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01-13-2014 , 08:03 PM
Ok mets

Pick the most likely from each of the three groupings

(vix,xkf,batm)
(quarr,uaw,luckbox)
(bhuber, chris, gambit)

For your most likely pack based on tone + Digger's assumptions.
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01-13-2014 , 08:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DiggertheDog
Ok mets

Pick the most likely from each of the three groupings

(vix,xkf,batm)
(quarr,uaw,luckbox)
(bhuber, chris, gambit)

For your most likely pack based on tone + Digger's assumptions.
Batmn ... uaw ... bhuber

Change uaw to luckbox if you want
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01-13-2014 , 08:09 PM
I pronounce it "expost" in my head yah
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01-13-2014 , 08:10 PM
BATM
UAW
Bhuber


Do you know what strikes me about all 3 of these players and there day 1?

Very narrow focussed activity day 1.

BATM and his weird seer play
UAW - with his pop-in play
Bhuber with his utr

Can you think of anything/reason/interaction that would exclude these players from being the pack?
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01-13-2014 , 08:10 PM
lol at bhuber being the most likely wolf in a group that includes gambit
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01-13-2014 , 08:10 PM
App won't let me quote that post
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01-13-2014 , 08:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monkey Banana
Votes from post 1 to post 843
It is night

---
VotesLynchVoters
4 Nofear3838 Luckbox Inc (65), DiggertheDog (156), Quarrrr (58), Xkf (70)
3 UAW710 metsandfinsfan (116), well named (87), ChrisV (66)
2 metsandfinsfan vixticator (33), UAW710 (28)
1 well named TheBrokenATM! (33)
1 ChrisV gambit8888 (40)
1 Xkf Nofear3838 (57)
1 not voting bhuber2010 (2)


This is final.
All 3 do not vote for the lynch.
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01-13-2014 , 08:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DiggertheDog
I think they would not vote very close to one another in time or in sequence.

(vix,xkf,BATM) has one
(Quarr,uaw, Luckbox) has one
(Bhuber, Chris, Gambit) has another
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
Probably correct
See mets this is my issue with you this game. I don't think there is any goddamn way you believe that post was "probably correct". It reads like you're just humoring Digger because he has excluded you from the list of possible wolves (for no apparent reason).
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01-13-2014 , 08:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DiggertheDog
All 3 do not vote for the lynch.
The other 2 didn't vote uaw
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01-13-2014 , 08:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
lol at bhuber being the most likely wolf in a group that includes gambit
This is mets read based on some of my assumptions.

I am just trying to get the thread thinking about possible wolf packs.

We are just testing out a prism for collecting our thoughts.
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01-13-2014 , 08:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
See mets this is my issue with you this game. I don't think there is any goddamn way you believe that post was "probably correct". It reads like you're just humoring Digger because he has excluded you from the list of possible wolves (for no apparent reason).
Of course I think it's correct

I'm a villa. I think it's > rand exactly 2 wolves are on me

One is probably off Me

And he is right about the timing stuff
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01-13-2014 , 08:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
See mets this is my issue with you this game. I don't think there is any goddamn way you believe that post was "probably correct". It reads like you're just humoring Digger because he has excluded you from the list of possible wolves (for no apparent reason).
This is fair.

He understands I am not doing this as a definitive way of finding wolves.
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01-13-2014 , 08:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
The other 2 didn't vote uaw
Like really dude?

They didn't vote UAW because neither of them had posted within like 6 hours of EOD or something (not going to go and check)

mets
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01-13-2014 , 08:18 PM
Mets: do you think it is fair to conclude

that vix and uaw cannot both be wolves together - that it is unlikely that they vote in unison on day 1 mets and in unison on day 2?
Like it is possible just not very likely
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01-13-2014 , 08:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Like really dude?

They didn't vote UAW because neither of them had posted within like 6 hours of EOD or something (not going to go and check)

mets

heart




Quote:
Originally Posted by DiggertheDog
Mets: do you think it is fair to conclude

that vix and uaw cannot both be wolves together - that it is unlikely that they vote in unison on day 1 mets and in unison on day 2?
Like it is possible just not very likely
If the third Wolf was totally elsewhere abs is the alpha game end Wolf its possible
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01-13-2014 , 08:20 PM
That Chris vote was it

I think I'm only responding to digger the rest of the day
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01-13-2014 , 08:20 PM
(vix,xkf,batm)
(quarr,uaw,luckbox)
(bhuber, chris, gambit)


I think with the 2nd group there can be two within the second pair given luckbox was #990 and the others were in the #1100s
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01-13-2014 , 08:21 PM
alright we will not exclude the possibility of xkf and vix
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01-13-2014 , 08:23 PM
Mets: in mishmashes some wolves avoid talking to wolves altogether - no reads no chit chat

Does that happen in 13s day 1 too?
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01-13-2014 , 08:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
That Chris vote was it

I think I'm only responding to digger the rest of the day
You know you're off the reservation when you think the only one in the village making sense is Digger.
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01-13-2014 , 08:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DiggertheDog
Mets: in mishmashes some wolves avoid talking to wolves altogether - no reads no chit chat

Does that happen in 13s day 1 too?
Not normally imo. Game is too small to avoid it
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01-13-2014 , 08:26 PM
Chris - he has majoritied if there was a majority

What do you expect for to do but talk to the remaining players?
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01-13-2014 , 08:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
You know you're off the reservation when you think the only one in the village making sense is Digger.
lol so true

I want to vote Digger, but it's only because he makes absolutely no sense to me with his theories and they seem completely made up.

But alas, I have seen him do this as a villager.
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01-13-2014 , 08:28 PM
Do you think BATM having the only vote on wellnamed at EOD and wellnamed being the nightkill has any impact on BATM's role?
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01-13-2014 , 08:28 PM
He wouldn't have been maj'd if there was a majority because people would be more aware about maj and not do it.
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