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Who will run against Trump in 2020? Who will run against Trump in 2020?

03-27-2019 , 04:08 PM
Also it is always great to hear people on the right try and discount any of the candidates when they support a rapist con man with an IQ of about 85.
03-27-2019 , 04:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by somigosaden
He's obviously not a family man. He's married to another man—so he's another one of these politicians with no personal stake in future generations, and doesn't understand what it means to work for a better country for your children and grandchildren.



He's a glib phony. It's clear not only from his canned responses that he gives in interviews, but from his whole life-path starting from academia that he's not actually in it for the American people; he's in it for himself, just like Hillary. Since high school he's been on the elitist track to becoming a career politician, and just because he's young doesn't mean that's not exactly what he is: another elitist, glad-handing, establishment-allied career politician. He was interning on left-wing political campaigns in his early twenties, and studied all the rhetoric and tactics to make himself a famous politician. His resume needed executive experience, so he cashed in favors to be mayor of South Bend, which is a city enough people have heard of because of Notre Dame that he can act like it's a major position. His resume also needed military experience, so he joined the Naval Reserve and made sure he got a deployment for a few months so he can say he's a veteran who served in Afghanistan. (A landlocked desert country where the Navy has little purview, especially for a reservist.) Now he's got the resume, and he'll waste no time trying to leverage it.



He's a fake Christian. Of course, his research shows you have to be Christian in this country to get elected, so he claims to be one. I supposed he's unfamiliar with 1 Timothy 1:8-11, Romans 1:18? Or maybe he believes acting in sin wasn't a choice for him, but would God assign such a man to be leader of the free world? His self-professed Episcopalian faith seems only as important as the boost it gives to his political resume.



But enough about his character; what about his policies? He wants to expand the Supreme Court to fifteen members if he gets into power (and you can guess whether he'll appoint liberal or conservative justices to swing the balance in his favor). He wants amnesty for illegal immigrants. He opposes the current president's stance against open borders. He supports the Green New Deal, and agrees with its claim that we have only twelve years before the world ends unless we sacrifice our economy for it (and don't be irresponsible and have children in these climate end-times—we know Buttigieg won't be).



That was a lot of fun. I encourage any of you to come up with a better refutation of Buttigieg. For full disclosure I have a small wager on him to win the presidency in 2020 at 33:1.
Your god king has violated one of the sacred ten commandments on the reg. How is lying with another man, something metnioned once or twice in passing in the ****ty parts of the book worse than violating the directly handed down from on high rules by which to live given directly to moses?
03-27-2019 , 04:39 PM
Pretty sure gay people have children sometimes and can be invested into the future. Pretty sure the ones that dont do have family who do and can be invested into the future. Even the ones without any of that can still be invested into the future because the want future generations to exist.

And anyway a green new deal seems to show he does care more about future generations then any republican.


I thought somigosaden was parroting a republican attack but i guess not.
03-27-2019 , 04:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
Had to look it up, you're right, my bad... The Dems would have had to nuke the filibuster I guess to get it through with a public option, or really twist Lieberman's arm. Obviously knowing what we do now, and seeing the erosion of norms under the GOP, this was clearly the play.
Well, remember that Lieberman was already primaried in 2006 and lost to Ned Lamont - but then went on to win as an independent anyway. He then went on to campaign for his good buddy John McCain in the 2008 election, so he was quite willing to stick it to the Obama administration and they had very little leverage against him. I'm doubtful they could have done much more to move him than they did.

As for getting rid of the filibuster, I'm doubtful there are enough votes in the Senate now to do that, and there certainly wasn't in 2009-10. Some activists were pushing for this, but there was much less support for that than for ACA. I know it isn't the progressive view of Obama right now, but I don't see a really viable path to a better health care plan than we got in 2010 given how extremely close it came to not passing at all.
03-27-2019 , 04:53 PM
Gallup polling

In 2010 47% of people said health care was the responsibility of the government. In 2019 57% did.
03-27-2019 , 05:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
I don't see that as her path at all. It's her current job -> possibly a Senate run -> presidential run. If she could run right now she'd have a path based on popularity within the party. But I think mayor of NYC would be a step backwards for her in terms of presidential ambitions, by taking her out of the national spotlight... even if the executive experience might be good for the job.
It is not certain that AOC would win if she ran for mayor. And it is even less certain that she would be widely perceived as an effective mayor. (DeBlasio and AOC are pretty close on policy and DeBlasio is not perceived as particularly effective.) The history of NYC government is more autocratic than most assume.

In any case, being the mayor of NYC has never been an effective stepping stone to the presidency.

Last edited by Rococo; 03-27-2019 at 05:15 PM.
03-27-2019 , 05:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
Yeah, hopefully it's not an option for her until 2028...

I doubt Schumer retires any time soon. He's up again in 2022, so probably not before 2028 when he's in his late 70's. But if he does she's a front runner for sure. I also don't know if she'd consider primarying Gillibrand, but it's possible - that would be in 2024.

I mean, she could be bold (crazy) enough to primary Schumer, even.

For her I don't think it's as much about her chances of winning as about what she perceives as the right thing, and I would guess she doesn't view either Schumer or Gillibrand as a great senator for New York.
I think the bolded is an open question. AOC is wildly popular with voters in her district and wildly popular with the media. But upstate New York is a lot different than the Bronx. And I think Schumer or some other old guy would have a pretty big advantage upstate.

One big advantage for AOC is that her supporters are VERY supportive. That counts for a lot.
03-27-2019 , 05:18 PM
her detractors are similarly dedicated
03-27-2019 , 05:18 PM
she clearly knows how to organize and lead
03-27-2019 , 05:53 PM
I honestly don't see AOC winning any position other than the one she has. She is too polarizing and her popularity is wildly overestimated. Polling shows more people view her unfavorably than favorably.

She is an incredibly effective advocate for her causes as proven by the amount of publicity she is able to generate. But her best path to change is to be an effective member of the House. In her defense I think that is the only thing she is focused on right now anyway. It's the press and her supporters who are imagining her path to the White House, she just wants to get s*** done.
03-27-2019 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by revots33
I honestly don't see AOC winning any position other than the one she has. She is too polarizing and her popularity is wildly overestimated. Polling shows more people view her unfavorably than favorably.

She is an incredibly effective advocate for her causes as proven by the amount of publicity she is able to generate. But her best path to change is to be an effective member of the House. In her defense I think that is the only thing she is focused on right now anyway. It's the press and her supporters who are imagining her path to the White House, she just wants to get s*** done.
You mean the polls where everyone likes her but old white guys?
03-27-2019 , 06:01 PM
https://morningconsult.com/2019/01/1...s-rising-fame/

The force is strong in AOC. Her unfavorability is 28% and will never get much worse. Virtually all of the movement out of the 49% that either don't know her or have no opinion will be to approval.
03-27-2019 , 06:48 PM
AOC's unfavorability aligns pretty much perfectly with the 41% of this nation that in March 2019 thinks Trump is actually doing a good job of president. Pretty much the same amount that gets the sole source of news from Fox News and the rest of the derposphere. She's only polarizing to people that would never vote for a non-deplorable anyways.

I think it's stunningly myopic to not see how she has major potential for higher office than her house seat.
03-27-2019 , 06:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Gallup polling

In 2010 47% of people said health care was the responsibility of the government. In 2019 57% did.
Sorry, I wasn't clear, I mean I don't see a viable path for a better bill in 2010 than Obamacare - now the political environment is different. I'm still skeptical because I don't think we'll get enough Senators in 2020 and I'm doubtful that they'll get rid of the legislative filibuster, but if we had 60 votes now I do think we'd get something closer to single-payer or at least a public option.
03-27-2019 , 07:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Original Position
Sorry, I wasn't clear, I mean I don't see a viable path for a better bill in 2010 than Obamacare - now the political environment is different. I'm still skeptical because I don't think we'll get enough Senators in 2020 and I'm doubtful that they'll get rid of the legislative filibuster, but if we had 60 votes now I do think we'd get something closer to single-payer or at least a public option.
We should keep a public option in mind in 2044 when having 60 votes might actually be possible.
03-27-2019 , 07:15 PM
If something doesn't pass soon, states like CA will do it on their own and states like Kansas will just have their own non-socialist paradises.
03-27-2019 , 07:41 PM
Quote:
He's obviously not a family man. He's married to another man—so he's another one of these politicians with no personal stake in future generations, and doesn't understand what it means to work for a better country for your children and grandchildren.
Family man, family man, I want to crucify you on your front door with nails from your well-stocked garage.
03-27-2019 , 07:43 PM
Quote:
He's obviously not a family man. He's married to another man—so he's another one of these politicians with no personal stake in future generations, and doesn't understand what it means to work for a better country for your children and grandchildren.
03-27-2019 , 07:46 PM
Pete the Mayor on Bill Maher Friday Night
03-27-2019 , 08:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by revots33
Disagree with bolded. There is a contingent of moderate voters who voted for Trump (for whatever reason - hated Hillary, wanted to give a so-called "businessman" a shot, just were sick of politicians in general, etc.), who now realize he basically sucks as a human being, and would be willing to vote Dem if the policies appeal to them. But they ain't gonna vote Bernie or for full-on socialism. Even then they might not vote for Trump, but they might just stay home.
Bolded is just you projecting your own political ideas onto these people. What you're talking about there is largely Obama voters who switched to Trump. I don't have a good handle on how those people think politically and I don't believe you do either. The only thing I can say with certainty is that they appear to be super pissed off with the establishment/status quo.
03-27-2019 , 11:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
If something doesn't pass soon, states like CA will do it on their own and states like Kansas will just have their own non-socialist paradises.
I forget where I first read this, but a big problem with individual states trying to do socialism is that they can't print money.
03-27-2019 , 11:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
https://morningconsult.com/2019/01/1...s-rising-fame/

The force is strong in AOC. Her unfavorability is 28% and will never get much worse. Virtually all of the movement out of the 49% that either don't know her or have no opinion will be to approval.
LOL at saying the unfavorability of any politician "will never get much worse." Pappy Bush was at nearly 90 percent approval during the Gulf War, yet lost re-election.
03-27-2019 , 11:32 PM
AOC vs Schumer primary in 2022 is gonna be lit.
03-27-2019 , 11:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
I forget where I first read this, but a big problem with individual states trying to do socialism is that they can't print money.
States do all kinds of socialism. For example they provide the vast majority of education. That's $668B/year just on primary and secondary. Even with higher education it's less than universal health care would cost, but it's not that far off.
03-27-2019 , 11:37 PM
Biden trying to get in front of Anita Hill criticism and it seems kinda weak!

Quote:
“To this day, I regret I couldn’t come up with a way to get her the kind of hearing she deserved, given the courage she showed by reaching out to us,” Biden said in New York at the “Biden Courage Awards,” an event honoring those who have worked to combat sexual assault on college campuses.
Are you sure "couldn't" is the word you're looking for there, Joe?

Quote:
“We knew a lot less about the extent of harassment back then, over 30 years ago,” Biden said. “But she paid a terrible price. She was abused through the hearing. She was taken advantage of. Her reputation was attacked. I wish I could’ve done something.
Ok somehow his attempt to apologize has wound up digging the hole even deeper

      
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