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HyperMegaELIte SE Crossover Werewolf Game 3.0 HyperMegaELIte SE Crossover Werewolf Game 3.0

01-23-2012 , 06:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NozeCandy
I think it was Palo during the first game that was like "If you think he's a wolf, he's a villager. If you think he's a villager, he's a villager. It's everyone else you have to worry about."
sounds right, palo was very good in that game too i thought
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01-23-2012 , 06:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nath
As far as Annie's fake peek: Since when has a n0 peek ever been a wolf?

I was a seer twice in turbo games and each time the mod PMed me the name of a villager as my n0 peek.

I suppose in a larger game you would have time to let the seer make his own peek on n0, but it still seems unlikely to me.
in turbos you get a random villa n0 peek

in long games, you typically get to choose your n0 peek, or it gets randed from the whole player list
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01-23-2012 , 06:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pvn
except there are no N0 actions
wrong
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01-23-2012 , 06:30 PM
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Originally Posted by g-bebe
i agree, i just don't care much for lists without reasoning. i prefer the "list your top 5 villa/wolf candidates and why" approach, not just a blend-in-with-the-pack and throw out a bunch of names already in the fray. the ones i quoted had either not much (that I saw) or very soft defends
Ok, I agree!
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01-23-2012 , 06:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pvn
except there are no N0 actions
Yes there were
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01-23-2012 , 06:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nath
As far as Annie's fake peek: Since when has a n0 peek ever been a wolf?

I was a seer twice in turbo games and each time the mod PMed me the name of a villager as my n0 peek.

I suppose in a larger game you would have time to let the seer make his own peek on n0, but it still seems unlikely to me.
Turbos are generally going to be random villager.. while larger games will often be true peek.
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01-23-2012 , 06:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nath
Also it's pretty super LOL that Annie would claim to peek someone wolf but be starting a wagon elsewhere. I guess there's some elaborate strategy involved, but I think it devalues the validity of your seer claim.
I'm still catching up, but wtf at the seer hunting ITT

Nath
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01-23-2012 , 06:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ASPoker8
CFD's are essentially never pro-V. Rational wagons based on who you consider to be most wolfy are +EV because they prevent the wolves from influencing/deciding the lynch (versus a CFD) and because they provide really good wagon/timing tells and info to analyze later in the game.


well said ASP
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01-23-2012 , 06:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zdye724
Oh tweedy, now is not a good time to make a random case against someone with little content and zero chance of being lynched. Now would be a good time to address the wagon against you.
The goal of the village is to find wolves. I'll clear myself by making reads.

And lol if you think he has no chance of being lynched. We still have a couple hours.
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01-23-2012 , 06:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by schu_22
iverson calling loretta "she" is funnier to me than it should be
I've called actual girls he out of the presumption that 99% of 2p2 is male. When I'm wrong, they tend to get somewhat upset. Loretta has a girl's name and a girl's avatar. Eh.
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01-23-2012 , 06:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ASPoker8
CFD's are essentially never pro-V. Rational wagons based on who you consider to be most wolfy are +EV because they prevent the wolves from influencing/deciding the lynch (versus a CFD) and because they provide really good wagon/timing tells and info to analyze later in the game.
Agree it's rare a CFD is good unless really good info comes out towards EOD. Just one out of nowhere is almost always anti-village.
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01-23-2012 , 06:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlitzPlayer
I still dont get why people would lynch you if he was not a seer.
The logic is this: The wolves know exactly who all the other wolves are. When Anarchist fake-peeks Loretta wolf, Loretta is obviously either a wolf or not. If he is a wolf, the wolves need to kill Anarchist because his fake peek is correct, making him more likely to be a seer than a random villager would be. If Loretta is a villager, the wolves know Anarchist isn't a seer and don't have to worry about killing him yet.
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01-23-2012 , 06:33 PM
Sup Vyk and Vix. I am a villager and I hope you br0's are as well.*

*And fwiw I recognize the tone above sounds "wolfy", but I will talk to Vyk and Vix how I want, when I want, without regard for you other fools.
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01-23-2012 , 06:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nofear3838
I'm still catching up, but wtf at the seer hunting ITT

Nath
I was a seer in the most current girl with a dragon tattoo mishmash and the SE'ers in the game seer hunted the crap out of me every time I left a peek

I'd throw in the 2 guys I peeked villager at the top of my village list and like 3 SE'ers would comment on it and hound me for clarification. I think they were all villagers too, and somehow the wolves never noticed it and I was able to get a whopping 6 peeks off before I claimed on d5

the point I'm trying to make is:

stop seer hunting

if you think your statement in regards to an individual players reads list could be interpreted as seer hunting, it probably is

don't do it
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01-23-2012 , 06:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nath
The logic is this: The wolves know exactly who all the other wolves are. When Anarchist fake-peeks Loretta wolf, Loretta is obviously either a wolf or not. If he is a wolf, the wolves need to kill Anarchist because his fake peek is correct, making him more likely to be a seer than a random villager would be. If Loretta is a villager, the wolves know Anarchist isn't a seer and don't have to worry about killing him yet.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nofear3838
I'm still catching up, but wtf at the seer hunting ITT

Nath
I'm not seer-hunting anything; I think his peek is bad strategy because if it's fake and they're both villagers, Anarchist has set us up to have two of our strongest players killed early. Whether his peek was fake or real I think it was a bad one.
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01-23-2012 , 06:37 PM
To be fair, it's not really seer hunting when someone either fake peeks or outs themselves as a seer. Anarchist put it out there for all to see.
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01-23-2012 , 06:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chim17
RT,

I'm not saying you are trying to subconsciously vent your disgust. I'm just saying I think you slipped up and are posting with information a villager shouldn't have.
Except I didn't. The only thing that got my name out there was that I said I didn't really care about my "life" and trying to give the wolves some tips.

I've already explained the wolf-help part and the not caring about my life part is actually pretty obvious: I win when the village wins. I don't care if I'm alive or not. For that reason I find it hard to get as engaged as I was last time in this game.

It's not that it's not still fun, it's that when you're the SK, if you die, it's game over. Now if I die, it's just that I won't be able to help the village anymore. Oh well, we'll prob still win (with respect to Bingo and his murky idea that Wolves win more in POG, the data backs me up, WW is a village game).

As for how to help since I might die tonight:
For the love of Islamic Fonzie, please stop putting so much faith on the day one reads you're making now. Note odd behavior, remember the feelings you get, they're important to be sure, but none of you have enough info to call anyone a lock wolf or even close yet.

You're trying to draw a line and you have only one point. Think back to geometry class...it isn't going to work.

As a village we learn more from voting patterns than posting history or (LOL) tone reads. After day 2 of last game I was able to correctly narrow my list of power villagers and wolves down to about 25% of the game pool and hit way more than I missed. Maybe I just ran good but I think the logic, which I went over last game, was sound.

Also, stop looking at entrances. One word: Geoffras. Some people don't take the game that seriously, they don't realize that posting that they just got a wolf PM, a picture of a wolf, or HOOOOOOWLLLLL will be jumped on by a bunch of paranoid people desperate for someone to lynch. They just think it's as funny as posting LOLStealers. Most things mean what they look like they mean. A confused poster is probably really confused (especially if the situation, like a CFD, is confusing), a quiet poster probably has something to hide, and a helpful poster is probably being helpful.

We've got the upper hand, we can remember with 100% accuracy the wolves posting patterns, and without getting into it, I doubt the wolf team is smart enough to create a ton of misleading info there.

Relax and let the game come to you. After 2 days you should have enough info to start drawing some serious lines and once you do, the wolves will collapse in on themselves.

Lastly, for some reason in the last game, people kept referring to seer-cleared players as totally clear. They aren't. There's the godfather and maybe the SK at least (if they've fixed the SK's role to be not ******ed in that area) who will peek one thing but be another. Don't 100% ignore someone just because a dead seer cleared them.
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01-23-2012 , 06:37 PM
what were the n0 actions?
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01-23-2012 , 06:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nath
The logic is this: The wolves know exactly who all the other wolves are. When Anarchist fake-peeks Loretta wolf, Loretta is obviously either a wolf or not. If he is a wolf, the wolves need to kill Anarchist because his fake peek is correct, making him more likely to be a seer than a random villager would be. If Loretta is a villager, the wolves know Anarchist isn't a seer and don't have to worry about killing him yet.
to expand on that if anarchist dies by a wolf kill and is a villager but not a seer, there is a chance that the wolves were seer hunting and that would give loretta slightly higher odds to be a wolf. if im correct in that thinking..

there are Seer Hunt Cleared Players( players that are fake peeked villager and then the peeker dies by wolf kill and is not a seer) and (i dont know if there is another term) but >rand wolf players from Fake Peek Seers peeking them as wolves.
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01-23-2012 , 06:38 PM
If I was a wolf and knew Annie/Loretta were both villagers, I'd probably push the wolves to kill Annie tonight knowing it would tilt the village towards lynching Loretta tomorrow.

My post isn't seer-hunting; it's pointing out where a post could cause problems for the village and that we shouldn't necessarily follow it to its logical conclusion.

THIS is seer hunting:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steroid Boy
i absolutely get this but how the **** can people who make a their one post a one word vote be put into a strong villager category and afaik there werent any n0 actions.
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01-23-2012 , 06:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ASPoker8
Sup Vyk and Vix. I am a villager and I hope you br0's are as well.*

*And fwiw I recognize the tone above sounds "wolfy", but I will talk to Vyk and Vix how I want, when I want, without regard for you other fools.
why is this tone wolfy?
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01-23-2012 , 06:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nath
As far as Annie's fake peek: Since when has a n0 peek ever been a wolf?

I was a seer twice in turbo games and each time the mod PMed me the name of a villager as my n0 peek.

I suppose in a larger game you would have time to let the seer make his own peek on n0, but it still seems unlikely to me.
9er turbos (the turbo structure youy are probably referring to) randomizes the n0 peek but limiting to villagers only,

whereas in larger games and mishmashes, the seer gets to personally choose who they want to peek, with no limits on the player roles

so the seer can feasibly peek both a villager and a wolf role in this format
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01-23-2012 , 06:40 PM
Blatantly seer hunting in the thread is almost never a wolf, they have wolf chat.
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01-23-2012 , 06:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dyenimator
what were the n0 actions?
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01-23-2012 , 06:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chilltown
To be fair, it's not really seer hunting when someone either fake peeks or outs themselves as a seer. Anarchist put it out there for all to see.
Until he hard claims or w/e ignore it. Loretta is the one who brought it up.
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