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NBA 2008-2009 Season Thread NBA 2008-2009 Season Thread

05-22-2009 , 06:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kbfc
The problem with this argument is that you're basically just saying, "it is bad when a guy gets in the lane against you, therefore a PG that can prevent that is fantastic!" But that is true for the wings as well. The difference is that it's a lot harder to stop Wade when he gets in the lane than it is Tony Parker. In the NBA, the biggest scoring threats are almost all wings. Despite all the horrible defensive PGs killing their teams out there, how often do you see a PG get double-teamed as a main defensive strategy? There are wings (and bigs) in the league that demand a double from a large % of the teams.
this, too. you'd think that PGs would bear a higher burden of scoring, and (funny, bc Keith and I had a discussion recently about PG avg. USG%) it's not the case. Even against poorer defenders on average, PGs still don't carry an equal amount of weight offensively (or defensively) speaking.

I mean, I hate making blanket statements like this, but of the 5 positions, PG is the least important. I mean, it's ridiculous to even pencil in 5 positions (whether it's G G F F C or P W W B B) but this does also mesh with conventional wisdom.
05-22-2009 , 06:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Black Mamba
Seems like great support for my comments that small guards are the absolute worst players in the league in terms of creating their own shot.
dude, your argument was terrible. can we please not resurrect it?
05-22-2009 , 06:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dtemp
Bobbo, is that what you watch to wind down after a night at the ballet?
whatever gets the demons out of your head
05-22-2009 , 06:53 PM
I usually watch Xanadu to unwind, it's a seriously underrated musical imo. 80's new wave, roller skates, olivia, what's not to love?

btw if you can make it through the whole video, odds are pretty good that you likes the ****.
05-22-2009 , 07:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kidcolin
Malone was 6'9" and listed at 250. His legs were also tree trunks.

Frickin' Tim Duncan is a big, stout guy, is 7', and is listed at 250 (I'm guessing he's more than that).

Perk is 6'10", 280, and he's notably huge.

There's just no way.
I wouldn't put much stock into listed weights. Perkins is 300lb+ for sure.
05-22-2009 , 07:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Seadood228
I usually watch Xanadu to unwind, it's a seriously underrated musical imo. 80's new wave, roller skates, olivia, what's not to love?

btw if you can make it through the whole video, odds are pretty good that you likes the ****.
So this brings up something fun. What's everybody favorite guilty pleasure song, movie, etc.?

my guilty pleasure song: Maniac (flashdance soundtrack)
movie: Footloose

lol yeah theres something wrong with me

lol i regret making this post already
05-22-2009 , 07:22 PM
how do you know that isura?
05-22-2009 , 07:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dtemp
So this brings up something fun. What's everybody favorite guilty pleasure song, movie, etc.?

my guilty pleasure song: Maniac (flashdance soundtrack)
movie: Footloose

lol yeah theres something wrong with me

lol i regret making this post already
Madonna - Lucky Star

and I don't watch ghey movies
05-22-2009 , 07:25 PM
Avril Lavigne.
05-22-2009 , 07:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BobboFitos
I mean, I hate making blanket statements like this, but of the 5 positions, PG is the least important. I mean, it's ridiculous to even pencil in 5 positions (whether it's G G F F C or P W W B B) but this does also mesh with conventional wisdom.
What if a player like Magic Johnson is the point guard? Does that change the argument a little?

Yes, I do realize Magic was a freak. 6'8" guy running the point is unreal...
05-22-2009 , 07:48 PM
i love jewell
05-22-2009 , 07:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EYESCREW
What if a player like Magic Johnson is the point guard? Does that change the argument a little?

Yes, I do realize Magic was a freak. 6'8" guy running the point is unreal...
i dont get it? the fact magic was 6'8 was obviously very crucial and one of the reasons hes on the short list of greatest players ever
05-22-2009 , 08:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hendrix23
Good post.


Just to add. Where they generally are on the court is not a spot that is easily doubled. Bigs get doubled a lot because it's a part of a lot of coaches defensive philosophy. To funnel the ball to the baseline and trap.

From that position you are aided by the baseline, sideline as well as the double team. So it's a hard spot to have a lot of options from, and see your options. As well the open man is usually 2-3 passes away to let the defense recover.

If you're right in the middle of the floor and the double comes the PG can get the ball to the open man way easier.
Teams are not "funneling the ball" to Tim Duncan or Yao Ming in the post. They are doing everything they can to prevent them getting the ball (sometimes doubling off the ball) in the first place, and then doubling when they do. They are not "funneling the ball" the ball to Kobe and Lebron.

Yes, some PGs are very skilled with the ball and have ways to beat double teams. So do very skilled wings and bigs. The difference is that if you don't double the PG, they can't make you pay as much. A large chunk of a PG's offensive value is "at a distance", in that it requires a pass to a weapon somewhere else on the court. Cover the weapons, and the PG's value is blunted. (see: the dead horse of the 2008 WCSF)
05-22-2009 , 08:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chim17
Avril Lavigne.
haha yeah this.

guilty movie is "she's the man" with amanda byrnes.
05-22-2009 , 08:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kbfc
I think it's probably going to continue to be very entertaining! But I still don't see Denver winning.
I respectfully disagree.

Quote:
Kobe has basically carried the Lakers so far, and if he has to keep doing so, it could be tough for them, but if they can get anything (other than Pau's rebounding) out of their bigs, it could be the exact opposite of tough.
So is this a function of

a) LA's supporting cast being overmatched
b) Denver's D and O getting the best of them
c) LA's supporting cast not playing well as of late

I think it's a combo of all three, with C being the most accurate. The Lakers -Kobe have not played at the level we've seen in the regular season, everyone keeps waiting for them to turn it on, but that just hasn't happened. How many more games will it take before they suddenly become the great supporting cast that were so lauded in the regular season?

Quote:
Denver has mostly played very well. JR Smith hasn't really had a big game, but we knew going in that this was a tough matchup for him. Instead they got a random outburst from Klieza. Let's see how many more double-figure games he has (I'm guessing the o/u is 0.5). I think K-Mart is almost certainly running hot offensively. Nene has had foul problems, but his matchup isn't getting any easier, so that could be an issue all series.
I'm not buying this at all, especially the bolded. As a team yes they've played well, but individually their non-stars have had their fair share of bad games throughout the playoffs. Do I expect Linas to go off again? Not hardly, but as we've seen from the Nugs in the past few months, there's always someone there to step it up when the others fall off. This team is DEEP (we haven't seen Balkman yet... 17 PER/.585 TS/ great defender), and from what I've seen does not buy into the "stand around and watch" mentality that we get from the Lakers guys.

So yes the Nugs' supporting cast has played better than the Lakers', but they've consistently been doing that throughout the playoffs. And what's more, they have more guys available to step up than Kobe's crew.

The Lakers were obviously the better team in the regular season, but somewhere down the line they lost their edge. Kobe is still bringing it, but the rest of their crew have been erratic at best. We keep waiting for them to bust out, but that hasn't happened yet and IT'S THE WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS.

The Nugs on the other hand, have been getting better as the season progressed. I think it's equal parts health and chemistry, and for whatever other reason right now they are peaking. If you look back to the ASB, these two teams have played eachother almost exactly even, but right now they are headed in opposite directions.

You said it was a toss up with HCA being the deciding factor, and now the Nugs have that advantage. What's more, they didn't steal home court, they played the Lakers exactly even in both those games. That's big considering the Denver HC edge, and even bigger now that the Nugs have the confidence to know that they can still beat LA at home should a disaster occur.

The Nugs have the momentum, less pressure, and a better overall team right now. Advantage Nugs imo.
05-22-2009 , 08:31 PM
btw at the end of game two chauncey seemed EXHAUASTED... likw misssing easy shots cus hes tired exhauseted
05-22-2009 , 08:31 PM
man this denver team has really shown something
05-22-2009 , 08:33 PM
favorite guilty pleasure music is tegan and sara. I don't know why but I think they're kinda awesome, and I generally really hate music like that.
05-22-2009 , 08:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NozeCandy
Any PG worthy of a double can beat a double all day. Sure if you could theoretically double Paul or other great PGs it would have a massive effect on the offense, but attempting to do this regularly is suicide because you can't usually double the best passers and quickest players on the court since they just don't let you. Their size, skillset, and the area where they generally dominate the ball make it extremely hard and very much a net negative to try very often since they'll just burn you.

Saying you see other guys get doubled but not PGs so therefore nobody thinks their worthy of a double is ridiculous. If you could double a PG in the fashion that you can to a SF or PF, teams would be doing it all day to certain teams. They're not as stationary as other positions.
Obviously, I agree with this since I made the same post this morning...

Kbfc, what are you basing your assesment that kmart and melo are the most valuable nug defenders? I mean is it just the case that aside from about 5 teams (spurs, jazz, hornets, nets, bulls), the primary offensive creators and/or scorers are wings/posts? Basically I'm asking whether it's an empirical claim that wing/post defense is more important right now, or whether it's something systemic?
05-22-2009 , 08:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NozeCandy
Any PG worthy of a double can beat a double all day. Sure if you could theoretically double Paul or other great PGs it would have a massive effect on the offense, but attempting to do this regularly is suicide because you can't usually double the best passers and quickest players on the court since they just don't let you. Their size, skillset, and the area where they generally dominate the ball make it extremely hard and very much a net negative to try very often since they'll just burn you.

Saying you see other guys get doubled but not PGs so therefore nobody thinks their worthy of a double is ridiculous. If you could double a PG in the fashion that you can to a SF or PF, teams would be doing it all day to certain teams. They're not as stationary as other positions.
This is all possible, but as I've said before, other players have skills/attributes (that the PGs do not) which allow them to beat double teams as well, and I am almost sure that no defense "likes" to double (again, not talking about the Lakers superaggro trap defense, which will double team the PA announcer if they think they can steal his mic). Despite having all these skills that will make a double-team pay dearly, and therefore leave the PG in straight-up coverage, the elite PGs are still not scoring like elite wings (who DO get doubled), and with the exception of Steve Nash (!), their team's offenses aren't as good either.


Quote:
Originally Posted by THAKID
good post...

unfortuantely doubling chris paul is the exception cus when he passes to somebody else on his team they instantly do something stupid
There's actually a subtle point in here about why there's value in not having to rely on a parlay coming through.

Quote:
Originally Posted by chim17
I'll happily take that prop for some small amount if you want, kbfc.

Denver hasn't lost in Denver for two and a half months. I really think they'll win both.. far far more often than they'll lose both.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Seadood228
I'll take that bet as well.
Quote:
Originally Posted by chim17
Go ahead and make the bet with Seadood if you want some action since you guys were in the conversation.

I just wanted to add that because I think the thought of LA winning both being anywhere near the likelihood of Denver winning both is absurd.
Ok, how about $50 on stars? Seadood has first priority. Going by the book moneylines, they put the true odds of this bet at around 2:1 in favor of Denver. I'll sacrifice the EV as a gesture befitting a noble gent such as myself. I'm about to go into media-blackout mode, but I'll come back to the thread later tonight. Just post "confirmed" and that's good enough for me.
05-22-2009 , 08:36 PM
My favorite guilty pleasure songs are like 1/2 of George Michael's anthonogy.
05-22-2009 , 08:38 PM
KFBC - Confirmed. That might make up for the bad bet I made with Flyingrat. I only have monies on FT, but we'll figure something out.

So $50 on this series being 3-1 (Nugs I win/LA you win).

2-2 it's a push... i think.

good luck, hope you lose.
05-22-2009 , 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BobboFitos
There is nothing wrong with the methodology, you just don't agree with the results. I don't know why this is a tough pill to swallow: Bigger players have a positive correlation with better defense. Smaller players (for every up there must be a down!) have a negative correlation to defense. Why is this so bizarre?
it's bizarre that you don't feel compelled todefend the methodology in a non-circular manner. I'm open to evidence, I'm just not seeing much that I buy.
05-22-2009 , 08:43 PM
seadood, got the pm about escrowing your bet with the rat, i cant take ftp money. so, i cant do it, unless you want me to hold it all on stars. sorry
05-22-2009 , 08:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sethypooh21
it's bizarre that you don't feel compelled todefend the methodology in a non-circular manner. I'm open to evidence, I'm just not seeing much that I buy.
i gave you the reason: tall people are by and large better defenders.

      
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