Quote:
Originally Posted by royalblue
I'm sure a better D corps would help, but the Leafs have scored 150 goals in 56 games in the Matthews era. I have a hard time believing that's all due to the forwards being so defensively committed to make up for their Dmen
are you talking about playoffs?
regular season they have an elite offense that's among the best in the league each year if not the best
but they are also one of the bottom tier defensive teams, they aren't san jose or anahiem bad, but are pretty bad
i don't think it's about "heart" and "team makeup" etc
i think that they are a team which is going to steamroll the weaker defensive sides in but struggle against good defensive teams
just look at how many 1 and 2 goal games were against the top 10 defensive teams in the league during the regular season - these are the teams they are going to be facing during the playoffs
a season where they gave up 3.18 goals per game - games which included facing AHL rosters like Chicago, San Jose, & Anahiem
1 FLA 2.42 GAA 2-2 with 10 goals (but 6 were in a single game) 2L, 6W, 1W, 1L
1 WPG 2.42 GAA 2-0 with 5 goals 4W, 1W
3 LA 2.56 GAA 1-2 with 5 goals 3W, 1L, 1L
4 CAR 2.57 GAA 0-3 with 7 goals1L, 4L, 2L
5 BOS 2.70 GAA 0-4 with 7 goals 1L, 1L, 3L, 2L
5 VAN 2.70 GAA 1-1 with 9 goals 4L, 5W
7 NYR 2.76 GAA 2-1 with 12 goals 3W, 2L, 7W
8 DAL 2.83 GAA 2-0 with 9 goals 5W, 4W
8 SEA 2.83 GAA 2-0 with 6 goals 3W, 3W
10 EDM 2.88 GAA 1-1 with 8 goals 6W, 2L
those teams combine for 2.67 GAA
against them, Toronto had a 13-14 record with 78 goals for 2.88 goals per game, while they certainly scored more than the average NHL teams against them, they also nearly a full goal less per game than their regular season 3.63 rate whereas 2.88 vs 2.67 is not significant and could easily be wiped taking away just one of those higher scoring games whereas removing just one of the 1 goal games wouldn't bring the rate anywhere close to 3.63
elite offenses tend to slow down and stall when facing elite defenses and so the the defensive team which may struggle a bit more vs middling teams because they are more likely to fall to victims of variance - ie when the blue jackets get two wholly undeserved goals due to some lucky bounces in front of the net, Toronot is more likely to overcome that by just scoring 5 goals whereas a Boston or Winnipeg team may end up losing that game 3-2
this is why they struggle in the playoffs - they can beat up on the bad teams but when they need to face a competent defense they turn into pumpkins and meanwhile the other teams don't have nearly as difficult a time scoring on Toronto - the most shocking thing about this series wasn't that it went to a game 7, it's that Toronto actually kept the Bruins off the scoreboard quite successfully