Quote:
Originally Posted by Yeti
would love to know what the smartest tennis bettors in the world think the odds are re: who will have the most slams in 10 years time
Yeah, it's an interesting question. I think the answers now and the answers next year will probably look a lot different.
Not that I'm a tennis bettor, but if I were going to assign percentages, I think I'd go
Federer 55%
Nadal 40%
Field 5%
I should possibly be giving the field more credit, but I don't think so. I don't think anybody we already have heard of is a realistic threat, and that means we'd probably need to see a Federeronian career out of somebody who gets started in a couple of years. That seems unlikely, to say the least.
EDIT: I don't think it will happen, but Nadal is now at least a credible candidate to win all four next year, and I think he's very likely to get 2+. Federer has a decent chance at 1 but I think 0 is more likely than 2.