Quote:
Originally Posted by DCIAce
This wouldn't be happening with a draw.
If England beat Algeria and it's a draw against Slovenia then going into the last matchday it'll be:
England - 4 points, ? GD (at least +1)
Slovenia - 4 points, +1 GD
USA - 2 points, 0 GD
so a win over Algeria by 2 or more goals would guarantee jumping over Slovenia if they draw with England or the loser if one or the other win.
For completeness, here are the other scenarios:
England - Algeria is a draw:
Slovenia - 4 points, +1GD
USA - 2 points, 0 GD
England - 2 points, 0 GD (these positions depend on which is the higher-scoring draw)
Algeria - 1 point, -1 GD
In this case, a win over Algeria by any amount would guarantee jumping over Slovenia if they lose and staying ahead of England if Slovenia get any result.
England lose to Algeria:
Slovenia - 4 points, +1 GD
Algeria - 3 points, ? GD (at least 0)
USA - 2 points, 0 GD
England - 1 point, ? GD (at most -1)
A win over Algeria jumps ahead of them and keeps the US ahead of England, making second guaranteed.