Prop: 150 buy-inns at 200NL 6-max on Stars in 31 days, interest gathering thread - Page 2

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Prop: 150 buy-inns at 200NL 6-max on Stars in 31 days, interest gathering thread

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03-30-2011 , 01:30 AM

#26

AlligatorBloodFTW

banned

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 6,425

lol. The 6-max is all poker gods and full ring is all weak passive nits who make bank with no skill debate already happened in the other thread. Even if you truly believe that with all your heart and even if it's true you'll never be able to convince enough people to bet against you.

Last edited by AlligatorBloodFTW; 03-30-2011 at 01:57 AM.

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03-30-2011 , 01:33 AM

#27

jasons0147

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 4,593

Quote:

Originally Posted by luka allen

Shoot, you should move to FR and do 375 BI in a month.

See, now there is someone that knows whats up

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03-30-2011 , 01:46 AM

#28

TeddyKGB45

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 3,136

As BadMoFu's personal attorney, we have decided to settle on 6max, 350BI in a month, using this formula:

30 000 / 200 = 150

1 BI = $150

8-1 seems fair as stated by a coach earlier. If there aren't any objections we would like to rest our case.

Last edited by TeddyKGB45; 03-30-2011 at 01:47 AM. Reason: also, 1 month = 35 days

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03-30-2011 , 01:58 AM

#29

yegor

Verified Coach NLHE

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 1,870

Quote:

Originally Posted by BadMoFu

Im Hyi_Vam

solid sn bro

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03-30-2011 , 02:48 AM

#30

My Socks

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 23

I bet you can't win 350 buy-inns in 35 days, that's like 10 buy-inns in a day.

350 / 35 = 10 you see

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03-30-2011 , 02:55 AM

#31

Supernova_Elite

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 3,771

reserve $900 against

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03-30-2011 , 03:20 AM

#32

7gramrocks

enthusiast

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 62

Quote:

Originally Posted by DamienT

30 000 / 200 = 150

1 BI = $150 ?

sick fail

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03-30-2011 , 03:32 AM

#33

DreamScaper

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 275

So, what again is the propbet? If bbv can figure out what a buyin is?

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03-30-2011 , 03:57 AM

#34

maglame

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 1,287

OP forgot to mention he short stacks, so its more like 0.35*200*150=10500$ in 31 days. Which comes out to around 350 a day if I'm not mistaken.

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03-30-2011 , 04:06 AM

#35

LongDonkSilva

stranger

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 14

Let x be the days he plays and M the Money he wins.
furthermore lets assume he runs with 2 ptbb/100 playing 12k hands a day. Integration over x yields:

M=int(2/100*12000*$4)_(x=0)^(x=31) = $29,760

he will fail. close, but fail

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03-30-2011 , 05:06 AM

#36

BrotherCatcher

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 486

5* imo

for the lawls

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03-30-2011 , 06:09 AM

#37

d7o1d1s0

Coach NLHE

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 2,463

pretty sure this is exactly how OP thought it would go

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03-30-2011 , 06:53 AM

#38

absolutefish

BBV champion

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 7,826

Quote:

Originally Posted by DamienT

30 000 / 200 = 150

1 BI = $150 ?

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03-30-2011 , 06:57 AM

#39

NomoneyHU.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 6,061

Quote

03-30-2011 , 07:01 AM

#40

absolutefish

BBV champion

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 7,826

Nice vectors.

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03-30-2011 , 09:13 AM

#41

DesperadoGM

adept

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 706

are you shortstacking now HYI? this could explain ur ptr winrate being low.

i take it you will full stack for the whole of the challenge?

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03-30-2011 , 09:22 AM

#42

Silent_0ne

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 1,309

sorry but rays champ just showed how easy it is to win a prop bet that apparently he should have only had a 25% chance of winning based off the odds. you are doing 150 buyins compared to his 200 and obv 200nl is harder but i think 2 to 1 is fair given how easily rays crushed a "4 to 1" bet.

you probly have better than 33% chance to win when you incoperate the hustle variable. but for fun ill bet 2k to win 1k at 2 to 1. gl, let us kno when everything is setup.

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03-30-2011 , 09:34 AM

#43

97Suited

banned

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 595

Quote:

Originally Posted by Silent_0ne

how is rays accomplisment anything to do with this guy ? surely they are 2 different players

3-1 seems fair to me

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03-30-2011 , 09:40 AM

#44

Jkarioun

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 1,338

Quote:

Originally Posted by 97Suited

how is rays accomplisment anything to do with this guy ? surely they are 2 different players

3-1 seems fair to me

yeah, also this is 6max and has nothing to do with fullring, mass-tabling 6max is draining mentally and way tougher, also stakes are higher

3:1 is fair imo

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03-30-2011 , 09:40 AM

#45

WAtR

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 2,386

People have no idea of variance in this thread. Rays Champ won his bet and made it look easy but this was due to variance. He could easily have had a 100k breakeven stretch or started off with a 30 buyin downswing and just failed miserably.

Just because Rays Champ won his bet at 4:1 does not mean 4:1 were the incorrect odds. Likewise with this bet, demanding 2:1 simply because another player achieved a similar bet is kind of ridiculous.

I reckon 3:1 would be reasonable.

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03-30-2011 , 11:52 AM

#46

z0mgtiltz

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 10,948

I play with OP regularly. He doesn't shortstack.

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03-30-2011 , 12:30 PM

#47

WAtR

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 2,386

Quote:

Originally Posted by z0mgtiltz

I play with OP regularly. He doesn't shortstack.

Out of interest, why would OP being a short stacker put people off this bet? Surely it would be harder to win $30k in the same time period while shortstacking, especially consider that rakeback is not included...

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03-30-2011 , 12:37 PM

#48

riksanchez

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 2,066

Quote:

Originally Posted by jasons0147

I think we should do more math first

Quote:

Originally Posted by Silent_0ne

sorry but rays champ just showed how easy it is to win a prop bet that apparently he should have only had a 25% chance of winning based off the odds. .... given how easily rays crushed a "4 to 1" bet.

bbv could def do with some maths classes by the looks of it

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03-30-2011 , 03:49 PM

#49

ADACTA

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 364

lol @ comparing the bets

This bet is so effin hard and considering OP has been a RB pro last 700k hands 3:1 is very low.

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03-30-2011 , 04:32 PM

#50

optionsguy

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 3,123

Quote:

Originally Posted by Silent_0ne

wasn't rays already a big time grinder as well as having a higher wr than .6? 3:1 seems pretty fair for this imo

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