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Originally Posted by Kneel B4 Zod
I think these things would largely just cancel each other out though. I imagine the worst passing offense in the league would be able to put up an average-ish day against the worst passing defense in the league. what normally is a huge negative for both teams ends up being neutral for both of them.
It depends. I think your 90/10 is probably too extreme, like 75/25 might be more like it.
I think a big "matchup" thing involves shutdown CB's. Like if you've got prime Darrelle Revis but you are in the superbowl vs a team thats led in yards by Jermaine Kearse, it isn't as nice of a luxury to have him as it would be if you were playing a team that got so much of its offense from 1 receiver like Calvin Johnson or Julio Jones.
Some matchups shutdown CB's can be much more valuable than others.