Quote:
Originally Posted by bottomset
How is it a tougher era to win in if a 37/38yr old Federer is massively better than the world #4?
27yr old Federer wins easily in 3 sets vs that level of Djokovic yesterday
All 3 are way better than they should be at their ages, but none are even close to their best level, they all are aging at the same time, and no one came up to punish their declines.
Call me crazy but I don't think these 3 have declined very much at all. There's a reason they are still the best. Obviously a huge part is they are amazing tennis talents all at the same time, but a key point in the fitness regimes and all is that in the olden days a top player would be at like 75% their best, which meant they were more like the 40th, 120th, or completely out of tennis completely, but today i think they are more like 99 or 98% their original form. so yeah the newer talent just doesn't compare but it isn't that the greats have fallen off too much.
there's a TON of studies on sports and when athletes fall off, and the ones involving pure athleticism (sprinting, for example) you peak around 22 or 23 (insanely quickly!) and then there's fall off, but other sports like soccer goalies/central defenders, nfl quarterbacks to an extent, even certain big men in the nba due to understanding defenses (used to be 27-29 was thought of prime, but now for most players its more like 25-27, but again super bigs exhibit a gradual improvement of defensive RAPM and the like well until their early 30s!)
point is athlete's peaks and all is misunderstood and varies heavily depending on the individual and the sport. im not really convinced novak is all that far from his peak, and tennis is SUCH a cerebral game (such a huge mental game) and that stuff continues to age well. chess players as well, they peak way later than other athletes.
for example, i wouldn't be shocked if nadal was still playing tennis and wants to compete he will still be the favorite if he chooses in 2025. *on clay