If in a vacuum a player should have the winning hand 30/40% of the time but your going to your tells to decide what to do fact ng an all in on rivers. How much should your read make in making the call in a vacuum as well.

They're are times where a live read can change your opinion by alot but in a vacuum if you are pretty sure of your read and again in a vacuum should that stock into your decision 10/20%?

So if your 35% sure he has the winning hand based on everything else besides physical tells how much should a physical tell factor in this decision if the tells are showing that he may have it an extra 15% of the time and your 75% sure of that?

Does this sound generally pretty accurate?

For me it depends upon the person. There are people I believe I have 100% tells on and will ignore absolutely everything else if they make certain moves. There are others where the tell is either not as good or not yet confirmed as being that good where it can increase/decrease my perception of whether or not they are bluffing. Most of the time if they have anywhere near a balanced range of bluffs vs value bets it is enough to make my decision but if they over/under bluff with a tell suggesting they are going against their tendencies it becomes more difficult.