2-10 NL prop bet - Poker Beats Brags and Variance

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2-10 NL prop bet

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02-12-2011 , 12:33 PM

Jemz

enthusiast

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 52

Hello not sure where to post this so gunna post it here and try and see what youre guys opinions would be. Just wondering what kind of odds youd get on the following bet.

220,000 hands of 2/5 or 10 NL in 5 days. would require roughly 23 hrs a day of play provided you play 24 tables of 6 Max.

6 Max x 24 = Roughly 2000 hands per hour

Would be hard as would require you to play 23 hrs per day roughly and sleep around 1 hr per day.

Would good odds be given on this regardless of the stake? or would i have to increase the time/hands/stake to get action?

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02-12-2011 , 12:46 PM

Skinz

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 675

um do you have to win anything or just play 220,000 hands of poker in 5 days?

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02-12-2011 , 12:49 PM

Jemz

enthusiast

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 52

Sorry yeh... im guessing show profit cant be negative

Not done a prop bet before but would be REALLY interested in finding a prop bet for a micro stakes grinder to do that would atch get interest?

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02-12-2011 , 12:54 PM

CrazyNL

banned

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 3,377

how much u wanna bet?

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02-12-2011 , 12:58 PM

4betfold

banned

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 339

pretty sure your body would collapse, and you would be in hospital, considering ur a micro grinder, dont think its worth it for a couple of K

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02-12-2011 , 01:02 PM

1out1time

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 195

hi cake123

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02-12-2011 , 01:12 PM

Jemz

enthusiast

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 52

Id deffo have about 750-1000 available to wager depending on odds id deffo give it a shot. Im just wondering what the general Odds peopelw ould be willing to take on it were.

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02-12-2011 , 01:15 PM

4betbluff

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 400

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jemz

Id deffo have about 750-1000 available to wager depending on odds id deffo give it a shot. Im just wondering what the general Odds peopelw ould be willing to take on it were.

Showing a minimum profit, I think you can get 5:1. It also depends on stakes, way more fish on 2NL ofcourse compared to 10NL

Also a webcam 24/7 would be required

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02-12-2011 , 02:15 PM

AlligatorBloodFTW

banned

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 6,425

You'd fill up your action easy at 5:1 even if you did all 2NL. Don't think the stake really matters that much since showing a profit isn't the hard part.

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02-12-2011 , 02:21 PM

#10

gator-rob

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 79

ill bet 700 to your 100 at any stake

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02-12-2011 , 02:41 PM

#11

RangeyMcTriplmerge

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 1,467

what's your actual plan here...? do you actually intend not to sleep more than 1 hour a day on average? I'm kinda interested but at the same time you've sold this in a way that it reads as almost impossible unless you're going to be whacked off your nuts on speed and/or botting and/or having someone help... obv i'm not accusing you of any of these

but if you could confirm that you actually intend to be doing something in the region of 23 hours a day (and will have a webcam), then I could well be interested in this.

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02-12-2011 , 02:43 PM

#12

Immolate

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 690

Is cocaine allowed?

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02-12-2011 , 02:45 PM

#13

NomoneyHU.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 6,061

You should play on Full Tilt to do this challenge. 8-tabling Rush should be around 3k hands/hour which is doable in ~73 hours which will take you about 15 hours a day. It will be less longer to do imo.

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02-12-2011 , 02:54 PM

#14

Jemz

enthusiast

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 52

If i did it, which i am now strongly concidering. It would be within the next 2 months so i can book it around my work.

And no drugs allowed . Id prolly sleep any spare hours i have bunched up together in the middle of the week... 1 hr a day would be ******ed imho.

And yes webcam would be on 24 hrs a day and everythign legit, SN provided propper 2+2 escrow. all legit/

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02-12-2011 , 02:57 PM

#15

RangeyMcTriplmerge

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 1,467

Quote:

Originally Posted by NomoneyHU.

15 hours a day is not worthy of a prop-bet though... if i'm going to lose several hundred dollars on a bet like this, at the very least i want OP to be devastatingly physically and mentally traumatised from the experience to make it worthwhile.

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02-12-2011 , 03:00 PM

#16

NomoneyHU.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 6,061

Quote:

Originally Posted by RangeyMcTriplmerge

But the volume is still sick. 220k hands in 5 days. You always have to think, think, think...

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02-12-2011 , 03:40 PM

#17

Craggoo

banned

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 12,645

Quote:

Originally Posted by NomoneyHU.

But the volume is still sick. 220k hands in 5 days. You just have to fold, fold, fold your way to victory...

imo

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02-12-2011 , 04:26 PM

#18

shoestring

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 142

Quote:

Originally Posted by RangeyMcTriplmerge

15 hours a day is not worthy of a prop-bet though... if i'm going to lose several hundred dollars on a bet like this, at the very least i want OP to be devastatingly physically and mentally traumatised from the experience to make it worthwhile.

This made me laugh out loud. Very true though, i summise that's the the thoughts of any bettor on a prop bet

The sadist in us all comes to the fore with prop bets.

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