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NBA Season Thread 2015-16 NBA Season Thread 2015-16

12-01-2015 , 03:08 AM
Kyle Lowry is putting up really big numbers, his best year ever. he turns 30 in march. he always seemed younger to me since he sort of came along slowly, being 24 before he became a starter and averaged over 25 min a game.

he is shooting the lights out. .419 from 3. .880 FT.

anyways, he had a lot of time to develop.
12-01-2015 , 03:20 AM
Mike Conley is now into his third consecutive year of decreasing ws/48 , BPM and RAPM (prior informed) , It would be strange if it turned out he peaked at 25
12-01-2015 , 03:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by andyhop
Mike Conley is now into his third consecutive year of decreasing ws/48 , BPM and RAPM (prior informed) , It would be strange if it turned out he peaked at 25
i don't think relatively minor dropoffs on those stats like what conley shows are strong evidence of an actual decrease in ability, his per has been basically the same from 25-now and that gels with the normal aging curve just fine

it might have more to do with his team slowly getting crappier as zbo/allen age
12-01-2015 , 03:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by anatta
exum might, might be that type too. he has a nice first step, so i know he has that type of quickness in him.
Gotta disagree. I think a lack of a first step is what holds Exum back. He has a graceful quickness, but no burst/explosiveness.

Although people all over the internet get furious at me when i say this.
12-01-2015 , 03:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mcb33f

sirosis, i met a guy from portland yesterday. he was riding a custom bicycle like this (said he welded it himself) and had a waxed moustache. i asked him if he liked the blazers and he said he didn't follow sports
Yeah, I'm most definitely not like that guy, but there are plenty of them around. I like Portland because it's a cool city and I can go nearby to do all sorts of outdoors stuff, I'm not here to ride around ridiculous hipster bicycles or go to Voodoo Doughnut and wait in line having an American Spirit lung dart or any of that jagoff crap.
12-01-2015 , 03:47 AM
wouldn't expect you to run with hipster filth
12-01-2015 , 04:07 AM
heals i turn my cheek to no-one as a modern member of the global village

unrelated; i got the scoop on exum and simmons from a person who has played with both: exum is an awesome dude and simmonss is a total see you next tuesday. i noticed in a recent interview simmons basically sounds american despite only moving to the us like 2yrs ago. changing your accent is a telltale sign of a being a lifelong pathetic beta to the core so i'm officially disowning him on behalf of australia

Last edited by mcb33f; 12-01-2015 at 04:23 AM. Reason: heals
12-01-2015 , 04:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mcb33f
i don't think relatively minor dropoffs on those stats like what conley shows are strong evidence of an actual decrease in ability, his per has been basically the same from 25-now and that gels with the normal aging curve just fine

it might have more to do with his team slowly getting crappier as zbo/allen age
The drop offs aren't that minor though , BPM has fallen to 40% of its 12-13 value, RAPM (actually just noticed I only have two years of falls on it as this years isn't the same version as the previous years) halved between 12-13 and 14-15 and ws/48 is down close to 20%.

It might be a statistical anomaly or team related but they are fairly large falls over a long period of time
12-01-2015 , 04:22 AM
yep, it could be something, possibly worth looking into since the grizz have sucked so badly on d this yr so far and it'd be good to assign some blame

i personally assume it's mostly stats weirdness, for most players those metrics can oscillate wildly over even large samples unless specifically constructed not to (which affects integrity iyam). my feeling is that the really elite players seem to maintain their ranks more consistently (which would happen for obvious reasons)
12-01-2015 , 05:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mcb33f
heals i turn my cheek to no-one as a modern member of the global village

unrelated; i got the scoop on exum and simmons from a person who has played with both: exum is an awesome dude and simmonss is a total see you next tuesday. i noticed in a recent interview simmons basically sounds american despite only moving to the us like 2yrs ago. changing your accent is a telltale sign of a being a lifelong pathetic beta to the core so i'm officially disowning him on behalf of australia
Simmons dad is a yank so that might have lessened the accent.


Not sure about the Conley stuff, but was definitely thinking about him signing with Utah while watching the Jazz game today. Not really any other PGs on the market this summer besides Clarkson who is a RFA. Rondo too I guess, but even if you like him I dont think he fits well with Utah and Hayward, Hood and Burks who can all handle the ball and 2 true bigs.
12-01-2015 , 05:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by anatta
yeah if you cant run fast now at 19, look 10 years ago the league wasnt like it is now, 10 years from now, when he is pushing 30, look at dragic, he is kinda slow out there tbh, and he actually had some wheels. so if you have no speed to spare and you get older and the league gets faster, it's a problem.
Quote:
Originally Posted by anatta
and the big point guard, idk if that works so well these days unless u are like westbrook, a top all time nba athlete. you got to chase curry lillard or IT2. all these point guards are really out of this world at moving around. we can go down the list. like i said before, there is a reason why defensive backs are 5'9'' even though its a bitch against the freak WR, they are the only humans who can stick to em. 6'5'' and just a regular athletic guy like DAR? no chance, it's physics, you are too high, ur gonna get shook, you're gonna burned for 3.

and i realize nobody can really stop any of these points one on one from penetrating and to some extend getting to their spot, and being tall is nice, the rim is in the air up high and all, but with the 3 so valuable you cant get lost on d. and also guys drawing the defense and kicking for the 3, or getting the bigs dunks and fouls and such, i think these days life is hard for the big guard.
Quote:
Originally Posted by anatta
That's what I like about marcus smart, he is taller and stronger than any of these guys, but he is the type of freak that can smother them, use his quick strong hands and reach to really f with em. but he is special.

exum might, might be that type too. he has a nice first step, so i know he has that type of quickness in him. and has the size, and i guess he showed he can play a little defense. I kind of liked what i saw of him in summer league before he got hurt. that one game vs marcus smart, i thought he equipped himself well. this injury was a big setback, but he will comeback stronger than ever, and its up to him to show he belongs in the national basketall association. i had some good news today and i am fired up and cant stop typing really at all so i dunno what i am going to do
this is good stuff anatta.
12-01-2015 , 06:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moneyball16
Simmons dad is a yank so that might have lessened the accent.


Not sure about the Conley stuff, but was definitely thinking about him signing with Utah while watching the Jazz game today. Not really any other PGs on the market this summer besides Clarkson who is a RFA. Rondo too I guess, but even if you like him I dont think he fits well with Utah and Hayward, Hood and Burks who can all handle the ball and 2 true bigs.
Yeah, i like Conley to the Jazz too. Is it likely he leaves Memphis tho?
12-01-2015 , 06:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JayTeeMe
Yeah, i like Conley to the Jazz too. Is it likely he leaves Memphis tho?
He and Marc supposedly had an agreement that they would both stick it out and resign.
12-01-2015 , 06:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JayTeeMe
Yeah, i like Conley to the Jazz too. Is it likely he leaves Memphis tho?
If Memphis can comfortably put out another 55 win season it seems unlikely, but I dont think they will do it and when Conley gets to free agency and he sees a team in Utah that could very easily have a better record than Memphis this year and a team that will be able to keep their whole young team together and have a bunch of cap space to add him and other stuff in free agency I think it becomes a lot harder to come back to Memphis. Despite Memphis being 10-8 they have a -2.07 SRS and are seen as just a 1 point favourite over a random team in a neutral location on inpredictable.

Utah is still Utah, but its gotta be easier to go from Memphis to Utah than Miami or LA to Utah too. Memphis does seem like an under the radar, dope city though.
12-01-2015 , 07:02 AM
Ben Simmons seems perfect for the positionless and the Draymondafied NBA. If the Warriors go on to crush everyone's soul with Draymond at the 5 lineups I think its gonna be hard to see teams passing on this guy at 1. Seems like he could be a supercharged Draymond Green. Don't care if hes a douche, the kid looks ****ing great.

Also dont see the pure bust potential. He already seems to be able to do everything that someone like Dwight Powell can do as a good small framed backup big without even getting to Simmon's elite ball skills.

That said Ive only seen the draftexpress vids on him and seen him in the Worlds vs American game in the summer.
12-01-2015 , 07:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mcb33f
heals i turn my cheek to no-one as a modern member of the global village

unrelated; i got the scoop on exum and simmons from a person who has played with both: exum is an awesome dude and simmonss is a total see you next tuesday. i noticed in a recent interview simmons basically sounds american despite only moving to the us like 2yrs ago. changing your accent is a telltale sign of a being a lifelong pathetic beta to the core so i'm officially disowning him on behalf of australia
was talking to osis. you congregating with such folk comes as no surprise. no doubt you swapped some icy tales over an unnecessarily bitter beer
12-01-2015 , 07:19 AM
i'm more of a hoegaarden man tbh
12-01-2015 , 07:55 AM
Conley is probably going to make too much for the Jazz to consider with Gobert and Hayward being due for new deals after next season and then Favors the year after that.
12-01-2015 , 08:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by andyhop
Conley is probably going to make too much for the Jazz to consider with Gobert and Hayward being due for new deals after next season and then Favors the year after that.
Favors/Gobert are locked for 2 years after this season, Gobert on a cheap deal, Favors twice under his value. Burks is locked on a good deal, Hayward could opt out but deal seems at his right value

They also have some potential efficient role players locked for 3 years Exum, Lyles, Hood

Honestly Utah is in one of the best position regarding salaries for the next offseason, they have plenty of super value deals, and will still have some space to sign Conley

The team really only needs a good PG and maybe 1 good 3+D guy for the wing to be a top 5 contender

It's the only team in the league that can say **** you small ball eat my bigs, and just for that reason we need Conley in jazz uniform to happen, because that would be an epic battle with GSW
12-01-2015 , 08:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moneyball16
Cleveland didn't embrace the tank. They just happened to be terribly run and then got bailed out by lottery balls and the fact that Gloria James' vagina was located in Ohio 30 years ago.

The year they won the Wiggins lottery they were 11-23 and traded a first round pick and 2 2nds and swap rights to another 1st for half a year of Luol Deng and then traded 2 2nd rounders for half a year of Spencer Hawes.
and dont forget shipping a bunch of cash to jarret jack

Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
Yep. When draft picks are the only source of players you allow yourself to use you have to be above average at them.

And yeah, the Cavs made an ill-fated expenditure of picks for players as part of a playoff drive to save Chris Grant's job. But that's how the rebuilding process works, eventually you try to get good.

The Bucks signed Monroe, the Celtics traded for Lil Zeke, at some point in the process you make an effort to switch from intentionally losing to trying to win.

What is the ETA on that switch for the 76ers? When Hinkie took over they won 34 games and he (correctly) decided to tear that team down and rebuild. They ain't winning 34 this year. Are they winning 34 next year?
fwiw, im pretty sure grant didnt want any part of that trade, nor did he want jack. and my sauces are positive there was a trade in place that he preferred rather than drafting bennett but gilbert overruled that.
12-01-2015 , 08:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by guivre1408
Favors/Gobert are locked for 2 years after this season, Gobert on a cheap deal, Favors twice under his value. Burks is locked on a good deal, Hayward could opt out but deal seems at his right value

They also have some potential efficient role players locked for 3 years Exum, Lyles, Hood

Honestly Utah is in one of the best position regarding salaries for the next offseason, they have plenty of super value deals, and will still have some space to sign Conley

The team really only needs a good PG and maybe 1 good 3+D guy for the wing to be a top 5 contender

It's the only team in the league that can say **** you small ball eat my bigs, and just for that reason we need Conley in jazz uniform to happen, because that would be an epic battle with GSW
Gobert is only locked in for 1 season after this one. Then he's a RFA.
12-01-2015 , 08:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by guivre1408
Favors/Gobert are locked for 2 years after this season, Gobert on a cheap deal, Favors twice under his value. Burks is locked on a good deal, Hayward could opt out but deal seems at his right value

They also have some potential efficient role players locked for 3 years Exum, Lyles, Hood

Honestly Utah is in one of the best position regarding salaries for the next offseason, they have plenty of super value deals, and will still have some space to sign Conley

The team really only needs a good PG and maybe 1 good 3+D guy for the wing to be a top 5 contender

It's the only team in the league that can say **** you small ball eat my bigs, and just for that reason we need Conley in jazz uniform to happen, because that would be an epic battle with GSW
Next year they are fine after that they aren't.

There is no way barring injury Hayward isn't opting out in a year with a $108m projected cap where his max will be close to double what he will be earning
12-01-2015 , 08:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JayTeeMe
Gobert is only locked in for 1 season after this one. Then he's a RFA.
He's like AD he'll get his max deal without negociations, but they are at 55m$ for next year with most of the key players locks in, they'll have 60 millions cap space,and something like 80/90m under luxury tax. That's enough money to resign gobert hayward and Conley
Then they'll see how they do with cap space in 3 years, but that's still a 2 year title window, for a team that hasn't got any top picks except Exum that's amazing
12-01-2015 , 08:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jwd
I have been more than willing to try to bet on my opinion on the Sixers. Nobody has taken me up on the offer. I'll be in Vegas in December; unfortunately, the books will never create the line for me that I want. I want to bet the Sixers win a title within six years. Odds of a random team winning a title within six years is 18.5%. Since the Sixers and Hinkie aren't going where I would assume someone would lay me at least 4 to 1.

Would also bet the Sixers vs. the Bucks/Knicks/Magic. First to title at even odds
its pretty obv why no one is willing to bet with you on something that wont materialize for 6 years. i mean cmon.

but still, 4 to 1 is just an epically bad handicap on the sixers titling in 6 years. you gotta be looking at like 50:1 or so.
12-01-2015 , 08:57 AM
Last year I'm pretty sure it was up to 8 years and everyone told him the same thing. No ones going to sit on a bet for 6-8 years bro

Eta: now see that was like hundreds of posts ago. Victor you clicking random pages or something?

      
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