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NFL overtime solution NFL overtime solution

11-03-2008 , 02:44 PM
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Only on the very first XFL coinflip one player hurt his shoulder.
Gotta crack a few eggs to make an omelet, right?

Anyways, Myturn is correct, move the kickoff up to the 35 and play from there, it's the simplest change that makes sense.
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11-03-2008 , 02:56 PM
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Originally Posted by Pudge714
If both teams covert a 2pc 49% PAT is slightly better than 2pc.
yes but you are thinking one dimensionally. Think about the % you lose for the PAT and going for 2 instead. So just shy of 50% of time I end it on a coin flip (as AK vs QQ isn't quite exactly coin flip either) but that has other variables involved as to whether you get involved or not. These variables in football are, opponent having to now get a TD and a TD only in this particular format mentioned.

After that the next team having to get a TD and not even a FG means defense will be a little better EV than a regular OT situation. Stop the TD which is more often then not and you are good.
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11-03-2008 , 03:00 PM
They should do like in the CFL each team gets the ball and if they score the other team got to score or they loose... its way better than a coin flip..
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11-03-2008 , 03:03 PM
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Originally Posted by ArcticKnight
I am suprised nobody has mentioned an obvious option. Simple continuation.

If the Packers score a field goal with 0 seconds left to tie the Giants, you would start the overtime exactly as you would if the 4th quarter did not end. The Packers would then be kicking off to the Giants.
This is the most obvious genius thing ever. I'm stunned I never thought of this.
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11-03-2008 , 03:34 PM
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Originally Posted by ArcticKnight
I am suprised nobody has mentioned an obvious option. Simple continuation.

If the Packers score a field goal with 0 seconds left to tie the Giants, you would start the overtime exactly as you would if the 4th quarter did not end. The Packers would then be kicking off to the Giants.

This would get really interesting in situations were teams tied the game and left too much time on the clock. After the team that tied kicked off, the recieving team would have to reconsider its strategy on offence if it had 30 to 50 seconds (for example). It would not need to try and get in field goal position before the 4th quarter ran out. Ball control and 1st downs would matter more that 20 yard gains and getting out of bounds.

I would really like to see this happen. I mean if the game ends tied with the Giants on 2nd down and 7 on their own 34 yard line, then why not start the OT with......the Giants on 2nd down and 7 on their own 34 yard line??
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Originally Posted by PokerFink
This is the most obvious genius thing ever. I'm stunned I never thought of this.
I take it I'm being leveled?? Is there a reason why this is a bad idea?
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11-03-2008 , 04:01 PM
Well for one thing you would eliminate a lot of the drama at the end of a tie game, with a team trying to score before overtime. There's something kind of sacred about the end of a game. Making the end of the 4th quarter behave just like the 3rd quarter (in case of a tie) seems a little weird and anti-climactic.
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11-03-2008 , 04:10 PM
I thought he was being serious...seems like a good idea to me.
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11-03-2008 , 04:12 PM
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Originally Posted by suzzer99
Well for one thing you would eliminate a lot of the drama at the end of a tie game, with a team trying to score before overtime. There's something kind of sacred about the end of a game. Making the end of the 4th quarter behave just like the 3rd quarter (in case of a tie) seems a little weird and anti-climactic.
QFT
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11-03-2008 , 04:49 PM
Why not bid on kick-off position instead of starting position? This way you maintain more of the aspects of a regular game.
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11-03-2008 , 04:59 PM
Every time I watch an NFL overtime game where a team wins the toss and immeditely goes down and kicks a field goal I feel very ripped off and just like "ugh"

But people have been bitching about this scenario for decades and nothing has been done, that seems to indicate nothing ever will be.
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11-03-2008 , 06:03 PM
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Originally Posted by suzzer99
I have the perfect solution. If I could ever get a hold of anyone high up in the league I know I could convince them.

Here's my proposal. We guarantee that each team gets to touch the ball at least once in overtime. How do we do this? If the team that gets the ball first scores. The other team gets one chance to go down and beat that score.

So if the first team gets a field goal, 2nd team has to get a TD. If the first team gets a TD, other team has to go for 2. If the first team has the balls to go for two and make it, they win. But they'd be leaving themselves open to losing to a TD with kicked extra point, so they probably never would.

That's it. If the first team doesn't score, then overtime just proceeds as it normally does now. My way just guarantees the other team at least gets a chance, which is better than they get now. And it would only extend the game by one series at the most, and then only when the first team to touch the ball scores. And if you think the second team has more of an advantage, well you can always choose to be the second team if you win the flip. I don't see that happening though.

Seriously, this would make overtime so much more exciting. Imagine the second team getting the ball after a field goal, knowing they would have to get a TD. Would be so fun to watch. Someone please get a hold of Roger Goodell for me. Thanks.


So instead of the winner of the coin toss having a small advantage, the winner of the coin toss now has a massive advantage!

Great solution to the problem!
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11-03-2008 , 07:33 PM
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Originally Posted by diddyeinstein
Ummm no. Personally, I like games that are decided by actions on the field, not the flip of a coin.
funny, that was my argument.

going first in college football OT might be the biggest rule disadvantage in sports
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11-03-2008 , 07:48 PM
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Originally Posted by bacats32
Only on the very first XFL coinflip one player hurt his shoulder.
we do something similar in friendly drunken field hockey tourneys. ball is on the halfway line, keepers rush out, hilarity ensues. if it's good enough for drunken amateurs with questionable insurance, it's good enough for the NFL
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11-03-2008 , 08:08 PM
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Originally Posted by Needle77
Edit: I just feel that the quickest way to end a game is the best and safest way of doing it.
This, of course means not playing overtime at all, and just leaving the game as a tie. This is also my preference.
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11-03-2008 , 08:12 PM
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Originally Posted by Charles3Mil
They should do like in the CFL each team gets the ball and if they score the other team got to score or they loose... its way better than a coin flip..
This is essentially the same as the college system. The problem with it is that it is not football. No big deal if you are going to play 12 v 12 with only 3 downs anyway. But in "real football" special teams are involved, and one possession leads to the next.
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11-03-2008 , 08:37 PM
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Originally Posted by MrFeelNothin
So instead of the winner of the coin toss having a small advantage, the winner of the coin toss now has a massive advantage!

Great solution to the problem!
Now: winner of coin toss drives down the field, kicks field goal, game over.

My plan: winner of coin toss drives down the field, kicks field goal, other team has one chance to get TD.

How on earth is that a bigger advantage for the first team? If the first team doesn't score, overtime proceeds exactly as it does now. First team to score wins.

This just guarantees the second team gets a chance (unless the first team goes for 2, which they won't because they don't want to lose to a normal TD). I really don't think it's that complicated, and would add one extra possession at most.
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11-03-2008 , 09:17 PM
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Originally Posted by suzzer99
Now: winner of coin toss drives down the field, kicks field goal, game over.

My plan: winner of coin toss drives down the field, kicks field goal, other team has one chance to get TD.

How on earth is that a bigger advantage for the first team? If the first team doesn't score, overtime proceeds exactly as it does now. First team to score wins.

This just guarantees the second team gets a chance (unless the first team goes for 2, which they won't because they don't want to lose to a normal TD). I really don't think it's that complicated, and would add one extra possession at most.

Here's a hint: the winner of the coin toss would not select possession under these rules.
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11-03-2008 , 10:33 PM
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Originally Posted by sumpy
This, of course means not playing overtime at all, and just leaving the game as a tie. This is also my preference.
Yea, but then you get stupid **** like, what is better a 7-7-2 record or an 8-8 record.
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11-03-2008 , 10:39 PM
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Originally Posted by MrFeelNothin
Here's a hint: the winner of the coin toss would not select possession under these rules.
a) Yes they would.

b) Then if it is an advantage to go second, which it isn't since you have to score more than the other team, the team that wins the coin toss could select to go second. But it isn't an advantage, so they wouldn't.

Nothing short of just giving the game to the coin toss winner is as advantageous for them as the current system. Or more anti-climactic for the fans.
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11-03-2008 , 11:03 PM
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Originally Posted by ArcticKnight
I take it I'm being leveled?? Is there a reason why this is a bad idea?
No I was being serious; it's a great idea.
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11-03-2008 , 11:49 PM
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Originally Posted by popet
Yea, but then you get stupid **** like, what is better a 7-7-2 record or an 8-8 record.
A tie is defined as half a win and half a loss, so these records are equal. If a team with an 8-8 record and a team with a 7-7-2 record were being considered for a playoff spot, the normal tiebreakers would apply. (This is true under the current system BTW)
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11-04-2008 , 03:05 AM
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Originally Posted by Needle77
I know from experience and from watching film that play deteriorates a lot more in overtime than it does from the 3rd to 4th quarter. Offensive and Defensive lineman do not have the stamina at any level to continue exerting the energy they do at a high and safe level. Asking them to do it any longer than 60 minutes is asking for an injury. That is all I'm saying. I wasn't trying to imply anything about soccer, I don't know a damn thing about the sport, never played it and rarely watch it. I have 0 credentials on evaluating it.

I don't even really know about receivers or QB's or DB's but I know the lineplay becomes different and sometimes dangerous. These are men that are 270+ pounds who's athleticism is based on explosion and strength not speed and endurance.

Edit: I just feel that the quickest way to end a game is the best and safest way of doing it.
have you ever seen a soccer game at the end of ot? esp if its hot. jfc, it looks like they are under water sometimes. during 90min players run 5-10miles. they get 3 subs sure. there are no tv timeouts are anything like. just a halftime.

if you know nothing about the sport, you shouldnt use it as a comparison.
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11-04-2008 , 05:37 AM
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Originally Posted by suzzer99
a) Yes they would.

b) Then if it is an advantage to go second, which it isn't since you have to score more than the other team, the team that wins the coin toss could select to go second. But it isn't an advantage, so they wouldn't.

Nothing short of just giving the game to the coin toss winner is as advantageous for them as the current system. Or more anti-climactic for the fans.

Its clearly an advantage to kick off with the rules you propose, especially if there is a strong wind.



You start on D. 28% of the time your opponent drives and scores a FG or TD.

You now know what you need to prolong the game or win, totally changing the strategy of the game and giving you 4 downs if you need them.


72% of the time your opponent turns it over or is forced to punt and you get the ball with a far better average starting field position than your opponent. Now if you score its game over.


Advantage defense, so you are in the same situation as before, its "unfair." Plus you would end up with more ties.



OT is not broken, as MT2R said, just move the kickoff back up to the 35 yard line, even with the better FG kickers in today's game this would make it much closer to a 50/50 proposition.
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11-04-2008 , 12:41 PM
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Originally Posted by MrFeelNothin
Its clearly an advantage to kick off with the rules you propose, especially if there is a strong wind.



You start on D. 28% of the time your opponent drives and scores a FG or TD.

You now know what you need to prolong the game or win, totally changing the strategy of the game and giving you 4 downs if you need them.


72% of the time your opponent turns it over or is forced to punt and you get the ball with a far better average starting field position than your opponent. Now if you score its game over.


Advantage defense, so you are in the same situation as before, its "unfair." Plus you would end up with more ties.



OT is not broken, as MT2R said, just move the kickoff back up to the 35 yard line, even with the better FG kickers in today's game this would make it much closer to a 50/50 proposition.
Even if the second team has a slight advantage, there is no way on earth that it's as big of an advantage as what the first team has now. Think about it - you're saying that it's more of an advantage to see what the other team does, then have to beat that score - than to just get the ball as if the other team hadn't scored at all (as happens now). Yes wind and field position are factors, but I would say never enough to tip the scales. Just like no one ever elects to receive now in overtime.

And you would never end up with more ties in my system, because the second team can't tie. They have to beat the first team's score, or they lose. I think any advantage you get by going second is mostly negated by having to score more than the first team. If somehow this ever got implemented I'd be willing to bet no team ever elects to kick-off, except maybe like you said in a super strong wind. Which would just prove that the edge is a lot closer than it is now, where it would have to be a hurricane for teams to even think about kicking off.
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11-04-2008 , 12:44 PM
Dibs on writing a paper with approximating the NE if this happens.

I think all you need is a mapping of each yard-line to an estimated chance of winning, and you're good to go.
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