2/1 Vanilla+ 21er Game Thread - Billboard #1 Singles of 2010 - Page 31

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2/1 Vanilla+ 21er Game Thread - Billboard #1 Singles of 2010

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Page 31 of 155

First

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Last

02-02-2016 , 11:43 AM

#751

Sun Tzu

laconic

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 84,770

hail is looking worse and worse

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:43 AM

#752

Montecore

RPElf = +EV

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 82,312

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sun Tzu

mine isn't really a read, it's a peek

so either I randomly got you through no choice of my own (you wouldn't have been a good choice imo) or I decided to fake peek you for some reason

in the latter case, that reason would have more to do with how I know you play than with anything you've posted in this game

I meant other than you, obviously, since I was aware of your first line, but ok

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:44 AM

#753

No Lynches

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 25,586

What don't you like about Shoving

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:44 AM

#754

theycallmehail

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 3,183

I'm probably going to end up tunneling Shoving for the same reason I tunneled him last time and that scares me because he ended up flipping V. His posts are just so damn wolfy.

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:46 AM

#755

Sun Tzu

laconic

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 84,770

Quote:

Originally Posted by Montecore

I meant other than you, obviously, since I was aware of your first line, but ok

oh, then what you should think about that is I am likely to die, which is kind of bad

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:47 AM

#756

Sun Tzu

laconic

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 84,770

Quote:

Originally Posted by theycallmehail

I'm probably going to end up tunneling Shoving for the same reason I tunneled him last time and that scares me because he ended up flipping V. His posts are just so damn wolfy.

hmmmm

he seems different to me

there's more than one reason that might be but your take seems strange

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:47 AM

#757

No Lynches

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 25,586

Yeah but why are they wolfy

Reasons

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:48 AM

#758

No Lynches

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 25,586

I've my own reasons for reading Shoving wolfy

I want.to know.if.they match up

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:48 AM

#759

Montecore

RPElf = +EV

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 82,312

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sun Tzu

oh, then what you should think about that is I am likely to die, which is kind of bad

Don't worry, I'll angel you

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:53 AM

#760

theycallmehail

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 3,183

Quote:

Originally Posted by No Lynches

What don't you like about Shoving

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shoving

Now I see why being Euro sucks - Game's dead.

At least I get to be here by EOD.

Villos - no clue what role
Crunkus
TTT
QB

Wolves and Villas - you better keep me alive.

"Wolves and Villas - you better keep me alive". Comes off as wolf to me. I gave him a pass for that because I tunneled him for similar wolfy posts last game and he ended up flipping V.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shoving

For the people that are suspecting me now just because I participate more analytic than I did the previous game(s):

I got some time now.
I like this format a lot.
Having leans and expressing thoughts is essential for at least 14/21 roles here, substract the wolves - that's 8+ of the 15 villager roles.

I don't think he has been much... if at all... more analytical than he was last game. Weird point to make but possibly convincing to anyone that hasn't played with him.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shoving

One of the things I'm not a big fan of is this meta thing where people try to forge their leans/votes around different acting to other games. But that's part of the game so I'll go with it.

An odd thing to say based on one of his first posts referencing the supposed contrast between his posting.

I can't make up my mind if Shoving is just an odd German or a howling German.

Quote

02-02-2016 , 11:54 AM

#761

No Lynches

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 25,586

I didn't like his entrance or him not voting

Gn

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:06 PM

#762

fraleyight

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 13,385

Monte,

Do you think Benao flips reads as a villager and later can not explain why? That is my biggest thing with him at the start of the game. He said NL was howling and the 3 people on his wagon were dirty.. (just before this he said all 3 people on his wagon were villagers) then in the very next post said me and hail are wolfy for reasons he can't disclose and NL is villagy.

It just seems so non human to me to think that way.

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:09 PM

#763

fraleyight

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 13,385

Also, I don't get why you would want to lynch lord over aos? I have seen aos one post and afk all day as a wolf before.

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:10 PM

#764

Sun Tzu

laconic

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 84,770

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tumaterminator

you're more active, less wooden and laconic than you were last game.

does this mean you are a villager?

zomg, clearing sun tzu.

wolfy

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:18 PM

#765

LordJvK

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 13,489

Not read anything and neither will I do so until probably 5pm ET tomorrow.

But Benj is almost certainly not a wolf just because no one on 10 votes on day 1 is ever a wolf.

Someone should have pointed this out last game after I was NK'd and Zork was landslide lynched. Landslide lynches are seldom ever wolves early in the game.

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:19 PM

#766

Kawamii

2016 POG Turbo Werewolf Champion

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 13,279

yeah he did mostly that montecore

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:20 PM

#767

ano12345

banned

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 13,741

Wolfy pop in. I have read nothing yet since I went to bed last night. Also, I am busy this morning and probably wont be around till a cuople hours before EOD.

Play nice boys and girls.

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:21 PM

#768

Sun Tzu

laconic

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 84,770

Quote:

Originally Posted by LordJvK

I've seen plenty of landslide wolf lynches and no evidence that they are more likely to be a villager than a wolf

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:23 PM

#769

LordJvK

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 13,489

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sun Tzu

I've seen plenty of landslide wolf lynches and no evidence that they are more likely to be a villager than a wolf

In vanilla or turbos?

I've played a lot of vanillas now and have yet to see it happen.

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:23 PM

#770

Sun Tzu

laconic

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 84,770

er, more likely than they already should be based on v/w ratio

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:25 PM

#771

LordJvK

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 13,489

That argument ALWAYS comes out.

Always.

It's bollocks.

Give me a good reason for Benj's partners to bus him out of the gate?

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:27 PM

#772

Montecore

RPElf = +EV

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 82,312

Quote:

Originally Posted by fraleyight

It's a characteristic of his villager game (your first sentence)

Quote

02-02-2016 , 12:28 PM

#773

Sun Tzu

laconic

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 84,770

Quote:

Originally Posted by LordJvK

In vanilla or turbos?

I've played a lot of vanillas now and have yet to see it happen.

both

if someone gets lynched with a lot of votes, it means a lot of people thought they were wolfy

people aren't always good at working out who is or isn't wolfy but it's probably a little better than random and I don't see why it would be worse than random

I really dislike these kinds of arguments that have nothing to do with the actual posts and activity of a poster

if someone is wolfy, we should lynch them

if someone is villagery, we shouldn't

talk about mass psychology or statistics or whatever the **** this reasoning is supposed to be is worthless at best and not what anyone should be talking about