Quote:
Originally Posted by MIKE MALONE
You’re missing the point. It’s not about individual volume or efficiency. It’s about space and the fact that one guy puts up 1.4ppp when he gets fouled and the other guy puts up .8ppp.
Scoring is not the worst part of Simmons’ game. It is, obviously, his inability to space the floor and make a free throw. He is a decent scorer.
Simmons has shot 1,523 freethrows in his career and made 59% of them. You rebound 14% of FT misses, and score 1.19 ppp per offensive rebound.
So, that's 1.24 points per possession when you hack Simmons, which is higher than the NBA average of 1.1.
Even if you wanted to somehow think his small 169 sample of FTs in the playoffs is somehow more representative of his actual expectation, that's 52%, which is still 1.12 ppp.
Now, of course you're going to make the argument that what we should ACTUALLY do is throw out 95% of our data and go with a random 5% subset of the data because it happens to support the arbitrary conclusion that you already started with, because historically that is clearly the correct analytical way to think about the world