https://mikefarrellsports.com/colleg...n-its-boots-on

How dare you suggest that antiquated concepts like hard work, sacrifice, relationships, trust, teamwork, and humility are required to build a championship contender in the modern college football era?

If Deion again fails to build an offensive line through the portal he'll shut down his QB son a couple weeks into the season to not have him or his draft stock getting significantly hurt.

Do all the recent changes allow multiple redshirt years to enable a coach to hold out his son for seasons in which he can be suitably showcased?

10 years, $130M for Kirby Smart.

I’d say he’s worth it, and he’s earned it.

gawja fans rit naw

https://x.com/easportscollege/status...718663547?s=46

TRAMAMPOLINE

TRAMAMPOLINE

I assume it will get better with time, but this year's schedule is brutal for the big-12

They already play 9 conference games where they beat each other up, then on top of that arizona/kansas state and utah / baylor play each other in "noncon" games.

Then they play like no creampuffs and then have so few chances to prove themselves against the Big-2 conferences.


The entire 16 team conference has only 8 games against the Big-2, and only 1 of those is by a presumptive top-4 team:
Oklahoma State v Arkansas
Iowa State @ Iowa
WVU vs Penn State
Kansas @ Illinois
UCF @ Florida
Colorado @ Nebraska
Houston @ Oklahoma
ASU v Miss State


Then they have 5 games vs the ACC:
WVU @ Pitt
TCU @ Stanford
TCU @ SMU
BYU @ SMU
Cincy v Pitt

And of those 13 games, 9 are on the road



They'll be lucky to have 1 team in the playoffs

ACC has 20 games against Big-2 / Notre Dame:

FSU v Florida
Clemson n Georgia
Miami @ Florida
Louisville @ Kentucky
NC State n Tennessee
Virginia Tech @ Vandy
BC @ Mizzou
Wake v Ole Miss
California @ Auburn
Georgia Tech @ Georgia

Virginia Tech v Rutgers
Duke @ Northwestern
UNC @ Minnesota
BC v Michigan State
Virginia v Maryland

FSU @ Notre Dame
Louisville @ Notre Dame
Virginia @ Notre Dame
Stanford @ Notre Dame
Georgia Tech n Notre Dame


(Or, it's probably better to count ND as an ACC team, then ND plays 3 big-2 teams, ATM, USC and Purdue)

Even if the Big12 champ finishes unranked the selection committee still has the option to rank only one group of 5 champion which would leave a playoff spot available for an unranked team. That could go to the Big12 champ.

ok, i calculated vegas implied ratings based on all the GOTY lines, and then also took the best conf odds and best playoff odds.


Big-12 playoff odds only sum to 1.38 (which includes juice) which is pretty wild. So, seems much more likely than not that they have 1 team rather than 2.

In particular, Oklahoma State at 10-1 to win the conf and 10-1 to playoff is pure value. They play Arkansas at home which gives them a good chance to secure an SEC OOC win. If they beat Arkansas and Utah or something then lose to K-State and @ TCU, and then lose a tiebreaker to like UCF or Kansas or Arizona and miss out on the B-12 title game, I could see them sneaking in at 10-2 without winning the conference.

Utah at +285 and K State at +310 look like good value relative to their conference title odds (which do look a little high to me)



ACC only sums to 1.66. NC State +500 to playoff looks like excellent value. They'd have to make it 16.7% to break even, and they're priced at 12% to just straight up win the ACC and get a (likely) autobid.

I have Vegas ranking them at #21, +8 @ Clemson, -6 @ UNC and +5 neutral vs Tennessee aligns with that

jfc, Michigan plays eight home games

In their 11 games against D-1 competition:

The average rating of Florida's opponents is +18 (roughly equivalent to the ~16th best team)
The average rating of Missouri's opponents is +4 (roughly equivalent to the ~50th ranked team)

Florida plays 5 teams in the top-11
Missouri plays 1


They play only 2 common opponents, Mississppi State and Texas A&M

Florida's other 9 opponents are rated:
1
3
7
8
11
16
20
34
38

Missouri's other 9 are rated:
5
12
23
36
40
74
100
119
128



These teams are in the same conference!!!

Hate to say this but Fresno State +22 and Texas -3 are both megalocks vs Michigan. We have no QB. We seriously might be starting a guy who couldn't win the starting job at Indiana or a guy who has thrown zero forward passes in game action over his two years on campus. I haven't been this tempted to bet 10k on a game in a long time.

A small consolation prize for having to play @#2, vs #3 and vs #4 (per SP+).

Yeah I would scream if we had to play Texas and SC in a 3 week stretch.