Quote:
Originally Posted by Skallagrim
Folks, especially you jonaspublius, can we at least try and keep the politics in this thread focused on poker politics?
Some of you like the Tea Party in general; some of you despise it. That is a very important discussion, but one that belongs in the Politics forum.
The issue for this forum is whether the emergence of the Tea Party makes our poker agenda more or less likely to pass. So far I see it as more likely to hurt our chances because I don't believe the majority of the current Tea Party candidates will hesitate to expand government to further their (prior) commitment to a "conservative" social agenda. I also continue to hope I am wrong about that.
Skallagrim
Skall, until the 2012 elections, you are partially correct. TEA Party Republicans will not take on the religious conservatives. They will still need them for a GOP majority and President. Also, they will be too busy fighting Obama.
After the 2012 elections, if they can thoroughly take over the GOP, then they can ignore, or take on, the religious right on issues like gambling, especially online gambling, on the grounds of freedom from government. If the TEA Party cannot thoroughly take over the GOP after the 2012 elections, then I expect it to become a third party movement.
TEA Party members are much more Libertarian than many in the GOP. Also, unlike the Dems, if they take the side of freedom from government and apply it to online gambling, then we won't have HR 2267 type bills, but repeal of federal gambling laws.
Since the Dems have not passed any federal licensing of online poker in 4 years, IMO they really aren't that friendly to us. They just see online poker as some potential revenue source. This might be better than the prohibitionist nanny state FOF Republicans, but it is not as good as the freedom loving TEA Party like Dick Armey.
The problem is that it will take years for the TEA Party to have a majority in Congress if they ever do. So, IMO, federal legislation licensing or permitting online poker is very unlikely for the next 2 years minimum; especially since the latest from Sen. Reid seems unfavorable.
This is why I think that the PPA should take the litigation route sometime in the first half of next year. I don't see a better alternative for the next 2-3 years.