im gunshy here after betting a fortune on clinton last november, that was supposed to be a super lock too

Is anyone betting on the prelims? Who are these guys anyways?

I'd think that people who know both markets would tell you this is another category of outmatched. It would be more like Hilary running against a dead person. The things that have to happen for CM to win are so unlikely. Possible, I mean somehow Floyd walks into one and it's lights out. But man that's gonna be one lucky shot if it lands. And Floyd may even be able to take his best punch.

In this video caught by FightHype, Paulie Malignaggi is spotted at the Mayweather Gym with his ‘always friend’ Floyd Mayweather. The way Mayweather tells the story, Paulie called him to ask him he thinks he should’ve gone to McGregor’s training camp as a sparring partner, to which Floyd responded: “Abso-****ing-lutely!”


Mole or phycological warfare?

why do you think the odds here are so low?

About 1/4 of my (fairly small) gambling roll on Mayweather now. Mostly on the straight win at -400, but also hit up a few of the signup offers I've not done before, split roughly evenly between Mayweather by stoppage and by decision.

Clip has been fully emptied at 1.24

Strategy thought: if Connor does land a lucky punch and Floyd actually feels it he should go down to give himself time to regroup instead of exposing himself to a possible flurry following it up. He should win on points easily even if something crazy happens.

Thoughts?

The idiotic general public doesn't get a say in this outcome though.

First, canello couldn't touch Floyd, and canello is a great fighter. But let's say Conor does land an incredibly lucky shot (indeed, Mosley straight up rocked Floyd), Floyd will know to clinch and stall by changing striking distance to make Conor's punches ineffective.

Unless Floyd completely forgot how to box in the last 2 years, I wouldn't worry about this.

Is this when Conors weight adv and ability to grapple with his hands and avoid that clinch possibly better come into play?

Wil this is for you I ****ed up the quote: Is this when Conors weight adv and ability to grapple with his hands and avoid that clinch possibly better come into play?

Anyone touch either of these?

Total punches landed by Conor McGregor in the fight

Over 29.5-110 Under 29.5-130

Most punches landed by Conor McGregor in any round

Over 7.5-130 Under 7.5-110

Total punches landed by Floyd Mayweather in the fight
Over 110.5-145 Under 110.5+105




What's a realistic expectation for Floyd's landed punches per round?

It's a bit like taking the gold medalist from bob sled and then saying "now compete in the olympics in luge, vs the best of all time".

They can be decent. But how would they fair vs someone that is arguably the best or second best boxer of all time (at worst).

No. Boxing gloves don't allow you to grip people. You tie them up by clinching and twisting your arms in between the other boxers, forcing the ref to disentangle the two. Also, you can't throw effective punches from that position and distance. In MMA you can use an elbow or grab the other fighters wrist to keep their hand away why you pound on them, or choke them. You can't do that in boxing. When you wrap another boxer up he really can't do anything. That's why when boxers get hurt they either run away, cover up, or hold on to you like a desperate man on a stripper in the VIP room.

Changing that distance means everything. It buys you time, it gives you a few seconds to catch your breath and get your legs back and forces the other fighter to reset to attack.

this fight is a clown fiesta. conor didnt box a professional match in his ****** life. of course he is a god damn psycho so anything can happen. floyd didnt box in over 3 years...and you guys putting thousands on floyd@1.24....holy **** you guys are out of your ****** mind.

I have under 24.5 at +135 for ****s and giggles. All these bets are so correlated though.

Hey man we're just trying to have some fun.

and cash in on the free money.

bookies give conor a 26% chance to win this fight.far away from free money

Surely you see why the odds of that happening can be quite a bit less than 26% even if the current odds are around that. Books can't help if the public is pounding the dog.

yeah i agree. but 20% is still too high to put my savings on it...especially on such an event. but gl to you guys backing floyd with huge amount of cash

Will this thread be locked right after the fight ends? I really won't be able handle the harassment if Conor wins. Lol.

good thing that Connor is really something like a 100-1 dog!

^Hope not. There will be a lot of lol for this fight and after its end many more and it doesnt depents who win imo.