loilers/stars game 6: xg 83% stars


best* oilers xg: broberg 48%, mcdavid 29%, perry 26%, nugent-hopkins 22%, holloway 22%
worst oilers xg: ryan 0%, brown 0%, janmark 7%, ceci 11%, ekholm 12%
* - kane was 100% but left the game after getting injured, i excluded him because he only played 4 minutes at 5v5

loilers got a lead and sat on it. one of the luckier games of the playoffs, run hotter. no but seriously, please don't


best stars xg: bourque 95%, robertson 93%, harley 91%, stankoven 89%, johnston 88%
worst stars xg: patrovic 19%, suter 72%, marchment 73%, seguin 78%, steel 79%

petrovic was the only guy not going, so they limited him to 6 minutes at 5v5. everyone else was dominant. can i say that? 72%+ xg ... dominant? i'll say it. and hey shout out bourque drawing in for the worst player and being the best in game 6. probably won't give him much comfort over the summer, but it's better than nothing

Dumb AF 6 day break

early finals stuff:

oilers xg for the west final by game: 56%, 59%, 37%, 60%, 61%, 17%

they were slightly better in 4/6 games, somewhat lucky this series isn't going to a game 7.


5v5 score & venue adjusted xg for playoffs:

1. panthers - 55%
7. oilers - 51%
panthers were only 1 point better in the regular season

goaltending is kind of a wash. panthers also have home ice, should be favs.

wild card is special teams. the oilers powerplay has been very effective in the playoffs, only slightly behind the avs, but far better than everyone else. the panthers powerplay has been just ok (was good during the season). and the oilers have also had the best penalty kill in the playoffs.

oilers pp 14.46 goals per 60 (10.48 in regular season)
oilers pk 2.05 goals against per 60 (7.46 in regular season)
so basically their special teams are running hot by 9-10 goals per 60 in the playoffs, and afaik special teams pdo is similar to regular pdo, so don't be surprised if this rungood comes crashing down to hell in the final. or they're blessed by god/satan, who's to say

related: the panthers have had the 2nd best pk in the playoffs and were 3rd best in the regular season, so they might be up to the challenge here

I realise this is setting up a "the things the Oilers do well lead to a 106 PDO" joke, but maybe Leon's goal line one timer is a bit underrated by xG since no one else is able to hit it and McDavid draws everyone to himself setting it up. It's gone cold recently through so what do I know

Seeing the Oil get dominated yesterday I thought you can always hope for a Bob meltdown... totally forgot who's in goal for Edmonton

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Like WTF Dallas.


Today's prediction, FLA, because that makes the Jets the team that lost to the team that lost to the team that lost to the team that lost the SCF.

The only thing I can think is Edmonton's team defence is very good at doing what they need to do to win, moving the puck.

It doesn't matter if they don't do what they don't need to do if the other team can't force them to do those things.

I thought Dallas looked great at limiting McDavid (get in front of him, then force him off the puck and into the corner), but Dallas couldn't stay in the O-Zone long enough to generate anything, or get the puck in dangerous positions, or tip the pucks going to the net, or have people in front of the net, or get any rebounds.

There's more to it, like not having easy entries and the play in the neutral zone, but I would need to watch it a lot closer than I did. Dallas was great at passing in the neutral zone, great clean possession, but not in the O-zone.

Oilers didn’t deserve it . Florida has to be the favourite but we said that about Dallas
Canada needs it Go Oilers

So is anyone cheeting for Florida?

Think everyone I know IRL is cheering Oilers.

Retirees?

You're Canadian, right? I was gonna assume most "serious" hockey fans and ~everyone west of Ontario would be rooting against them

I only root against the Leafs, otherwise cheer for Canadian teams.

That is my rule as well

i would support winnipeg, ottawa and montreal in the final. but alberta and toronto can go **** themselves

go panthers, #1 fan over here


everyone has their own rules and reasons for this deal ldo

As posted I did pick Florida to win it all before playoffs started but am cheering for Edmonton, Mcdavid might stay now. It will help a cup win to stay in that dump of a city, LOL.

play bad, get there


i know a lot of teams have their own plane, but not all. anyone know if these guys do?


regardless i'd imagine they're at least chartering planes, and that they can fly direct to miami, but that's just my dumb guess. anyone know for sure?

Longest flight in cup history. The league is spacing games 3 days apart because of this when they have to travel Cup could go as long as June 24th

No idea on their own planes

Does that matter? Difference between your own plane and flying charter is probably the same as driving your own Chevy Malibu and renting one from Avis.

The "no direct flights" obviously refers to no direct commercial flights. Taylor Swift has a direct flight to Kansas City from wherever she wants to. And apparently flies charter instead of on her own plane because she doesn't want for people to track her.

Edit: they're obviously not flying commercial, this is not the WNBA.

Oh it matters teams that have their own planes have custom luxurious seating while a charter has standard seats

Kelly Moore was at one time the radio voice of the Jets, when Curt Keilbach had a falling out with the radio station management. It was very hard to be the guy who followed Keilbach. Moore's catch-phrase was, "OOOO."

There was an opening to do the Bombers, I think Moore has a great voice for football, but I guess it's too late to start a new job?

Anyways, he's the host for the hockey broadcasts, and some of the football broadcasts.

I just saw this article, it says something about the Jets and the teams in the SCF.

I'm not sure if it's just mental strength, maybe something about simplifying systems, well I'm not sure, but he's thinking right.

https://globalnews.ca/news/10541130/...ntal-strength/

This is correct from what I know,could not tell ya about every single team but this is what happens if a player has an emergency at home or childbirth, but can confirm billionaires (even millionaires) have their own planes and all the toys or at least charter, they don't mingle on planes with us peasants!

Edit:

Looks like more charter flights but some Owners do have their own plane. It looks like Edmonton uses Air Canada Jetz as does the Maple Leafs.

Thanks, 72off, now you got my head spinning and thinking about the travel subject,lol.

Another thing, co-worker was telling me today a betting site he was on got a 50% parlay boost offer/promo and was wondering if Malucci still around if the sites he is on offers that?

But Adam Fox of NYR screwed that up for him and he is so pissed, LOL.

My sites offer nothing but despair, and I’m getting 100% despair boosts.

No idea how a Canadian can root against the Oilers! The whole team is basically Canadian dudes (minus a few).

I'm so pumped for the idea of a McJesus cup.

I know people in Germany root for Draisaitl..

Being Canadian and rooting against the Oilers is like being American and rooting against freedom. You just don't!