Quote:
Originally Posted by CrazyLond
I would think some kind of busted straight or hand like AQ where he figures it is too strong to fold and then realizes on the river that he doesn't have anything. I am not saying this is likely and I will admit I am probably too optimistic about this possibility at 19-1 if that is the consensus.
In general I maybe call too much in these situations where I am closing the action in a big pot. I rarely find myself confident enough in my read to fold getting that price. My head says he took a goofball line, maybe he has a goofball hand once in a while.
I think the idea of him suddenly deciding to bet with some marginal hand that has AK but not QQ beat is even less likely than the airball. If that is true then it seems if calling with AK is lighting money on fire then QQ may also be a fold. I find this interesting because in real time I wouldn't even consider folding QQ.
The only straight draws on the flop are gutshots, so he would have to be opening 7x/5x/T9 UTG, and then c/r/4 this flop after you have shown real strength, and their are still 2 other players in the hand.
I don't know why you think he took a goofball line, he c/r/4 the flop and then bet every street and didn't get raised. I think his hand is pretty good and probably not an airball.
Maybe he does this with 99, but once you 3! the flop I think a TAG will start to slow down with 99/TT here.