Quote:
Originally Posted by ChipStakka
Hi,
Loving the forum, have been lurking for a while but thought it a good time to really try to improve my game.
Welcome to the forum.
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Anyway here is a (maybe) interesting hand:
[I would say i'm above average at $25PLO8, probably too LAG, but I have a good feel and memory for the game - have also made loads of notes etc so now about the regs and their tendancies.]
PokerStars Game #33951215830: Omaha Hi/Lo Pot Limit ($0.10/$0.25 USD) - 2009/10/12 15:09:28 ET
Table 'Cerberus X' 6-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: Rixk33 ($22.85 in chips)
Seat 2: afrika ($22.65 in chips)
Seat 3: Karmuffel ($3.10 in chips)
Seat 4: numsemor ($12.50 in chips)
Seat 5: HERO ($62.40 in chips)
Seat 6: pGmeSSiaS ($31.90 in chips)
numsemor: posts small blind $0.10
CheddarG: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [9h Ad Kd Ac]
Doesn't the converter listed in the FAQ work? My guess is HERO is CheddarG. Did you want your name and the other names exposed? HERO's hand is easier to read as
9
, A
, K
, A
Quote:
pGmeSSiaS: calls $0.25
Rixk33: folds
afrika: folds
Karmuffel: raises $0.25 to $0.50
numsemor: calls $0.40
HERO raises $1.50 to $2
pGmeSSiaS: calls $1.75
Karmuffel: calls $1.50
numsemor: calls $1.50
pot size must be $8
*** FLOP *** [5 6 2]
numsemor: checks
HERO: checks
pGmeSSiaS: checks
Karmuffel: bets $1.10 and is all-in
numsemor: calls $1.10
HERO raises $7.40 to $8.50
pGmeSSiaS: raises $21.40 to $29.90 and is all-in
numsemor: folds
HERO: ???
Looks like it costs you $21.40 to call and the pot size is already $8.00+$1.10+$8.50+$29.90=$47.50.
Thus you'd be getting 47.50 to 21.40, about 2.2 to 1, to call if you would be scooping. But you're only going to at best win half of the main pot and probably also half of the side pot.
Looks like
• main pot is $3.10*4=$12.40 and
• side pot will be $57.60 if you call.
So that if you win half, you'll win $6.20 from the main pot and you'll win back your original $7.40 from the side pot (and also get back the price of the call).
If you get scooped, you lose the amount with which pGmeSSiaS started the hand.
Basically, if you make your diamond flush, or if your aces hold up, you'll probably win a total of $13.60. So if you continue, you're gambling $21.40 to possibly win $13.60. And you'll only make your diamond flush 360/990, or roughly 36%.
We have to wonder if Villain has 34YZ (for the six-high straight) or A3YZ (for the nut low) - or something else. But I'd guess Villain has either the six-high straight or the nut low, and is more likely, since you have two aces and no fours, by about two to one, that Villain has the six-high straight, which makes your pair of aces worth dung.
The long and the short of it is I think you have to fold. You're getting unfavorable odds and by a factor of (2140/1360)*(.6364/.3636)= about 3 to 1 (unfavorable) for the diamond flush.
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When I raised the flop it seemed like a good spot to win the short stack's chips - they were both very weak passive, but I didnt bank on PGMessias (who I know is a good solid TAG) being so aggro. I know I only really have a FD and AA but the other two were previously showing all sorts of rubbish.
I see. As to your starting hand, the aces and the nut diamond draw are nice, but you have no low.
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I think raising pre was bad,
Unless you feel you have a good chance at stealing the pot on the first or second round, I agree.
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and trying to push the TAG out was bad, and having no Lo chance was bad - but one of my leaks is being too 'grabby' at pots so hopefully some criticism will help.
Meh. On the basis of this one hand alone, there's not much to criticize. You check/raised hoping to induce the checker behind you to fold and instead he check/re-raised. My guess is TAG saw BTN betting all-in too and had a check/raise planned. Then when you check/raised in front of him, he went ahead and blew you away. (You have to fold here).
If you're consistently too aggressive from on the button you set yourself up for check/raises, (as happened here), but with the small stack BTN itching to go all-in (as anticipated by you both), you got burned. Tough luck when it happens.
Next time please see if you can get the converter to work. Makes it easier for us to respond.
Buzz