So - here's the thing - I've been tracking every poker session I've played since 2012, but for various reasons (mostly because most of my games were mixed fixed-limit games before then) I'm only looking at 2017-onward. I did play more *poker* than this, but I'm only including "big bet" games - so basically just NLHE, PLO, and PLO8 sessions. And I'm only including cash, not tournaments.

So I finally did the math and I have about 250 hours of live poker tracked down. I know that's not a huge sample size - even at, say, 40 hands per hour. that's only around ~10,000 hands, but it's a *start.* I'm hoping someone can help me out with some stats analysis (I was never very good at math - dyscalculic).

First off, I'm not sure I've even calculated my BB/hr rate right. If I am right, then the result is that I'm positive to the tune of +20BB/hr over 250 hrs. That doesn't seem possible without a hell of a lot of luck or a big math error.

Secondly, let's say that I have done the math right. How can I get a good idea of where the error bars are on my winrate? Am I +20BB +/- 10BB or +20BB +/- 100BB?

I put the info in google sheets and while it's read-only, I've enabled comments. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing



Would love to get your input.

you rich ****er

For serious analysis this is not the right forum, OP. Maybe try General Poker Discussion.

Will do. Don't quite know how to delete/close this thread though.

Oh we can still add the BBV take on this. After all, this is a brag!

did you pay your taxes on these winnings OP?

For 2017 - 2019, yes. (Why do you think I started the spreadsheet?). Gambling winnings made after April 2019 were made in the United Kingdom, and gambling winnings are not taxable there.

lol Sample size

Only a brag if it went to hookers.

So you didn't pay your taxes. Great job tax evader. the IRS will be at your door shortly.

I live in the UK.

Did your results change after Brexit?

Thanks for letting us know your location, officers have been dispatched

No.

Why would they?

Cliffs:

OP thinks he can play ~40 hands per hour live including PLO and PLO8
OP played 250 hrs of live poker in 4 years (1.25hours per week)
OP wants to know if 1/2 live is beatable?
OP is blatantly trolling the IRS to come and find him

Dunno, that would have been the next question if they had!

To be fair, two of those years were 2020 and 2021, not exactly the greatest for live poker.

you just didn't try hard enough