Quote:
Originally Posted by NicReynolds
Football-data.co.uk has bet365 prices for the last 5 seasons iirc. I'd be interested to know the flat stakes ROI on laying Liverpool, Arsenal and Utd. BAIDS is almost certainly correct but I'd like to see it if anyone can be arsed.
This site has some info relating to this:
http://www.soccerwidow.com. Not sure if it has stats etc. on individual teams but there's some stuff on betting Home/Away:
These are all whilst betting the same number of units on each game;
e.g.
http://www.soccerwidow.com/football-...stem-underdog/ -- Betting every
away game in the bundesliga from 2010-2015 would yield an ROI of 5.6% -
However betting all
away favourites over that time would be -EV, whilst betting just on
away dogs with odds of >=4.40 to <=17.00 yielded an ROI of 28% -
Fwiw I'm not sure why they didn't include that dip at the end (at odds of 24.00) but it'd still show a nice roi with that included afaict.
There's also this regarding betting on all
home games in the PL from 2006-2011 (old so perhaps irrelevant but still interesting) -
http://www.soccerwidow.com/football-...matic-betting/.
If you'd bet on all
home games in that time (again, with the same number of units per game) you'd have an ROI of 6.99% -
Conversely, in the PL if you'd bet on every
away game in that time you wudda lost money in every of those 5 seasons and ended with an ROI of -18% -
Apologies if links/images don't work; haven't posted much in a while.