Nearing 5 month downswing, plausible for winning player? - Page 4

I'm guessin most of you post out of a bitter resentment at your own failing bankrolls and for those that aren't complete losers, this ***** is gonna happen to your roll one day I can promise you that!

Offer's still on the table for everyone, I see alot of smart-arse,cocky and self-indulgent posts but I'm yet to see any of yo broke asses at my table.

08-31-2010 , 01:43 PM

#77

buck22

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 1,290

Now exactly 5 months of running like a c**t! Have literally had to take up meditation and gotta say it's working a treat. The graphs are in same order as before and the first graph is on-going playing 10 tables of NLH100.

http://img444.imageshack.us/img444/7...1contagain.png

http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/6452/graph2f.png
http://img217.imageshack.us/img217/3365/graph3.png
http://img96.imageshack.us/img96/1160/graph4n.png
http://img202.imageshack.us/img202/7136/graph5.png

Will post at 6 months with better results hopefully, anyone know of similar threads of mega downswings?

08-31-2010 , 01:51 PM

#78

Mikess2001

banned

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,053

You said your running 26 Buyins under EV at 100NL.

Im running 35 Buyins under EV at 100NL. Nothing you can do but keep getting it in good and not tilting.

Remember...variance is a hooker that doesnt accept money.

09-01-2010 , 06:37 AM

#79

cantpokeher

banned

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 81

you're just that unlucky

09-01-2010 , 08:00 AM

#80

cdog

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 2,638

get a database analysis done on your whole N100 hand history

google

"mpethybridge"

or look for him in the coaching forum

even if you are a winner on a downswing, Im sure you still have leaks

09-01-2010 , 08:02 AM

#81

DamienT

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,911

Everything is possible.

http://www.evplusplus.com/poker_tool...nce_simulator/
http://www.evplusplus.com/poker_tool...te_confidence/

09-01-2010 , 01:20 PM

#82

gimmetheloot

banned

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 15,371

Quote:

Originally Posted by buck22

http://img96.imageshack.us/img96/1160/graph4n.png

this just does not happen to winning players.

Ill play you 100NL HU until you quit. 4 tabling, 1k hands min, $500 escrow for quitting early.

LMK.

09-01-2010 , 04:50 PM

#83

buck22

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 1,290

Quote:

Originally Posted by gimmetheloot

this just does not happen to winning players.

Ill play you 100NL HU until you quit. 4 tabling, 1k hands min, $500 escrow for quitting early.

LMK.

Teehee @ preaching what can't happen from your one sided view of your 1 account that ran like it should. It CAN happen and it IS happening!

As for ur challenge the rake would eat us alive and don't know or trust any1 enough on here to handle $500 for me. Shame those pokerstars NLH HU deep sit n go's don't refresh the tables as it's a cheaper alternative but impossible to sit at with a friend....and no support don't give a sh**.

09-01-2010 , 05:10 PM

#84

ruicunha

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 186

Downswing lol.

You really believe that?

Get money out of there, what are you waiting ? to go bankrupt?

Change poker house.

09-01-2010 , 05:43 PM

#85

buck22

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 1,290

Quote:

Originally Posted by ruicunha

Downswing lol.

You really believe that?

Get money out of there, what are you waiting ? to go bankrupt?

Change poker house.

Have done, that 1st graph is the new site im playing and it has a good reputation. This downswing has followed me over 5 sites so it isn't just 1 dodgy site.

09-01-2010 , 06:53 PM

#86

99killed

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 6,188

just 100k hands? play more obv

09-01-2010 , 08:34 PM

#87

buck22

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 1,290

Quote:

Originally Posted by DamienT

Everything is possible.

http://www.evplusplus.com/poker_tool...nce_simulator/
http://www.evplusplus.com/poker_tool...te_confidence/

Just plugged in 100 trials of 1m hands at 2bb/100 and SD of 90 and it shows there's a 1% chance of breaking even. Hell of an eye-opener, 1m hands is nearly a lifetimes worth live, that mean 1 in 100 2bb/100 live players run like sh** n break even all their life?

Btw EV is $1k back in the positive, this downswing has been a major lesson in anti-tilt

09-01-2010 , 09:01 PM

#88

TheBestMan

banned

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 316

Variance blows. if it's getting to you though, take a step back from poker(this could be one day, one week, one month), whatever amount of time that allows you to do something different. Seep in some positive energy in this time, and then get back to grinding with your new-found perspective! GOOD LUCK

09-02-2010 , 06:14 AM

#89

DamienT

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,911

That's why live players make me laugh.

lol variancaments.

09-05-2010 , 10:36 AM

#90

buck22

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 1,290

Changing site (just for change of scenery) so posting the the finale of my latest bullsh** graph.

http://img826.imageshack.us/img826/3435/graphcont.png

Stats for downswing are running $3894.17 under EV over 148k hands with no signs of letting up. By far the sickest result is the $4.7k dive in my EV line which is always a confidence boost.

In before but EV can't dip over 47 buyins under your true winrate, oooooooooohhhhh it f***** can!

09-05-2010 , 06:05 PM

#91

ImportTax

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,379

Quote:

Originally Posted by gimmetheloot

dude, its not possible to drop 4k at 100NL in 10k hands without lots of tilt and awful play

This.

Obvious there is some sort of tilt issue. Maybe try calling less 3 bets oop with suited connectors or potential combo draw hands once you open.

Take a break. Forgot evaluating your game, you are only going to waste a bunch of time and only ever come up with the same conclusion you would have at the beginning.

09-05-2010 , 06:06 PM

#92

MD_007

journeyman

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 211

im loosing sice the year started, GTFO

09-05-2010 , 06:35 PM

#93

Human Trashcan

stranger

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 6

This thread is relevant to my interests.

09-05-2010 , 06:59 PM

#94

CaptainJerry

banned

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 106

what sites you had biggest swings @? party was best for me up to nl400..try it out and gl in future

09-05-2010 , 07:15 PM

#95

gdpoker

banned

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 74

Quote:

Originally Posted by LOLDONKBETZ

Keep depositing and probably try moving up limits to get your money back faster. GL

Thats terrible advice

09-05-2010 , 07:43 PM

#96

buck22

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 1,290

Quote:

Originally Posted by ImportTax

1. That was HU PLO, my NLHHU game has a standard deviation of 180 so PLO is usually double, sick game.

2. Check out the first 38k hands of this graph:

http://img826.imageshack.us/img826/3435/graphcont.png

...and I'm crushing this game, no doubt will be 3+bb/100 winner in a few
100k hands, so think what is possible in just 7k hands of PLO HU!

Just had 2 weeks off and evaluating my game was far from a waste of time as it restored my confidence, as long as you're true to yourself then evaluating your own game can't be a bad thing.

ps had a winning day wooooooooooooooooo!!

09-05-2010 , 07:44 PM

#97

PokerAng3l

banned

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 380

Quote:

Originally Posted by LOLDONKBETZ

Keep depositing and probably try moving up limits to get your money back faster. GL

This comment is a perfect example of why BBV has become so monotonous and boring to read.

Unoriginal people posting the same lines over and over again in a poor attempt to be funny. Maybe this was a little funny the first time, but the millionth time its lost it.

Poindexter.

09-05-2010 , 07:44 PM

#98

buck22

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 1,290

Quote:

Originally Posted by MD_007

im loosing sice the year started, GTFO

bummer....

09-05-2010 , 07:45 PM

#99

buck22

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 1,290

Quote:

Originally Posted by Human Trashcan

This thread is relevant to my interests.

bummer....

09-05-2010 , 07:46 PM

#100

buck22

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 1,290

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaptainJerry

what sites you had biggest swings @? party was best for me up to nl400..try it out and gl in future

Fulltilt crushed me

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