Because I still feel guilty about betting against you in WSOP HU
:
I have you at needing 35 more games (after tossing away 9 chops) and 3.79% ROI. If this is correct, I have you needing -41.14% over the last 35 games to win the bet. That corresponds to going 11-24 over those games (11 gets you the win).
Some imprecision in the calculation, but that's a good ballpark.