or not claim. Then I will make my next move.
I would encourage cop to claim if they have 2 results living. That's 3/7 players known, a pretty good deal. We lynh out of the remaining 4 today and have 3 left tomorrow.
And while I don't particularly think there is much danger of actually getting lynched in this game, I will go on the record as saying that I am not nearly stupid enough to knowingly kill a non-seer when it means the real seer will have had 4 peeks with just 7 players remaining. There is WIFOM, and then there is just straight up losing the game.
And while I don't particularly think there is much danger of actually getting lynched in this game, I will go on the record as saying that I am not nearly stupid enough to knowingly kill a non-seer when it means the real seer will have had 4 peeks with just 7 players remaining. There is WIFOM, and then there is just straight up losing the game.
You would never take that risk? I can come up with scenarios.
Anyway, who were your fake results yesterday again?
In the past I've doubted whether vanilla set ups could provide the really surprising moments I enjoy in mafia; let me formally put those doubts to rest. Mashi's play was phenomenal.
Anyway I'm obviously the real cop. My picks:
Spoiler:
Jokes!
So long as Soah is right about Pheonicks being cleared, the game is over for scum. We lynch no lemons, and then either Ashersky or Lissa and if one of those is a mislynch it's not a problem.
In fact, the only hope scum have is if they lynch me and then manage to lynch whomever of Asher/Lissa/nolemons isn't scum. The fact that nolemons has jumped straight to me is not a surprise (I saw all this coming yesterday), but it helps me feel a bit better about them as the first pick.