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A sketchy draw

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02-28-2023 , 12:35 PM

mongidig

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 8,006

UTG open raises, there are 3 calls, SB calls, I call in the BB with 4d5h.

3c6c6s...Checked to UTG who bets, MP raises, button calls and SB calls, I call

3c6c6s9c...Checked to button who bets, SB calls, and it's on me.

I think the button at worst has trip sixes and could have a flush. She is pretty passive post flop. I don't have specific reads on the other players other than they are just average non pro type players.

I'm not sure about spots like these. On one hand the pot is big but on the other hand there is a lot of danger out there with my draw.

I guess I just have to be optimistic here. Is this a spot to get away from the hand earlier on the flop?

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02-28-2023 , 05:26 PM

chillrob

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 23,102

I would just fold this preflop, but I would play it suited and could be in the same spot. I call the flop but don't really like it. Easy fold on the river - you have 6 outs at best, if you're not drawing dead.

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02-28-2023 , 09:36 PM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,281

I think flop is a fold to so much action and unclosed.

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03-01-2023 , 10:14 AM

Unguarded

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 5,738

I think that we just have napkins on the turn. There are a lot of flush combos out there even if SB isn't very loose pre. But a loose-passive can have something crazy like 40 combos of flushes here. A flush should be significantly more likely than trips. And then there are a few boats too.

I am not folding the flop. Our 6 non-club outs should still have nice implied odds despite the paired board. I'd rather have a rainbow gutshot on an unpaired board though.

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