Quote:
Originally Posted by Holliday
I'm only upgrading Alabama to "not impossible". Even if Moore doesn't win the nom (which he might--the leading favorite is one of those "nobody in the most populous areas of the state has ever heard of him" guys) he'll have enough support to hang in the whole way, split the party, AND move the debate (impossibly) further to the right. Of course the truly sad part is he'd probably also win the general election now that Doug Jones has had some time to show he's mostly interested in pleasing republicans rather than actually defending the black communities that single-handedly got him elected by voting (which is being made harder than usual) for him in a uniform wall.
Really late to this: Definitely think Moore can win the nom. There are still scars for Byrne from the 2010 gubernatorial race when Paul Hubbert went scorched earth on him and took him behind a woodshed.
I also think Roy Moore would win the general, but not because Jones would have lost the base but bc straight-party voting in Alabama (and everywhere) is a nuisance and this is a presidential election not a special one. "Oh I only have to check this one box, ok!" I agree that Jones should just go full-blown reparations, but he clearly wants to try to serve another term and staying pat in an old school Southern Democrat way and hoping for a Moore nom is his best-case scenario. The egotism of a politician (and especially ones who were former prosecutors) just won't allow them to consider running to the extremes, even when they have 0-1% chance of winning.