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Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE

07-30-2019 , 01:12 PM
https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/4...hread-1748365/

Only 3 spaces left (max of 30), hoping to get our first accas up this weekend so if you want in say so quickly!
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
07-31-2019 , 06:40 PM
Ok after a period of reflection we're back in business. first a financial update, and then some interesting news



the news is twofold, one we have amassed sufficient betfair points to be eligible for a 4% discount on commissions. the price of doing business just went down

Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
07-31-2019 , 06:42 PM
second, the interesting bit. this is a historic day for the Partners.

today i noticed this tab for the first time



there's a chance that has always been there, but i am 95% it's new



dunno how easy that screenshot will be to read, but basically they are saying that as we are, quote, consistently profitable, we may be subject to a premium charge of some description. i dont know the details as the formula seems to have been written by NASA

anyway the point is that we, the Partners of F&B LLP, have officially garnered the attention of the bookmaking community

pokerstars vs teejay may or may not have been a targeted attack, but there is absolutely no doubt this time

with that in mind its time to launch another salvo of missiles. Group C, your proposals please

Kutuz_off
PeteBlow
DonkDonkDonkDonk
Yippee ki-yay
BOIDS
cviggity
Fatal Checkraise
arcdog
Eric Clipperton
tarheeljks
AngryPanda
Tall Paul
TehVader
LostOstrich
Schlitz mmmm
joejoe1337
rickroll
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
07-31-2019 , 06:47 PM
I propose to back English Champions Manchester City to beat Liverpool inside 90 minutes in the Community Shield on Sunday. The current odds are 10/11.

Salah, Firmino got back to training yesterday and Mane is not back yet and Klopp more or less ruled all three out of starting in his press conference. So if you fancy Divock Origi and Rhian Brewster versus Kdb, Sterling, Bernardo, Foads, Aguero, Silva, Sane etc etc then don't vote for this proposal.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
07-31-2019 , 07:58 PM
Bristol City to get a draw at home to Leeds 23/10
Luke Ayling out injured and Pontius sold leaves us weaker.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
07-31-2019 , 10:24 PM
OH I GOT PICKS
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
07-31-2019 , 10:24 PM
We have a slack channel for 2p2, would like to share it exclusively with members of the SYNDICATE

https://join.slack.com/t/2p2sporting...ThkMTcyODU1MTE
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 03:01 AM
I propose Burnley to beat Southampton in the season opener next Saturday. Current odds 13/8.

As regular readers of the English Football thread know, Burnley are better than Southampton. On top of that, local hero and former Southampton player Jay Rodriguez will be making his long awaited return to the Turf and is bound to score the winner.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 03:18 AM
We're not seriously suggesting pre season friendlies again, are we?
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 03:51 AM
1 My first proposal is that boids change the formatting of our prospectus, I'm color blind and can't tell the difference... but it is nice to believe our record is spotless

2. up the bournemouth bet with a parlay on bournemouth themselves, can we really see 4 goals being scored but bournemouth still not winning?

3 taking the under on HOU @CLE tomorrow at 8.5 for 1.9.

The reasoning being that it's at Cleveland and has two of the games best pitchers in Gerrit Cole and Danny Salazar.

Cole is a beast arguably the most consistent pitcher in the game today. Danny Salazar is coming off a long term injury but has pitched well in rehab starts and was an ace before the injury. He may have an innings cap, but that's ok because CLE has the 3rd best bullpen.

I feel like there is a strong mismatch here because HOU has a name brand offense and Salazar has been hurt - giving perceptions that Houston could light him up. I don't think that will be the case, and even if it does happen. Cole is unlikely to yield many runs. He typically goes 7-8 innings and in his last 8 starts has given up 1 run 6 times, 0 once and 4 the other time.

Houston is also more name brand than substance this year, their offense is good, but far from elite as it's 8th in the MLB. CLE is 20th.

Cleveland is a pitcher's park and the Indians just pulled off a huge head scratcher by trading Trevor Bauer. It's basically unprecedented for a playoff team to trade away coveted power pitchers for some OF depth. Unless they're re-enacting Major League and trying to tank, it only makes sense if they believe that Salazar is healthy and ready to go - which 6 rehab starts should indicate.

Normally when you see a matchup like this, the o/u line is around 7, at 8.5 I see a pretty decent edge.

Having said that, I wouldn't recomend a yacht level investment here, it's EV but nothing absurd



4. I've also been looking at the nfl preseason lines, it seems to me that some of them are getting pretty low o/us based on defensive reputation even though for most of the game it's going to be practice squad players - haven't researched but I'm thinking someone here in this braintrust may have done some work on this and can offer an opinion

Last edited by rickroll; 08-01-2019 at 04:01 AM.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 05:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Eric Clipperton
I propose to back English Champions Manchester City to beat Liverpool inside 90 minutes in the Community Shield on Sunday. The current odds are 10/11.

Salah, Firmino got back to training yesterday and Mane is not back yet and Klopp more or less ruled all three out of starting in his press conference. So if you fancy Divock Origi and Rhian Brewster versus Kdb, Sterling, Bernardo, Foads, Aguero, Silva, Sane etc etc then don't vote for this proposal.
I would like to nix this idea. Laporte is out. It’s gonna be a total circus at the back. It’s also a meaningless match.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 05:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tall Paul
I propose Burnley to beat Southampton in the season opener next Saturday. Current odds 13/8.

As regular readers of the English Football thread know, Burnley are better than Southampton. On top of that, local hero and former Southampton player Jay Rodriguez will be making his long awaited return to the Turf and is bound to score the winner.
I am going to stoke the fires here and propose that the mighty Southampton will beat Burnley in the same game, currently at 15/8.

As we all know, 15/8 returns more than 13/8. It's true, I've done the maths.

If that's not enough, Southampton have a foreign manager with great hair and an unpronounceable name - literally, I dare you to try and pronounce it:

Spoiler:
Ralph Hasenhüttl



Seriously, look at that hair.


By way of comparison, Burnley's manager, Sean Dyche has no hair and a name that is 400% easier to pronounce.

Spoiler:


Thank you for your time, god bless.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 05:58 AM
Someone please propose the Draw.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 06:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by joejoe1337
I am going to stoke the fires here and propose that the mighty Southampton will beat Burnley in the same game, currently at 15/8.

As we all know, 15/8 returns more than 13/8. It's true, I've done the maths.
I like it, bring it on!

I'd just like to point out for those that don't understand fractional odds, that Joe is incorrect as backing Southampton at 15/8 will return less than backing Burnley at 13/8. It will actually return zero.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 06:13 AM
TP, you’ve already said that Joe Hart will probably start. This negates any potential Jay Rod advantage.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 06:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteBlow
TP, you’ve already said that Joe Hart will probably start. This negates any potential Jay Rod advantage.
While Joe Hart potentially starting is a disadvantage, Southampton were one of the few teams that failed to score past him last season so I'm confident it won't be a problem.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 06:21 AM
I hope you don’t start Peacock Farrell
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 08:56 AM
Latest news is that Pope is set to play the final preseason friendly, so no need to worry about Joe Hart.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 08:57 AM
Bad news - when the market learns about this Burnley's price will shoot so far in that it won't even be worth the investment.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 11:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BOIDS
pokerstars vs teejay may or may not have been a targeted attack

I guess we’ll never know as THEY STILL HAVEN’T CONTACTED ME AFTER 8 DAYS!!

Sorry for derail but I’m very mad about this. I’ll get a STATS update out soon.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 11:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by teejayC
I guess we’ll never know as THEY STILL HAVEN’T CONTACTED ME AFTER 8 DAYS!!

Sorry for derail but I’m very mad about this. I’ll get a STATS update out soon.
Holy **** that's insane.

Have you tried to out them on twitter? They usually move a bit faster when things go public.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 11:57 AM
I don’t have a Twitter account but let’s just say I have contacted them more than once. Anyway don’t wanna derail this thread just wanted a quick rage.

Edit - actually my bad they did email me a couple of days ago...

Spoiler:
to offer me a bonus which I can’t unlock because they won’t let me play!

Last edited by teejayC; 08-01-2019 at 12:03 PM.
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 12:00 PM
i'll talk to lee jones
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 12:10 PM
All I can say really is

Spoiler:
lolstars
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote
08-01-2019 , 01:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by El Rata
i'll talk to lee jones
Lee Jones doesn't work there anymore
Fat & Blokes Pubbington Capital LLP aka SPECIAL SE SYNDICATE Quote

      
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