I primarily play live 1/3 up to 10/20 depending where and what's spread and took many years off after moving to a location that didn't have any reliable rooms. That has changed, so back to playing 20+ hrs a week.

Obviously a ton has changed since I've been away with solvers, theory and other such things.

So I decided I wanted to study and improve enough to beat as high as I can go online with 6max. Obviously live poker is much softer, so I fully expect this to be pretty tough.

I've been doing 10k hand samples on ACR and studying the data each 10k sample and making what seems like important changes for the next 10k. Typically I would end up a few BI down. Mostly due to being a pay off wizard with hero calls or too aggro and trying to get folds that "should" fold.

Have 100k hands that way and have plugged a ton of leaks. Very few hero calls and rarely do anything spewy/punting to get folds (unless it seems reasonable of course).

Preflop I'm player a very disciplined simplified solver base range for open, 3!, 4!, and 5!. Unless something on hud stats indicates something better.

Postflop is semi solver based. Trying to work in overbets in the right spots/frequencies while not ignoring the hud for exploitive changes.


This is the first 1k hands on my new goal of playing 100k hands without revamping much every 10k hands. I'll definitely be pouring over the stats, but with the intention this time to let things play out far longer and barring any glaring leak, keep grinding away.

Obviously this sample is perfect example of a heater. But always nice to start of well.

Vpip: 21.00 PFR: 17.80 3b: 9.22 4b: 13.04

Money won: $576 Adjusted for EV: $455

BB Won: 1153bb Adjusted for EV: 911bb


No major suckouts for or against me. Though I had QQ AI pre hold up against AK running twice. Slow played AA (didn't 4! in position) against KK and it held as he got his stack in by the river. Had KTcc on a Qd Jc 3c flop in 3! pot. V didn't price me out and completed flush on river vs his KK and he shoved river.

Few other hands. Only two notable hero calls. One was AQ on a T424J board against a V who didn't have full stack, had a 20 3b in a 200 hand sample as well as showing A9s and 98s calling 4! OOP. His bet timing was very fast and didn't seem thought out. So, I called 60% turn and river bets. Ended up being right. Though I'm still analyzing to make sure I picked the right spot regardless of the results.

Sets, Flushes, and Straights are all inside one standard deviation from average at the moment.

So, not running good in the sense of suckouts, but definitely on a heater and I expect here soon I'll be seeing a big correction in my graph.


But for now......wheeeeeeeeee.

Very nice, try to keep the red an blue line positive for the next 50k hands and you are ready to move up.

Got another 550 hands in. Mostly still running pretty good.

Was ahead about 250bb in the session when I ran into two aggrodonks trying to rep and A on A high boards when I had AQ and AK. One ended up running out a 4 liner and the other hit a gut shot. That was worth about 150-200bb.

Went up and down a bit and finished up 120bb for the session with EV adjusted about the same.

Current graph below.

With a positive red line, I'm Cbet:

Flop: 70% with 48% success.
Turn: 53% with 50% success.
River: 60% with 67% success.

I'm folding to Cbet:

Flop: 49%
Turn: 11%

Not sure if the folding to cbet is g2g or not. Will look into it.

Running the PT4 Leak Tracker, I need to fold a little more on the Turn. My flop and river folds are just on the edge of the green. Everything else is pretty well inside.

Still a super small sample. But I feel like the overall strategy is +EV long term after spending a ton of time plugging leaks.

Besides cutting down on my river pay off wizard calls, the next biggest thing I've been working on is my cbet frequency along with board texture.

Sounds pretty elementary, but choosing to cbet and not cbet on boards depending who's range they hit better can't be overstated on how much this helps your win rate. Seeing huge improvements and getting into fewer tough spots.

The heater continues!! Another quick 200 hand session. Up 228bb for the session.

In 2k hands, we are up 16 buy ins. Our adjusted EV is 80% of our actual winnings. So running good all the way around.


Definitely had some run good in two hands. Had KK facing a 5! shove from AK. He only runs once and we hold up.


Had AJo my CO 3! vs his HJ open. He flats AQo. Runout was A85JA. Didn't get stacks in, but about 80bb each in. Definitely sucked out on that one.



The impending downswing is gonna be brutal. But hopefully the upswing lasts long enough it doesn't hurt too much.