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10/31 - Rat Infestation Game Thread 10/31 - Rat Infestation Game Thread

11-09-2011 , 07:11 AM
we should just replace all the ads in pog with "DONT SNAPVOTE IN MUST LYNCH"
10/31 - Rat Infestation Game Thread Quote
11-09-2011 , 07:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DiggertheDog
cliffs on f3?
From F7: 3 lynches to catch 2 wolves from 4 unknowns. well named does great work. sanga puts in diggeresque efforts. Sun deconstructs the the whole game at F5, exposing every motivation of all players, alive and dead, with penetrating logic. Wolf Loretta is one notch short of lolrats, destined to be lynched at F5 and posting nothing. In the last 10 minutes of F5 new player (peeked villa) who hasn't been heard from much shows up with theory that Loretta is villa and sun must be lynched at F3. chaos ensues. Wolf anarchist is lynched. sanga is nk'd.

F3: Thread opens. New player snap votes sun seconds later. Game over, wolves win.
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11-09-2011 , 07:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DiggertheDog
cliffs on f3?
All the posts from F3
Quote:
Originally Posted by MewsicLovr
sangaman was so terrified when he saw the identity of the last wolf that he keeled over and died. he was





It is still must lynch

When you vote, your vote is locked and you may not change your vote or unvote.




The posting cap is no longer in effect.


Players:
domer2
Loretta8
Sun Tzu


It is day
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
Sun Tzu
Quote:
Originally Posted by MewsicLovr
Loretta votes Sun by proxy.


Sun has been lynched, he was a mouse ldo.

Mod goes WTF.

Wolves win.

Discuss.
Sangaman and well-named (clear villagers) having strongly concluded that Loretta was the last wolf. Domer disagreed at the last minute, and didn't discuss, or what's that word when you consider other people's opinions, like 'collaborate', only not.
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11-09-2011 , 07:31 AM
hey he waited minutes not seconds to cast that final 3 vote.

lets not exaggerate.
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11-09-2011 , 07:37 AM
yeah - villagers should wait till everyone is in the thread.

As a rule - villagers should try and force the wolf to vote first.
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11-09-2011 , 08:45 AM
lol wat we won?



TY Mewsic, much

fu 27 imo

domer don't feel bad about this, you know how annoying it was to watch you epically wolf in the politics game and have everyone clear you this game because "there's no way a new person can wolf like that" and I'm going "BUT HE CAN ZOMG IF ONLY I COULD SAY THIS"
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11-09-2011 , 09:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Palo
So was I an honest seer hunt kill?

As soon as I typed that line about "aside from Sanga I don't trust any of you" and before I hit submit I thought, "hmm, that could come off as really seery, cool."
yes indeed
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11-09-2011 , 11:19 AM
Id like to nominate myself for Villa MVP
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11-09-2011 , 11:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monkey Banana
Someone needs to point out to domer that it's a team game. Also, when events show you to have been wrong about a lot, the right thing to do is become humble, not to take the game into your own hands and burn down your team's good work.

When literally every villager has agreed that it's Anarchist or Sun, maybe you should consider that you are the one who has misunderstood?
hahah it really couldn't be sun after his gargantuan f5 effort though

it was just me
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11-09-2011 , 11:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by master3004
Id like to nominate myself for Villa MVP
seconded
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11-09-2011 , 12:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SSES
we should just replace all the ads in pog with "DONT SNAPVOTE IN MUST LYNCH"
f5f5f5f5f5f5f5f5

Mod: It is Day

SSES

It should probably be a sticky since people can just turn off ads.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DiggertheDog
As a rule - villagers should try and force the wolf to vote first.
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
also notice that loretta voted first in a must-lynch. that's a villa play most every single time.
.
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11-09-2011 , 12:33 PM
Sangacliffs

I spent 3-5 hours today rereading the thread and responding to Sun today. Started off the day leaning towards lynching Loretta (who was a near lock wolf and had all but conceded) then Sun. Over the course of the day, I changed my mind to believe the wolf team was Loretta/Anarchist. This was due largely to the effort Sun put in as well as numerous good points he made showing that he was a villager and Anarchist was a wolf. And I also realized that the Fluttershy NK, which made Anarchist SHC, had a good chance of being FPS since I realized the wolves might not have been sure whether the seer was VM or 27a and killing them but missing would have been disastrous.

Anyway, w/ 1 hour left in the day I write up a post in notepad and I wait to post it until Domer is done reading the thread. He'd showed up a little earlier and asked me to give him time so he could read, and I did. I didn't want to just give him orders to lynch Anarchist in f3 (at this point I assumed a Loretta lynch in f5 was a given) so I waited to post my thoughts until he was done reading.

Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
based on a re-reading of day 1, I very strongly believe anarchist needs to go tonight sanga.
I saw this post and I thought to myself "well, looks like he's pretty convinced the wolves are Anarchist/Loretta too, I won't need to do much convincing." I went back into notepad and emphasized that domer should give Anarchist a chance to talk in f3. I also added a note that Loretta should go first since there was a chance Anarchist was a villager but virtually no chance Loretta was. Then I posted what I had in notepad:

Quote:
Originally Posted by sangaman
My thoughts and lynch recommendations:

Lynch Loretta today.

After that, I still think it's pretty close and I'm not super confident, but I would lynch Anarchist next. This is different from what I would have done yesterday. I reevaluated everything, and I think this game makes more sense if Sun Tzu is a villager. Particularly given Sun's excellent efforts and arguments today, I think he's the final villager.

The biggest hang-up I had about lynching anarchist is thinking for a reason why the wolves would NK Flutter even if her peeks were wrong. Well, after thinking it through I think it's plausible it wasn't a seer hunt for several reasons. Flutter's cover was broken with her Jinxy peek on d. Then VM showed up on d4 with correct peeks. I think the wolves basically got to n4 and every villager was crossed out of seer contention. Only 27a and VM had correct peeks, but they'd both "blown" their seer contention repeatedly this game. I think the wolves realized that if they NKed 27a or VM and were wrong, their fate was sealed. So they NKed Fluttershy, hoping they'd be able to figure out who the seer was by the next day. In the meantime, they had a very tiny chance that Flutter was a seer with a flipped peek but, more significantly, a chance that the seer would peek a wolf other than Anarchist so that Anarchist would be SHC and set up to win the game.

That's the story that makes the most sense to me right now. I think we should lynch Loretta then Anarchist. I think tomorrow Anarchist should be given a chance to defend himself tomorrow, he shouldn't be a turbo lynch, but if I had to pick two people to lynch right now it would be Loretta and Anarchist. Anarchist should have a chance to respond to this and if he can make a better case, then you should listen to him. But today definitely went to Sun, and I also think Sun Tzu's entire body of work in this thread is more likely to come from a villager than Anarchist's. I don't have time to go into all the details now, but it's all there in Sun's posts today and some of mine.

Let me know what you think and if there's anything you want to discuss. Or really just ask me anything, I'm here to help, and I'm guessing I'll probably be dead tonight so this is my last chance to help the village and I'm not going to waste it.

---------------------

Domer, I see you want to vote Anarchist tonight. It might not make a huge difference, but I think Loretta is nearly a lock wolf and the better/safer play is to lynch him today.
At this point I'm still blissfully unaware that Domer wants to lynch Anarchist/Sun Tzu. At the time, letting Loretta live in f3 was almost as incomprehensible of an idea to me as letting a peeked wolf live in f3.

Then I went and started making dinner. Almost 15 minutes later I checked on the thread to see if Domer had any questions for me and I saw this post:

Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
sanga, heed my advice, heed flutter's advice, and heed VM's advice....sun tzu is the wolf.

anarchist
Sun tzu is the wolf? Vote Anarchist? WTF is going on over here. Then I looked back and realized that, from skimming over d1 and d2, domer had convinced himself that the thread consensus for days was wrong and Loretta was a villager and had ALREADY VOTED.

Quote:
Originally Posted by sangaman
Wow, it went COMPLETELY over my head that you think Loretta is a villager here. I did not see that coming at all.

As WN and I were saying yesterday, you can't read too much into the VM kill because you can't tell what level the wolves are on.

"also notice that loretta voted first in a must-lynch. that's a villa play most every single time." That's news to me.

I thought Loretta's day 1 was very wolfy, that's why I made a wagon against him d1 and had him near the bottom of my reads list d2.

Hold on I have to rethink everything here. I was definitely not expecting you to say Loretta is a villager.
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
sanga dont screw this up tomorrow plz. do not overthink it.

your first post should be a bold sun tzu, and just wait for loretta to arrive.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sangaman
Hahaha my head is spinning right now. Wtf is going on.
Sun shows up with a few minutes left in the day and was quiet. I didn't know whether Anarchist was a villager and we'd just lost the game or what. At that point, we should have decided to take the f3 decision to leave Loretta alive out of Domer's hands, but there was no time to talk and we lynched Anarchist. Then Domer turbo lynched Sun Tzu in f3 before anyone posted. The end.
10/31 - Rat Infestation Game Thread Quote
11-09-2011 , 03:22 PM
Poor sun. Twice in 2 games he's lynched at must-lynch firstly by a villager.

this game and vegans


Thread was a good read though. Final 5 was fricking awesome!
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11-09-2011 , 03:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by reallybadwwplayer
seconded
to the gimmick
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11-09-2011 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Telcontar
Poor sun. Twice in 2 games he's lynched at must-lynch firstly by a villager.

this game and vegans


Thread was a good read though. Final 5 was fricking awesome!
lol @ twice

I've been mislynched at f3 more times than mets has said donuts

this is the main reason I came up with the "lynch me at ML+1" strategy
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11-09-2011 , 06:21 PM
how I failed

- I got complacent because of "we still have a mislynch so it doesn't matter anyway". It did matter.

- Letting people get away with the idea that anarchist was a villager. I never really bought it but I should have fought it the whole way.

- I should have looked at shanks more. I got locked into the idea that he was a wolf and never stopped to reevaluate that. Looking back, even though shanks himself doesn't give much, the way he was pushed by the wolves, especially the way anarchist was toward him should have led me to reconsider. At the point when I have basically proven that anarchist is a wolf (at least in my mind) and then Loretta was shown to be a wolf by WN, if I had been thinking clearly and without blinders, I should have been able to clear shanks by POE, especially after anarchist starting clearing shanks.

I really did drop the ball.
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11-10-2011 , 05:54 AM
You can't blame yourself. You comprehensively won the game at f5, simple as that. You're not responsible for the other guy's inability to read, think or play werewolf.
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11-10-2011 , 05:59 AM
Domer played an excellent game as a villager.

He did listen to players. He actually listened to me and Variance. Both of us thought Sun (at the time that we left the game) was a wolf.

Certainly, it looks better for him if he deliberates and considers and then ultimately votes for the wrong player. But lets not take away from him that he wasn't struck by madness; he clearly followed the game, made a read, and was just incorrect. Happens to the best of us.
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11-10-2011 , 07:07 AM
Ha ha, I'd surely like to know who Fluttershy is. Obv. Domer did not play an excellent game. He thought the game was locked earlier and stopped bothering to read or think from then on. He created grandiose theories that made too much of too little information, rather than doing what a good villager does: create smaller hypotheses out of what is known.

And yeah, it's fine to make a bad read. People do that to the point of hard-defending a wolf and fighting tooth and nail to avoid his lynch and we don't blame them, but if there's a consensus and you read someone contrary to that consensus, you owe it to your teammates to at least think about their cases, rather than make a hero play.
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11-10-2011 , 07:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fluttershy
Domer played an excellent game as a villager.

He did listen to players. He actually listened to me and Variance. Both of us thought Sun (at the time that we left the game) was a wolf.

Certainly, it looks better for him if he deliberates and considers and then ultimately votes for the wrong player. But lets not take away from him that he wasn't struck by madness; he clearly followed the game, made a read, and was just incorrect. Happens to the best of us.
sorry but this would never ever happen to me.

not insta voting is a total freeroll. for all he knows loretta could come in to the thread and accidentally post a wolf pm in the wrong thread.

or sun could come in to the thread with new information he had found over night that proved loretta was a wolf.

there is just absolutely no justification for doing it here or in turbos. its never correct ever.
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11-10-2011 , 07:22 AM
(i havent read the whole game but there is obv no issue with going with the gut and voting loretta. but just give sun a chance to speak....)
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11-10-2011 , 12:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fluttershy
Domer played an excellent game as a villager.

He did listen to players. He actually listened to me and Variance. Both of us thought Sun (at the time that we left the game) was a wolf.

Certainly, it looks better for him if he deliberates and considers and then ultimately votes for the wrong player. But lets not take away from him that he wasn't struck by madness; he clearly followed the game, made a read, and was just incorrect. Happens to the best of us.
yes except you left the thread days before sun went on a villa tirade and lock cleared hmiself
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11-10-2011 , 02:34 PM
I'm still in a state of shock from this game.

wow

no way

wow

how...

nvm
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11-10-2011 , 03:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fluttershy
Domer played an excellent game as a villager.

He did listen to players. He actually listened to me and Variance. Both of us thought Sun (at the time that we left the game) was a wolf.

Certainly, it looks better for him if he deliberates and considers and then ultimately votes for the wrong player. But lets not take away from him that he wasn't struck by madness; he clearly followed the game, made a read, and was just incorrect. Happens to the best of us.
I strongly disagree. Domer did not listen in the final days. He ignored the hours of work Sun spent clearing himself and I spent analyzing the game. He ignored the cases on why Loretta had to be a wolf, and disregarded the fact that he was a consensus wolf since at least f7. Loretta had stopped defending himself, I don't think it's an understatement to say he was one step away from lolcatting.

Instead, Domer came up with his own hero theory w/ ~30 minutes left in the day without discussing it with me or any of the other players at all. He voted according to his own whims, and then in f3 he turbo voted the obvious villager over the obvious wolf without even giving a Sun a chance to say a word.
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11-10-2011 , 03:16 PM
exactly, that's what made him so awesome
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