it is a shame you don't have money online

and cuz each series doesn't go on for-****ing-ever, and because the excitement of playoff hockey > all, and because the last 2 minutes of a basketball game last for 40 minutes, and because the NBA ****ing sucks, and because the NBA is ****ing rigged, and because HGH is a crybaby bitch, and because lebronmania is too intolerable, and cuz kobemania is too intolerable, etc etc etc

Wings in 5.

7 home games in one series is a huge advantage

racist

lol wat

Blackhawks are ridiculously good

Fact: Hockey is a fickle fickle game.

You saying every wide shot leads to an odd man breakaway is a lot more silly and arbitrary than the FENWICK.

As the Avalanche epically failed this season, I'm on the Bolts bandwagon for the playoffs.

Seems like a great time to post the advance probabilities according to pinnacle:

Team	advance prob
Tampa Bay Lightning	43.2%
Pittsburgh Penguins	56.8%
Phoenix Coyotes	36.8%
Detroit Red Wings	63.2%
New York Rangers	34.0%
Washington Capitals	66.0%
Chicago Blackhawks	34.4%
Vancouver Canucks	65.6%
Nashville Predators	45.8%
Anaheim Ducks	54.2%
Montreal Canadiens	34.7%
Boston Bruins	65.3%
Buffalo Sabres	41.6%
Philadelphia Flyers	58.4%
Los Angeles Kings	29.5%
San Jose Sharks	70.5%

I love how 21 people picked the Nucks. they are the most likely of the top 3 seeds in either division to lose in the 1st round. Id say if they lose game 1 they lose series 75% of the time, maybe more

man i would bet chicago and buffalo for sure

the green men will make history....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TEqQG...eature=related

That shot wasn't wide though, it was a goal

I never said every wide shot leads to an odd man rush.

I said that missing a shot wide and ringing it around the boards is bad because it CAN lead to a breakout. A breakout is not the same thing as a breakaway, btw.

Lidstrom is amazing so his "wide shot" was probably 3-4 feet wide and had 0% chance of ringing around the boards leading to a breakout. He knows what he's doing. Someone find the video and I bet this can be proven in my favor.


Fouund video:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=66D8qjVT_pw

This shot has 0% chance of ringing around the boards because of where he aimed it, the speed and height of the shot, and the amount of people in the way. It's not the kind of shot I was talking about.

But FENWICK doesn't discriminate on the literally 1000s of kinds of shots you can take in a hockey game.

other. I am hoping to see LA break out

what odds, and how much?

This.

Yeah, he's known to purposefully shoot wide to take advantage of the active boards at Joe Louis.

Yeah, that's kind of the point though right. Because that would be pretty much impossible it's just one metric among many that have varying strengths and weaknesses.

fair enough

I guess I see a post here or there talking about one team's FENWICK or another team's CORSI as a reason why they will win the cup, and get tilted to hell thinking people actually think this 1 stat alone is the infallible, ultimate indicator.

oops, scratch that, i should've done the math myself.

oh yes, +185 is correct. so yeah. CHI +185. whatever amount you want.

This.

.

i guess getting Sharpie back increased their chances to win by 20-30%?

Well the first post was obviously hyperbolic. But, yes, it makes a huge difference. PP gets much better, and instead of a top 6 of Brouwer - Toews - Kane and Bickell - Frolik - Hossa, Q now has a number of line combos that are much better.

Also, last I read, Bolland will be ready mid-series.

If true, this allows Q to re-unite the Sharp - Toews - Kane line and then have Frolik - Bolland - Hossa.

So would Luongo.

Manny is out, no Torres for games 1+2 due to suspension. AHLberts on injured reserve. The Canucks are in great shape, top 6 Dmen in the lineup.