Just gauging interest as of now, not sure I even want to run it. Gist of the bet would be something like this; formal rules will be written out if there is enough action generated.

-3:1 odds in my favor
-15,000 $15/30 18/45mans from Sep 1 at 0:01 to Sep 30 at 23:59 (pokerstars server time aka EST)
-Must profit pre RB to win the bet
-Sharkscope to rule unless it's close, then player audit will be used
-1 very credible escrow, 3 judges

All I can think of off the top of my head





I am a SNE on PS playing under the sn 'slayerv1fan,' I just started playing 18mans this month as I quit grinding 6m hyper turbos as my main game due to a number of reasons I talk about in my pg&c thread here on 2p2. My SS is unblocked (and gross ) and is reset to when I started my late SNE grind on August 14th, 2012.


To those that don't know the current state of the games, I usually load every single $15/$30 18man when I'm playing and rarely can get over 30 tables, and can only get nearly that many during a small stretch of 'peak' time during each day. Now ofc, 30 tables is a lot, but when your games/hr is as low as it is grinding 18/45man turbos, this would mean a lottt of hours needed to be played.

I am projecting that this will take 14-15 hours a day every single day, and that is if I play 14 straight hour sessions....taking any form of a break midway through the day kills the game/hr, although I'm sure I will need to take a break a few different times during the middle of a day throughout the month

Yea so any questions/comments/concerns can be posted, we're a long way off but I want to post this now so we have plenty of time to finalize everything and find escrows/judges. If interested in betting, definitely post an amount so I can get an idea of how much action against I could get.


Edit:

Here's the highest volume 18m players (18s will be the majority of what I play during the bet) this year at the $15/30 stakes...I might have missed 1 or 2 regs that would be lower on this list as I just started playing these games but sooo tilted and mastr0 are def the top volume regs at them

gl joshua! will think about it :P

Thats a sick grind, dude! Gl

how can your lazy ass get this done =)

would bet against

this won't be 15 hours if you can load 35-40 tables during peak hours + avg like 45 games an hour in the other hours. Nonetheless a challenge but more like ~11 hours to make a conservative estimate. You can split it in 2 sessions a day and still achieve this.

IMO 3:1 is way off because of this.

How much $ will you be putting up?

Well the 9 days I've grinded this month I've never hit 35 tables outside of a happy hour, so cant just auto agree with your assumption considering I load every single 18man that pops and 45s load pretty slow; usually am loading like ~8-10 9mans to jumpstart sesh and still don't hit that table count

I would bet against this being 11hrs a day split into 2 sessions, that doesn't really sound correct at all, especially since volume is pretty withered outside of the main peak time.

Idk hoping for 5-15k on my end

glgl

I played 362 games in 10 hrs 45 mins yesterday and I started with happy hour that starts at 7am my time and played 3 sessions and got in 2 HH's that got me huge volume during those 2 hours. Also added in some 9m's early in sessions to jumpstart table count, something I wouldnt be able to do during the bet.

I really just dont see 11 hrs split into 2 sessions being anything close to accurate

edit: my pg&c update yday which had hrs played in it
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=2443

jd4wg is definately right about this, volume in 18/45 mans is pretty low during off peak hours

i think ppl have no idea how hard this will be, i wouldn't even do this bet myself at 4:1 odds if i had all the time, piss bottles etc lol

i would need more evidence about games/hour if u load everything b4 bets (as this knowledge is less available then for 6max hypers with different amount of ##) but the odds do seem a little too much in ur favour.

I might be wrong but everything depends on how much u will get per hour obv.

I think the odds are very close and I will say it´s impressive regardless if achieved. If I was doing this for the pure +ev of putting in volume I would consider offering something similar. 3-1 is a fair bet, 3.5 to 1 or 4 to 1 might be perfect pending games/hour but, that's the risk with these prop bets. I think you'll do fine at getting action at these odds.

u realize i had to settle for 2.6 to 1... Idk though, some more empirical data for feasible #/hour should be conclusive but to me 2;1 seems better

Once happy hour week is over, I'm more than willing to put in a day dedicated to this and will post results in this thread....probably can do it this coming Tuesday or Wednesday

Not trying to angle at all, truly felt what I posted to be true information and that the odds were correct. More than willing to put in a day for us all to find out

lulz, srry, 2-1 was what I meant, not 4-1 or 3.5 more like 2-1 or 2.5 to 1.

Drunkeness ftl

Reserve 900 at 2:1

Unless you wante to judge

reserve 1k for me at 2:1

but i'm pretty sure you won't do that hehe

sng are braindead and youre profitable so its just a volume based bet

no ****

this seems like a brutal bet if u have to legit play 15hrs every single day for a month.

what is your reason behind wanting to do it?

I have moderate interest in this at 2:1. As stated its pretty much a pure volume bet and I know I'd be close to slitting my wrists after 2 hours of this, but if you have the drive (and I've seen you grow on these forums) then while your life will suck and I assume you will be miserable, it is achievable as long as you don't meltdown or burn out or make yourself ill thru stress/boredom/lack of sleep/nutrition etc. These of course are factors and why I think if u do it you deserve maaaaaaaaad props (but not necc. 3-1)

If you want 3:1 (or even 4:1) then what do you think about adding a w/r clause?

Willing to judge for a small fee. I met Josh 15 months ago and stayed at his place during SCOOP 2012 for full transparency.

GL

Attention