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Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

08-04-2010 , 05:10 PM
Take a break for 2.5 hours and regroup. lol
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:11 PM
Sick! Can't wait to see the final results, been a really inspiring thread and fun to sweat it.

Robert Anderson got thrown in jail, primo ships 60k and the bet.

Great job!

Last edited by flopton; 08-04-2010 at 05:14 PM. Reason: fell to 3%?! :(
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PrimordialAA
just fell from 4->3% , God what a dirty sweat this is gonna be ;p
OMFG
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:14 PM
whoa , u must have got a s***load of FTP through those 2 000 games.

gg sir
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:21 PM
am sweating now - ur my hero
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:22 PM
he didnt pay that much rake compared to his winning tbh
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:32 PM
doesn't seem to be running so hot tbh
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:34 PM
it s hard to follow a 20 games sample
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:46 PM
cmon bryan gogogogo *fingers crossed*
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:47 PM
I wonder how many he can afford to lose
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:48 PM
go primo go!
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:53 PM
I really dont think I can afford to lose many at all, God haha, really was hoping it didnt come down to this, especially when w/48 games left I was at low 4%, feelin great


almost no action atm tho, so I may wait til tonight or tomorrow morning to finish it up
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:53 PM
so tempted to sit you right now

gl!
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:55 PM
btw, if it hasn't been mentioned, bet would have been so much cooler if your first 500 games were your last.
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mersenneary
btw, if it hasn't been mentioned, bet would have been so much cooler if your first 500 games were your last.
..with a 2month investigation afterwards
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 05:57 PM
primo go proxy cannon some noob on battlenet to get your confidence back
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 06:01 PM
yea, gonna take a nap, wake up, shower, and then finish (hopefully). If someone could give me how many games I need to win/lose in the last part, or find my exact average_ROI , would be much appreciated. tyty guys
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 06:04 PM
unless they tell you that you cant lose , any other result might stress you more than anything, so you shouldnt even check, play your games as best as you can and check the result when you are done imo.
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 06:09 PM
Agreed. Just play like you would have played the first 100 games of the bet. You COULD play the lowest allowed buy ins only to minimise the chance of something dramatic happening, but you're running at -4% at them, so might not be good idea .
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 06:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PrimordialAA
yea, gonna take a nap, wake up, shower, and then finish (hopefully). If someone could give me how many games I need to win/lose in the last part, or find my exact average_ROI , would be much appreciated. tyty guys
editing, 1 sec
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 06:26 PM
if you post that you ll be the one jinxxing him, are you ready for that ?
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 06:32 PM
Because I still feel guilty about betting against you in WSOP HU :

I have you at needing 35 more games (after tossing away 9 chops) and 3.79% ROI. If this is correct, I have you needing -41.14% over the last 35 games to win the bet. That corresponds to going 11-24 over those games (11 gets you the win).

Some imprecision in the calculation, but that's a good ballpark.
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 06:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mersenneary
Because I still feel guilty about betting against you in WSOP HU :

I have you at needing 35 more games (after tossing away 9 chops) and 3.79% ROI. If this is correct, I have you needing -41.14% over the last 35 games to win the bet. That corresponds to going 11-24 over those games (11 gets you the win).

Some imprecision in the calculation, but that's a good ballpark.
easy money.
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 06:44 PM
That's about 99% equity fwiw.

feel free to play around with this for those interested:

http://www.stat.tamu.edu/~west/apple...omialdemo.html (not precise because of differences in distribution of equity, but again, an ok ballpark)
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote
08-04-2010 , 07:00 PM
I post this with shame but whats his screenname?
Prop Bet:  PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games Quote

      
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