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EV swing - Is this standard ? EV swing - Is this standard ?

11-23-2015 , 05:57 PM
Hi guys,

I've asked Stars to send me all my hh's and tried to import them all but computer is too laggy. So here i imported the most recent ones.

I'm on a long breakeven strectch for the last 500k hands. My game has been deeply affected by this swing. My mental game was at its worst a few months ago. It's been a little bit better lately but still not great, obviously.

Basically, i'm 130 buy-ins under EV for the 1.8M hands i could import. I know the sample is huge and that could be "ok" but out of the 130, 100 buy ins were lost to EV during those last 500k hands.

I've never been a crusher and my winrate could surely be better. I'm trying to work on my game to improve those 2.15 bb/100 (EV adjusted).

Stakes:
15% 100NL
60% 50NL
25% 25NL
10% 10NL

Is that, by any means, standard ?
How do you handle those EV swings ?
In those situations, what else than volume and improvement would you consider ?



Advice and recommendations are appreciated.

GL
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-23-2015 , 06:05 PM
Quote:
Is that, by any means, standard ?
Yes

Quote:
How do you handle those EV swings ?
Alcohol

Quote:
In those situations, what else than volume and improvement would you consider ?
Fold more rivers
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-23-2015 , 06:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by W3ll_D0ne
How do you handle those EV swings ?
With music!

EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-23-2015 , 07:01 PM
Prize for OP for being the first person to post a large sample?
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-23-2015 , 07:13 PM
^ true that
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-23-2015 , 07:16 PM
this is standard
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-23-2015 , 08:23 PM
Running like that over 500k hands would make fidstar a sad fidstar.
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-23-2015 , 08:37 PM
plug some numbers into the pokerdope variance calculator and it will give you loads of info on what size downswings you can expect and how often you can expect them
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-24-2015 , 01:49 AM
so how many cheesburgers is that?
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-24-2015 , 01:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thabighurt35
so how many cheesburgers is that?
Quote:
Originally Posted by W3ll_D0ne

Stakes:
15% 100NL
60% 50NL
25% 25NL
10% 10NL
read the ****ing **** man
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-24-2015 , 07:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sammy2bullets
Alcohol
It was helping for a while...

Quote:
Prize for OP for being the first person to post a large sample?
Salute.

Quote:
this is standard
k ty

Quote:
Running like that over 500k hands would make fidstar a sad fidstar.
Must be a pattern here... I'm not the happiest guy around

Quote:
Originally Posted by Quasar
plug some numbers into the pokerdope variance calculator and it will give you loads of info on what size downswings you can expect and how often you can expect them
Done that, ty.

Quote:
so how many cheesburgers is that?
$ wise, about 7k. Can't find the current cheeseburger currency rate...
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-24-2015 , 08:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by W3ll_D0ne
$ wise, about 7k. Can't find the current cheeseburger currency rate...
1 cheeseburgah = bout tree fiddy

glad i could help
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-24-2015 , 10:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by W3ll_D0ne
$ wise, about 7k. Can't find the current cheeseburger currency rate...
Lol amateurs

The rate is ~3.50

Last edited by vrael111; 11-24-2015 at 10:16 AM. Reason: Damn too late
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-24-2015 , 12:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by W3ll_D0ne
$ wise, about 7k. Can't find the current cheeseburger currency rate...
****ing idiot gtfo
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-24-2015 , 03:11 PM
legit sample
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-24-2015 , 05:03 PM
lol bigblinds
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-24-2015 , 09:48 PM
Not standard. Sucks.
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-25-2015 , 08:27 AM
and btw, this isn't as standard as it is STD...

Last edited by se7en.de2ce; 11-25-2015 at 08:27 AM. Reason: STD as a desease =)
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-25-2015 , 08:34 AM
Isn't it obvious?

You suck, find a new hobby or keep paying other people's rent

Oh, Also

Spoiler:
EAD
EAD
EAD
EAD
EAD
EAD
EAD
EAD
EAD
EAD

Last edited by Natamus; 11-25-2015 at 08:40 AM. Reason: b/c LDO
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-25-2015 , 10:12 AM
Came here to laugh at the sample size, but no, that's legit.

For every person who wins the lottery, there's someone who is slated to win the anti-lottery, if there is such a thing.

And here it is, and here you are.
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-27-2015 , 02:57 AM
Op will you use a variance calculator and tell us the likelihood of your nightmarish run?

It's sickening to think the difference with your EV line. But imaging there are people that are running the same delta OVER your EV line. Yuck.
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-27-2015 , 03:08 AM
lol ev.. ev doesn't mean ****. This is reality, welcome. You won what you were supposed to win. Deal with it.
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-27-2015 , 10:09 PM
is this thread about graphs?
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-27-2015 , 11:01 PM
Legit beat
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote
11-28-2015 , 06:12 AM
Rofl holdem players complaining about being 120 BI under aiev, play a real game if you want to know variance
EV swing - Is this standard ? Quote

      
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