Bob deciding to go back and ISO HiFi in the chaos of EOD came off as really disjointed

Banks voters obv look really, really good if Banks is a wolf, which seems basically foregone at this point

So wolf team (and sk if it isn't BATM) is in banks, lord, Weatherguy, Jon Paul, bob, Monte, stuck, Benjamin

Would be extremely surprised if it's any of Benjamin/Monte/stuck (tho I guess they have non-BATM sk equity)

And if that's right then the wolf team is solved as banks/lord/Weatherguy/Jon Paul/bob

Outside chance that sixfour rode his vote on a tammate and his burst of solviness today is to take it down the home stretch, but otherwise I think we ~always hit a wolf if we lynch in the group above, and then it's just a matter (lol..."just") of finding the right one

And having the serial killer be a hero tonight

Easy peasy

i would think by this time they've POE'd who it is and just roleblock them, as such it's very important that we not only hit a wolf, we hit specific wolves

I thought they were all super-likely to be wolves and I was trying to find the one with the most vig equity based on gameflow and who was on the wagons

There was something that I can try to pinpoint when I get to a computer that made me feel like Banks was a more "acceptable" lynch to the wolf team

Obv that was completely wrong (though at least we can track how it went down)

When the Spurs wagon surged late I wanted to make sure I was on the most robust counter wagon between Banks/HiFi but ran out of time to make a switch

If we think the wolves knew who HiFi was at the time, then I'd guess they probably wouldn't want to provoke a claim by wagon ing her too soon, and either way weather guy's vote stands out

yay

ok, let's say they're villagers, or at least not wolves. if so, then what are the wolves doing on the day 2 vote?

In other news I have a work deadline today that will cause my posting to drop precipitously once I take a shower and get to the office

The deadline would not be as urgent if I had spent more time earlier doing work rather than making hundreds of posts in a stupid internet game

hmm, looking at the EOD posts on d2 I'm not getting much

so if wolves knew hifi was vig then hifi voters look extremely bad

ok so the hifi wagon doesn't really help us. gad could be wolfing but we can't really lynch him today

think it has to be bank/wg wagons which are probably w/w a lot of the time but I think we need to nail the odd vig tonight no?

This was me soft claiming viggo's partner btw. Unless the wolves didn't catch the crumbs I left, it's very likely they already knew hifi was the vig

so hifi lived until last night why?

they might have just peeked her the night before, or RB/peeked enough people (including me?) that she was in their 2-3 person POE. I think Zdye wrote up the math on it yesterday, I suggest you have a look

I know we're at a WIL situation for the village, but we need to take a look at people who should have been content-y this morning. Chances are very high wolves will be slanky today and wait for village to make a mistake. All they need is one mislynch and it's over

Not sure, but revisiting how close Weatherguy came to getting lynched could be really instructive

Christ

I have no ****ing idea

Are we assuming hifi would have shot banks? Seems pretty likely the wolves rb'd her but she'd obviously have targeted someone

lord and benj were very talkative yesterday prior to 8am

where are they now?

And it seems like I may have been spectacularly wrong about wg

Splendid

No banks either

We should have just lynched him last night

I'm pretty dumb

Either the wolves managed to angel hifi's target last night or they both rbed her and killed her

If the first one, they ran lol good bc it means they didn't know who the vig was and were still trying to POE

If the second one, they must have been pretty certain she was the vig, either as a result of peeking/POEing her previously or because of her posts at EOD last night (which, in retrospect, seem an awful lot like a vig not wanting to claim, which is the worst of both worlds)

I'll be at my laptop by 9, then I have a report to finish up and my company's holiday lunch

Then hopefully bed because I feel like ****

I guess we also theoretically still have our angel

And the neutral kill

We're still pretty ****ing ****ed though

I guess we just lynch banks and pray?

we need to hit the vig today right? otherwise it's over?

I guess NSK could hit a wolf tonight which would still keep us alive

yeah, for example they wouldn't have thought me to be the vig, seeing how if i was i'd have killed someone different basically every night

we still need to hit a wolf tho with tonight's lynch at the very least

I think zaids may be a wolf, mostly for 'he's pocketing me' and tinfoil based reasons

Not sure how we ever get the capital to lynch him though and I'm not even sure I believe it