Prop Bet Interest Thread: QQ-Q U A D S-QQ wins 300 bi at 100 nl/pl in 50 days - Page 2

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Prop Bet Interest Thread: QQ-Q U A D S-QQ wins 300 bi at 100 nl/pl in 50 days

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03-30-2011 , 10:53 PM

#26

SuperDuperDonk

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 647

50k in 50 days imo

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03-30-2011 , 11:02 PM

#27

zachvac

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 13,775

Quote:

Originally Posted by squid face

310k hands would be a w/r of over 4.8 BB/100

So to win at his normal winrate on PTR he wants 5:1? I mean other people I might bet against but quads has basically dedicated his life to raping 100nl FR right? He's pretty ****in good at it.

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03-30-2011 , 11:15 PM

#28

Zenzor

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 5,420

great time to introduce this prop bet btw

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03-30-2011 , 11:16 PM

#29

QQ-Q u a d s-QQ

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 343

Quote:

Originally Posted by zachvac

So to win at his normal winrate on PTR he wants 5:1? I mean other people I might bet against but quads has basically dedicated his life to raping 100nl FR right? He's pretty ****in good at it.

i said id rtake 4-1 at a 310k hands cap if thats not fair we could workl something out

Quote

03-30-2011 , 11:23 PM

#30

13_Xerxes

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 3,968

Who are the people enough dumb to be bet against you ?

You posted sick graphs last year (like 19k in a month in NL100 w/o any DS). Imo, you should try 25k in one month, with a maximum of 12 tables (no hands cap), and you can get the same odds than FATDAN.

[Edit :

] http://img843.imageshack.us/img843/3905/septemberl.jpg

(one advice, when you want to make a prob bet like that, try to post break evenish months on 2+2

)

Last edited by 13_Xerxes; 03-30-2011 at 11:30 PM. Reason: killing his action !

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03-30-2011 , 11:35 PM

#31

King Fish

A Big Deal Around Here

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 15,117

Not against you. Not even at 1:1 odds.

You are a victim of your own success on this one. Do something no one has ever done, and then you can get the odds you want.

250 BI in 30 days uncapped is reachable for you, and will probably get you the action you are looking for.

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03-31-2011 , 12:32 AM

#32

billybeartku

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 5,835

do 300 BI in 30 days. 3 to 1. you'll likely to get action

Quote

03-31-2011 , 12:45 AM

#33

AlligatorBloodFTW

banned

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 6,425

250 BI in 31 days on ftp and you get all the action you want at 3:1.

Quote

03-31-2011 , 12:50 AM

#34

billybeartku

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 5,835

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlligatorBloodFTW

250 BI in 31 days on ftp and you get all the action you want at 3:1.

and no rush poker amirite? i still think 250 BI is easily doable for op. 300 would be something that's challenging

Quote

03-31-2011 , 12:51 AM

#35

Tumaterminator

HOCKEY!

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 26,045

Quote:

Originally Posted by NomoneyHU.

Spoiler:

No kidding, everything in the range of 3:1, 3.5:1 and 4:1 would be very reasonable. GL to the player involded in this prop bet.

You must've logged a few hands with op, no?

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03-31-2011 , 12:59 AM

#36

AlligatorBloodFTW

banned

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 6,425

Quote:

Originally Posted by billybeartku

and no rush poker amirite? i still think 250 BI is easily doable for op. 300 would be something that's challenging

Well if he won at 10bb/100 he would only need to play ~8.5 hr/day. If he won at 4bb/100 he would need to play 10.5 hr/day and if he won at 6bb/100 he would need to play 14 hr/day. That's if he 16 tables 950 h/hr and wins 250BI.

Last edited by AlligatorBloodFTW; 03-31-2011 at 01:00 AM. Reason: I have a spreadsheet that does the maths for me :)

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03-31-2011 , 01:10 AM

#37

Flippn Corner

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,783

if you don't want to bet against him then that is fine but you don't have to come in his thread and tell everyone how good he is, let the betters do their own homework

Quote

03-31-2011 , 01:11 AM

#38

SuitedJunk

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 2,682

oh, I thought this was going to be win 300 buy ins with QUADS as the winning hand.

Quote

03-31-2011 , 01:12 AM

#39

Zenzor

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 5,420

Quote:

Originally Posted by SuitedJunk

oh, I thought this was going to be win 300 buy ins with QUADS as the winning hand.

ZING!

Quote

03-31-2011 , 01:26 AM

#40

EN09

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 4,271

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flippn Corner

if you don't want to bet against him then that is fine but you don't have to come in his thread and tell everyone how good he is, let the bettors do their own homework

Threads and graphs like these motivate me to keep working at it.

With other similar prop bets, shouldn't these strive to keep stretching the boundaries? OP should play however many tables he wants for as many hands has he can. Limits should be set on the number days played vs BI's won. Reduce days and/or increase BI's. 50 days seems too lengthy.

Quote

03-31-2011 , 01:40 AM

#41

cds0699

LOSING

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 9,018

Quote:

Originally Posted by zachvac

Oh I forgot it was 50 days instead of 31 umm someone do the math (I know bbv isn't great at that)

lol

Quote

03-31-2011 , 02:36 AM

#42

Gregg777

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 2,952

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flippn Corner

if you don't want to bet against him then that is fine but you don't have to come in his thread and tell everyone how good he is, let the betters do their own homework

Huh?

Any relevant info that is not misrepresented or skewed is welcome in this thread.

If you don't like it GTFO...

Quote

03-31-2011 , 03:24 AM

#43

ArChieBunKa

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 267

The premise of the bet is no different than a volume bet. If he is a 5BB winner at 100 fr, he is basically saying bet on me to play 6k hands/day (300k total) for 50 days in a row. It just sounds much harder when u add in the fact that he has to win xxxxx$. On average if he plays 6k hands/day @5BB hes going to win the bet longterm. Basically betting on some bad variance or the fact that he can't play 6k hands/day on average for 50 str8 days.. these bets are gay

Quote

03-31-2011 , 06:55 AM

#44

OMGKaraScott

journeyman

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 391

So whats the buy-inn, 150$? So 150x300/100*50 = 22 500

Spoiler:

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03-31-2011 , 07:51 AM

#45

Frantic_

adept

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 1,023

gl op

Quote

03-31-2011 , 08:20 AM

#46

Toilet_Fart

banned

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 409

Quote:

Originally Posted by OMGKaraScott

So whats the buy-inn, 150$? So 150x300/100*50 = 22 500

Spoiler:

AHHH brings back the memories

Spoiler:

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03-31-2011 , 09:18 AM

#47

EddieOB

veteran

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 2,079

Timing is everything son.....

Quote

03-31-2011 , 10:03 AM

#48

cbtruck15

adept

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 846

Quads is a fish, no way he can pull this off.

Quote

03-31-2011 , 10:17 AM

#49

kelnel

veteran

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 2,718

No RUSH POKER I assume?

Quote

03-31-2011 , 10:19 AM

#50

fxstone11

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 665

i play w/ this guy often at 100nl fr, and if there's anyone at our level who's capable of 300bi in 50 days, it's him. 4:1 is not fair, though.

i'd say 250bi in 31 days at 3:1 with no hands cap is reasonable.

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