alright, anarchist

Leaning Anarchist over C-Viggity right now.

Votes as of post 7027
Night in 01:32
---

Votes	Lynch	Voters
11	Anarchist	bowens (21), C-Viggity (39), dar0 (28), dkgojackets (14), Dukesucks (9), g-bebe (11), Henrik Sedin (40), Hotwings18 (15), Iversonian (88), Kidcolin (24), schu_22 (20)
8	C-Viggity	Richard Tanner (28), aejones (3), Anarchist (83), Chim17 (41), Nozecandy (17), pvn (74), ut2010 (40), Vixticator (76)
1	schu_22	Dyenimator (10)
1	Vyk07	insanity31 (65)
2	not voting	zdye724 (5), Vyk07 (0)

in case i don't finish this analysis and get nk'd here's a dump of some notes on the night we got chilltown. at first, it thought it was wolfy to be outraged by BJL's claim, like wtf are you doing man, and that chim was johnny on the spot. on reread, i see that the NATURAL villa reaction was one of disbelief, as you can see from so many clear villas. the wolves seemed to have made the decision to bus chilltown quick, and get the villa points. reread it starting from around the first link, pls, maybe earlier. i was going to make a nice long case, but i dont' think i have time.

remember, my notes are just so i remember what i was thinking at the time. not hard and fast conclusions.


http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3804
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3806 lol gbebe
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3812
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3857
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3897 RT wants us to waste time lynching sk
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3909 good villas loling at geddy's list
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3912
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3942
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3944
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3969
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3974
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=3983
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=4074 duke clear
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=4115 they angeled geddy
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=4145 ??? how do you know?
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=4151 famail
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=4181 vyk
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=4196 uh, no.
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=4233 vyk next day

I have been too. Tiresome, isn't it?

...just like SYF. It's also what makes it so easy for the wolves to pile on (like it would've been easy for them to pile on me on d1). If he dies and flips wolf, they win, if he dies and flips villa, they say "Well he sucked anyway".

It's not that Annie has been helpful at all really, and if he's vanilla/weak the only thing we lose from killing him is one to our number (which is getting more and more important sadly) but it also means going after him can't win a player many villa points.

i will probably always trust 72's read of you fwiw

good work on hotwings vix

Easy there tiger, I just talk about the SK alot. Been doing it like all game.

also, if annie cards wolf, i really really ask the vig to consider how likely it was that wolves permitted a w/w wagon from the first hour after day opened and never challenged it. i think the conditional probability taht c-vig=wolf given annie=wolf is quite low. take that into consideration before you take your shot.

We should have a second wagon that isn't me

just notes about your fixation with sk to follow up on. not saying you're 100% lock wolf because of it.

Just rand C-vig, dye, and someone else, vig.

Votes as of post 7038
Night in 01:26
---

Votes	Lynch	Voters
11	Anarchist	bowens (21), C-Viggity (41), dar0 (28), dkgojackets (14), Dukesucks (9), g-bebe (11), Henrik Sedin (40), Hotwings18 (15), Iversonian (92), Kidcolin (25), schu_22 (21)
8	C-Viggity	Richard Tanner (30), aejones (3), Anarchist (83), Chim17 (41), Nozecandy (17), pvn (74), ut2010 (40), Vixticator (76)
1	schu_22	Dyenimator (10)
1	Vyk07	insanity31 (65)
2	not voting	zdye724 (5), Vyk07 (0)

oh yeah, another thing i forgot to mention. this is one of my few good posts among the chaff. please read.

when geddy did his spew and listed names, obv it's not in and of itself useful, but the reactions were. wolves perhaps thought that it was too obvious to counter it if they found their names on it?

confirmed villas, though, were aghast and immediately said, "no it's wrong cuz i'm on it".

including vix, francis, henrik, and some others. this is like a natural experiment. we can tell from this how genuine village psychology works.

vyk's silence on this is LOUD.

so add hotwings to the list of 90% cleared villas with

gbebe
vix
nozecandy

Can someone explain the Noze clear to me?

c-vig
zdye
chim
anarchist
bowens
kidcolin
dar0

wolves
wolves
wolves

noze is not like super cleared, but he was SHC by bingo, and bingo seemed like a seer hunt.

sweet, i got the annie wagon rolling.

who's questioning my wim now???

I'll let you know when I see Annie's card lol

lol, if he flips villa, i'm going to flee to a country that has no internet.

also, perfect analogy for annie's wolf game: zerg.

or just spend the next week at IKEA

you're back on now? Good.

To be honest, Annie's early work isn't too bad. He's annoying, but he makes some helpful mechanics posts (3 wagons bad, don't freak out about dead vanillas, asking vigs to clear up NLS/Booker when that was going on, etc). But he's apparently experienced so he could just be a step ahead here.

**** it, anarchist

Two of my biggest wolf leans (SYF/exec) were killed last night. The only one I have left is Annie. I'm not sold on C-Vig at all, I have yet to see a solid case on him and there just isn't enough in his last 3 days to justify a vote on him.

I apologize for my WIL this weekend, if I survive the night I'll put in much better work.