Quote:
Originally Posted by LifeRebooted
For value.
I suppose but it's pretty thin, especially if we read either UTG or HJ as nits. From the OP I put them on 11%-20% and I'll make BB call 75%, so we're about 29% hot and cold which I would consider an obvious play for value. The times that the blind folds we have about a third of the equity so that's even better.
But if they're the type to be limping AJo (or being tricky with KK) then we're more like 26%, 31% when the blind folds [where 28% is fair share of a seven-bet pot].
This ignores where BB shows up with a monster, which shades down our equity slightly.
Less important than such a thin H&C margin though is how this hand will play postflop. I started to say we're cutting down our own implied odds, but QJs seems like a neutral implied odds hand. It lays RIO to KJ+, KQ+ but gets IO from straights and flushes.
One theoretical thing I'm never sure of: On one hand it seems bad to build a pot for no reason OOP because I want to play for more money IP. On the other hand the principle I take from NL is that you'd rather be closer to all in OOP. In limit poker I take that to mean that a bigger pot gives you easier decisions OOP because the size of the pot offsets positional advantage. (Imagine your "stack" in LHE is the number of bets you can reasonably put in postflop.) So the two factors seem to offset. Would appreciate if anyone can help clarify my thinking
And finally, of course there's mixing up your game with QJs which has value if your opponents are observant.
Anyway I don't think it's a good play or a bad play here, just the sort of thing that good aggressive players do without thinking and maybe don't realize how marginal it is.