I just checked killer and 25 points come up

I think it looks good for sili he talked about him so much

Looks a little bad for me and mexi

Cory...a quote you may have missed at some point

I have sili and mexi as lock villas
I lean villa on cory, but I could be wrong. His voting record is abysmal, but the effort he put in today was on point.
But without cory, I just need to find one between UAW/Carl?

Anyway, I should apologise for not being here last night, I was out drinking and for some reason thought EOD was 2am (my time) and got here at 1.05am just in time to see the lynch. If I was here, I'd like to think there's a good chance I would have flipped onto mucks as I've been suspicious of him all game, but it didn't matter in the end thanks to the rand being nice.

I need to read last night's EOD again, which I will do shortly, but that 5-5 vote count with mucks & Redd is really interesting. I don't think it's as simple as saying the last wolf must be on the Redd wagon, and in fact I actually don't think that they are. Here's why:

At 5-5 near EOD, they would have been able to analyse the situation and work forward to what would be most likely to happen. If the last wolf was on mucks, yeah they could have flipped to Redd and saved risking the flip, but that probably would have been short-term thinking. They have to assume that we're gonna rifle through the Redd wagon once it's revealed mucks w & redd v, so that would lead to game over for them.

Remember, mucks wasn't lynched outright, it was a flip. They're only risking a 50% chance in exchange for making the last wolf very clear, which at this stage they'd need to be, especially if they were already considered high up in the POE. If mucks survives, then when he's eventually got (probably the next day) then by the time we're done working through Redd's wagon, it might be too late.

Also, I'm now quite confident cory isn't a wolf, and I'm obviously not one either. That only leaves csarmi who I haven't felt good about most of the game, but I think he's been better today and I don't see him putting in this effort as a wolf. I really think it's more likely the wolf is on mucks' wagon than Redds.

Hope that all makes sense.

This train wi-fi is terrible.

Cory you need to white knight me imo. Or find for townies besides me.

Makes sense in terms of why a wolf might be on mucks.
You seem to be suggesting its more likely a wolf is on mucks which might be a stretch.

It also discounts the possibility of a late snipe/switch to mucks

but yeah it makes sense.

Thanks for clearing me. Now take your vote off me maybe?

FYI there is no way in hell i am not around if my team needs me. Ever.

ffs I am literally starting to feel sick about this game.

Can someone post a votecount? I wanna know how i atand on posts.

I want you to be a wolf so badly salami.

Sili

He keeps coming up with reasons why i am obviously the wolf instead of adding to the game.

Votes from post 2087 to post 2437
Night in 11:32:59
---

Votes	Lynch	Voters
3	csarmi	DoUEvenLift? (99), Sili (67), UAW710 (5)
1	Sili	csarmi (88)
2	not voting	mexineil (9), Carl_Spackler (47)
1	Error	IAmRobik (25)

Nope. Try again

Are you assuming in the first post that csarmi is lynched and flips villa?

Yeah when I take everything into consideration, I think it's more likely the wolf is on mucks.

Well, I was right about this.

this is my last post for the next 8 hours but i cannot resist calling you a moron one more ****ing time

you obviously didn't ****ing read my posts because i did all of this already

literally there is no way for me to explain to you how terrible you are regardless of role

next game you play either read the thread or don't play

Maybe? I'm not sure. I'm just trying to find 3 townies besides me.

I will say that I am reading again and post #279 makes me really really reconsider salami.

Like what wolf lists his two wolf partners in his "i am cool lynching these two people" early on giving himself less options down the line?

What made you bold the parts of killer's parts that you bolded?

The wishy-washy light pushing.

mexi, who is it out of the mucks voters?

Post 279

this does look good for csarmi

but as sili was saying did he ever seem willing to vote him at a critical time?

That's what I'm working on right now. Currently re-reading d2.

Is what he says about bhuber or to a lesser extent you really all that different?

I'm starting to think killer was intentionally trying to spew people in all different directions starting about mid day 2 and I wonder how much stock we should put in it.