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NCAA Tournament First Round (No Longer Featuring GOAT COAST) (But featuring the Second Round) NCAA Tournament First Round (No Longer Featuring GOAT COAST) (But featuring the Second Round)
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03-16-2017 , 06:51 PM
#301
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I hate how Ian Eagle pronounces his name
NCAA Tournament First Round (No Longer Featuring GOAT COAST) (But featuring the Second Round) Quote
03-16-2017 , 06:51 PM
#302
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If you think having the ball down 1 with 8 seconds left is more like 30% to win, then it's 70% vs 48%, so a bigger deal but not insane

Mostly it's really bad bc dude was a good FT shooter
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03-16-2017 , 06:53 PM
#303
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Northwestern won a tourn game, is that the seventh sports sign of the apocalypse?
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03-16-2017 , 06:53 PM
#304
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GoldenBears
If you think having the ball down 1 with 8 seconds left is more like 30% to win, then it's 70% vs 48%, so a bigger deal but not insane

Mostly it's really bad bc dude was a good FT shooter
They got the ball with 15 seconds. probably 40% to win down 1?
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03-16-2017 , 06:54 PM
#305
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darO
It wasn't a 1 and 1
Ok so then it's 64% he makes both 4% he misses both and 32% he makes 1.

So assuming 30% chance to win with the ball, it's 64% * .3 + 4% * .9 + 32% * .65 = 44%

so 44% vs 70% assuming a 30% chance to score with the ball
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03-16-2017 , 06:55 PM
#306
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GoldenBears
Assuming you're trying to win your pool and not make picks for fun and bragging rights (which is a totally legit reason to make picks), then there is zero chance you picked anybody wrong other than Vandy.

All of the other picks were automatic
Or Vandy was never equipped to guard NWs elite guards and wings
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03-16-2017 , 06:55 PM
#307
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wheatrich
Northwestern won a tourn game, is that the seventh sports sign of the apocalypse?
3-1 cavs, 3-1 cubs, 6-5 barcelona, patriots super bowl, leicester city, northwestern

the computer simulation we live in is broken
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03-16-2017 , 06:56 PM
#308
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Ahhh Melo Trimble, the JMM of point guards
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03-16-2017 , 06:57 PM
#309
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Let's call it 35%

So, 64% * 35% + 4% * 90% + 32% * 67.5% = 48%
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03-16-2017 , 06:58 PM
#310
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GoldenBears
Ok so then it's 64% he makes both 4% he misses both and 32% he makes 1.

So assuming 30% chance to win with the ball, it's 64% * .3 + 4% * .9 + 32% * .65 = 44%

so 44% vs 70% assuming a 30% chance to score with the ball
A 26% equity drop based off a single play seems like a pretty serious disaster
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03-16-2017 , 06:58 PM
#311
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ReddBoiler
Or Vandy was never equipped to guard NWs elite guards and wings
would they have still been "never equipped" if that long three happened to go in?
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03-16-2017 , 07:00 PM
#312
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dkgojackets
would they have still been "never equipped" if that long three happened to go in?
Wouldnt have changed the fact that Law+Lindsey+McIntosh combined for 40+ points
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03-16-2017 , 07:01 PM
#313
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darO
A 26% equity drop based off a single play seems like a pretty serious disaster
A fraction of what missing or making any of those shots would be worth

It's in the same ballpark as "deciding to shoot a 30 footer instead of driving to the bucket"
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03-16-2017 , 07:02 PM
#314
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HOPE U GUYZ R BOUT RDY FOR THE MOUNT TO SHOCK DA WORLD
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03-16-2017 , 07:05 PM
#315
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Boiler Up
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03-16-2017 , 07:06 PM
#316
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ReddBoiler
Wouldnt have changed the fact that Law+Lindsey+McIntosh combined for 40+ points
40 points from three players seems... completely standard
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03-16-2017 , 07:09 PM
#317
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is there anything worse than the people who root for conferences?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Eric Clipperton
pretty easy to get into vanderbilt these days i guess
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03-16-2017 , 07:09 PM
#318
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but that's a YUUUGE game vs Gonzaga's "horrible" defense
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03-16-2017 , 07:10 PM
#319
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one game right now is brutal
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03-16-2017 , 07:10 PM
#320
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dkgojackets
40 points from three players seems... completely standard
40 points from 3 players is standard?! They scored 67!
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03-16-2017 , 07:10 PM
#321
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i see the refs in this one are doing work already
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03-16-2017 , 07:11 PM
#322
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So Vandy had CUTLAH and Skip? Gentlemen and scholars the lot of them
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03-16-2017 , 07:13 PM
#323
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Caleb Swanigan. Hes going to **** Kansas in the S16. Cant Wait!
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03-16-2017 , 07:15 PM
#324
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Color guy says whoever scores the most points will win the game and if they trade baskets then he's not sure what will happen.
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03-16-2017 , 07:19 PM
#325
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wtf is going on
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