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TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10)
View Poll Results: Thursday night ebola?
Ebola
16 50.00%
Full blown AIDS
12 37.50%
lol geno
15 46.88%
lol jets
16 50.00%
Pats in a blowout
14 43.75%
Jets shock the world? lol
6 18.75%
bastard
13 40.63%

10-16-2014 , 11:36 PM
BB not going for two has me a little rustled btw.
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote
10-16-2014 , 11:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vhawk01
By the way, this is basically your absolutely perfect example of why coaches do the things they do

At the end of the day, this game "comes down to the kicker having to make a tough kick." Ignore the cowardly FGs in the first half. Ignore the embarrassing waste of timeouts to start the 2nd half. Ignore the at least questionable playcalling that wasted time at the beginning of the final drive.

Ryan ducks 100% of the culpability, and its just "Well, the kicker didnt make it."

If he makes any of those decisions differently, sure his win% increases by some small but significant amount, but he is also snap-fired in the next few weeks. He would have to be insane to make correct decisions in this spot
I'm not sure he wouldn't be better off being the first hc fired, so he'd be available for all subsequent job openings. He has no chance of a future with the Jets.
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote
10-16-2014 , 11:38 PM
How has nobody pointed out that the Jets could have used those timeouts they wasted earlier in the game.
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote
10-16-2014 , 11:41 PM
Yeah can't wait for someone to call out Folk for missing that final kick. Even though he was probably the player of the game for the JETS.
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote
10-16-2014 , 11:41 PM
i think several people pointed that out
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote
10-16-2014 , 11:42 PM
How about Rex kicking all those field goals?
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote
10-16-2014 , 11:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vhawk01
Playing for a 58 yd FG to win it is not "low variance"
This.

Maximizing the Sweat > Maximizing the Odds is the optimal line for HCs.

Gonna put Bill Cowher in the HoF.
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote
10-16-2014 , 11:42 PM
Hey guys.

Spoiler:
The Jets burned two timeouts.

Don't tell trig that we had no idea.
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote
10-17-2014 , 12:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vhawk01
Playing for a 58 yd FG to win it is not "low variance"
Agreed, but people are short sighted as hell. Taking lower variance -EV plays the whole game puts you in tough spots at the end of the game, and people can accept "gambles" when the clock is low and not in the 2nd quarter.

The fact a higher variance +EV play is even called "gambling" shows you how warped people's mentality is.

This just isn't a sports phenomenon though. It's just innate human nature for most of the population. One of the important aspects of successful people in life are those who can see +EV opportunities and take them whereas other people pass on them as too risky.

I'm just talking about things from a coach's job security perspective. Even if a coach completely understood the odds, the hell they'd catch from morons on talk radio and the Phil Sims of the world makes it not worth the trouble.
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote
10-17-2014 , 07:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by trigstarr
How has nobody pointed out that the Jets could have used those timeouts they wasted earlier in the game.
Quote:
Originally Posted by 72off
i think several people pointed that out
Quote:
Originally Posted by trigstarr
How about Rex kicking all those field goals?
TNF Purge Edition: New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-10) Quote

      
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